08/17/2016 3:21PM

Mohawk: Friday 8/19 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,4,5,9/1,2/2,6,7,9/4/5,8 = $12.80

EARLY PICK 4: 4/4,5,8/5/3,6,7,8 = $12

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,8,9/4/6,7,8/2,3,8,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 286 - 832 / $1507.70  BEST BETS: 48 - 77 / $155.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 77 / $86.60

Best Bet: STORM POINT (9th)

Spot Play: BIG TSUNAMI (11th)

Race 1

(1) BIG RICH faces easier here and should be prominent throughout. (4) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL dropped, popped and took a new life's mark. She could be dangerous right back. (5) SHOOT THE THRILL's early move was rebuffed last week. He isn't out of this, but, he needs a better-timed move. Note: Top choice CROWN CLASSIC was an early scratch.

Race 2

(1) WITCH DALI returned from a 5-week break vs. some salty male competition. Back with her own kind here, she should be tough. (2) SOLAR SISTER twice finished second to the best mare on the continent down south and she is the one to beat but she will be a very low price on the board. (4) DELIGHTFUL HILL should be closer early here and grab a share. (5) MS MAC N CHEESE should stick around for a smaller share.

Race 3

(2) SASS set a new track record at Grand River last time and he should offer some value here as (8) WILL TAKE CHARGE will likely be a big chalk. The latter is obviously one of the best in here, but post and intent are factors to consider. (6) AMITYVILLE LINDY has gone two big trips in a row and he is a contender with his improved form.

Race 4

(4) PASSPORT TO ART paced a good last 1/4 last week and should go forward here with that initial start under his belt. (1) OAK ISLAND is out of a $1.6 million earning mare who has produced several winners. He looks like the main threat. (2) ARSENAL SEELESTER should be closer here dropping back to face maidens. (4) TUXEDO BAY is another that should improve in his second start.

Race 5

(8) MARLEE B should get put into this race early on the class drop; slight nod. (5) APPLE PIE ANGEL steps up off a sharp win and she should be a top contender here. (4) ST LADS PENNY LANE can be close at this level and she should be passing many of these late. (7) BET YA is another class dropper that should get a share here.

Race 6

(5) MAMBO LINDY faces much easier here and he should have no trouble handling these if he stays flat. (9) A ROD HALL has been showing improved form of late. He is worth a look for exotic wagers at a price. (7) WARAWEE ROO is capable, but note the passive drive he was given in this class last time. (10) MUSCLES FOR LIFE can share if he leaves for position here.

Race 7

(8) CAROLINA HURRICANE will be very tough here if he comes close to producing his race from two starts back, which is quite possible. (7) BUGGER JERRY has been racing well and taking shares. That trend should continue here. (3) MACH MESSIER picks up Filion here; beware. (6) LOOKIN AT A WINNER has form that is likely better than it looks due to several outside posts. He can share here.

Race 8

(9) GIN AND LINDY has raced great since she won here in a similar class on June 30th. She can beat this group if she is put into the race early enough. (8) MANOFMANYIMAGES - winner of three of his last four - looks like the main threat from close range. (3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER won in this class last week and must be considered for late Pick 4 bets. (4) P L JERICO should be close up early which gives him a good shot at taking a slice here.

Race 9

(4) STORM POINT comes off a sharp win from the 10-hole and she will be tough to beat here. (5) KAYLA GRACE moves to the middle of the gate and she could crash the exotics at a price here. (9) ARTISTIC MADISON was all over the track down the lane last week. She is classy, but also obviously has some issues. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT fits this class well and should take a share.

Race 10

(8) HOPE FOR PADDY has won at good prices the past couple of times she dropped in class. She will be no better than third choice here and is worth taking a stab on. (6) WRANGLER MAGIC also drops and gets Lasix for the second time; using. (7) STONEBRIDGE QUEST is another that faces easier who is in the equation here. (5) RIDE AWAY SHARK has been racing well of late. She can take a minor share.

Race 11

(9) BIG TSUNAMI races better off cover and she should be able to find some here; slight nod at a price. (8) DOCS HOLLYWOOD reversed tactics last time and it almost worked. She could do if similar tactics are employed here. (3) PINKY TUSCADERO faces easier and should be heard from here. (2) KATIES BEACH is another to consider in a wide open finale. The move to the inner post helps her cause. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY drops but hasn't won all year and has missed some time; small share predicted.

[POCONO: Watch the best 3-year-olds compete on Super Stakes Saturday--Live on DRF!]