08/19/2015 3:04PM

Mohawk: Friday 8/21 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

3,5,7/2,3/1,6,7/2,4,8,9 = $72

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,2/3,9/4,9/1,2,8 = $24

MEET STATS: 240 - 791 / $1382.00 BEST BETS: 33 - 71 / $110.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 68 / $73.10

Best Bet: TESSA SEELSTER (12th)

Spot Play: SUGARSAM (11th)

Race 1

(5) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE searches for his third straight win in a class similar to the one he conquered last week. It appears he only need to beat (4) GRANA PADANNO again. There's a good chance this exacta repeats. (1) KEN KAN WIN has had two eventful trips since shipping in to Mohawk and can likely go closer if he stays trotting the entire mile.

[VERNON DOWNS: Watch the best older trotters and pacing mares at Vernon on Friday night--Live on DRF!]

Race 2

(2) BET YA didn't do much from an outer post last week but is always aggressively driven when she draws inside. This consistent mare should be a big threat here; top call. (3) BROOKDALE SHADOW has been racing well for a hot barn and can't be ignored here (1) MAPLELEA took a new life's mark last week while going a big trip uncovered; she's capable too.

Race 3

(8) FEELING CAM LUCKY set a strong pace on a night where the heavy track was killing speed. Let's give him another chance here. (6) SOUTHWIND INDY has gone faster than 1:52 four starts straight and has to be considered a contender here. (4) SPORTS LIGHTNING made a big move to the front on the backside then held on to blow up the toteboard. He should get a piece of this passing horses late.

Race 4

(3) TWIN B SCANDAL suffered interference last time at the 3/4 and the trip before paced a serious first 1/2 then came back out to win. He's a sharp contender and should offer a decent price here. (7) MACH CODE just failed to hold off a strong closer last time and is another to consider for early pick 4 tickets. (5) ARTFUL WAY finally draws the middle of the gate and gets Waples back; beware!

Race 5

(2) NAT A VIRGIN had a tough trip last time and still managed to grab third. Moving from the trainer driving to a catch-driver could make all the difference; top call. (3) SHADOWS WONDER ships in very sharp and everything trainer Moore sends out these days must be considered; using. (1) KISS ME OR NOT just failed off a pocket trip last time and should stick around for a share here.

Race 6

(1) I GOT TO BOOGIE was overdriven early last week and it cost her late. She can do here with a more patient drive. (7) TRAUMA UNIT showed some life late in her mile last time and has been known to parlay similar slight improvement into a big upset next out. Toss her on some pick 4 tickets. (6) HAT TRICK HONEY almost won in this class two back and is likely to get an aggressive steer here. She's another that should go on your early pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(2) ARTISTIC MADISON has had two decent starts off the shelf now gets to drop in class; top call. (9) MARLEE B also gets class relief here and is likely to be sent hard early by Henry; using. (8) BEACH GAL finally broke through last week and should be able to build on that first 2015 win.

Race 8

(2) THINKOFAGAMEPLAN showed little vs. some swift elders last time and fits much better here; top call.  (1) ACE OF CLUBS set some crazy fractions last time which cost him late in the mile. He is one of few contenders in this group. (3) PACE SEELSTER looks best of the rest in a fairly weak Grassroots field.

Race 9

(3) DAZZLING ROCKETTE goes first off the claim for Moreau who is deadly with that angle. She needs to make up 2 1/2 lengths on (9) NINETTE B, but, that one also exits Moreau's barn. These two look like the only ones you need for late pick 4 tickets. (10) A LOT OF SENSE will be closing late but from out there is likely to be too far back to threaten for the top spot.

Race 10

(9) GLAMOUR SEELSTER rebounded last time with a solid win after something obviously went amiss two back. The outer post isn't a big problem for her; top call. (4) AINSLEYNOELLE picked up Filion last week and went right down the road. A repeat would not shock here. (2) OK HEARTBEAT closed okay for third vs. the choice and should share here, too.

Race 11

(2) SUGARSAM steps out of a race vs. his elders where the third-place finisher has already come back to win. He should be tough back in with his own age group. (1) DIALAMARA shows up here after more than a month off and while he's obviously one of the best in here should be handled with caution, especially if he's pounded at the windows. (8) WESTERN BAYAMA gets a big driver change here and has upset possibilities.

Race 12

(4) TESSA SEELSTER is in top form and tough to go past here; top call. (8) MACARENA MAMA has faced staked company or older mares the past 5 races and could easily threaten these; beware. (2) GRACIES PARADE continues to close for good shares and that trend should continue here. (6) LOTSA MATZAH rarely misses the top 5 and should make the ticket here. (5) RIDE AWAY SHARK tried the choice first-up last time but was paced off her feet. She can share here with a better trip.

[POCONO DOWNS: Watch the entire Super Stakes Saturday card Live on DRF!]