08/14/2013 5:05PM

Mohawk: Friday 8/16 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: WORLD PEACE (7th)

Spot Play: GENTLEMAN FRIEND (2nd)

Race 1

(7) SEASIDE RORY is fresh off a win in a good time with a solid final quarter. She's won five of nine this season and comes from a top barn. (8) LEAVEUMLADY is the only other top threat in this race, in my opinion. She faces an easier bunch, draws better and certainly has the speed. She's versatile, but she'll likely race from behind. (1) MARLEE B draws the rail and tends to be inconsistent this season. She has the speed and faces an easier group.

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Race 2

(4) GENTLEMAN FRIEND hasn't been at his best in recent starts and will look for a rebound effort. This isn't a deep field for this class and I hope he's put into the race. (2) HOBOKEN HANOVER draws inside and comes out of Shepherd's barn. He draws better and is at a level where he's very competitive. (7) GUTSY GREG comes out of Moreau's barn and certainly needs the correct off-the-pace trip to be effective. He tails off in the final eighth of a mile, but, again, this isn't a deep field.

Race 3

(7) MAGIC LINDY was the favourite last week in this class and delivered. In both her last two victories she was put into the race and I'd expect to see that from MacDonald. (10) R RAISED EMOTIONS did all the work on the front last week from a post nine start before tiring in deep stretch. A repeat effort makes him a top candidate. (1) FIESTY LOVE gets the rail and is a good option for third. He was locked-in last week for the debut of Crouse and may provide a price and spice up the triactor payout.

Race 4

(1) REQUEST FOR PAROLE gets major post relief and comes from good connections. She did most of the work last week before fading to third and shouldn't be as hard-used this week. (6) ARTOMATIC LOVE has a good record this season and comes from Boyd's barn, which has been solid in recent weeks. This filly races at her best when she's put in the race. (4) SHANGHAI MIMI makes the move onto this circuit and deserves to. She's won six of nine starts this season and comes from a high percentage trainer in Steacy.

Race 5

(1) WATCH THE RHYTHM gets the rail, gets Zeron and has only missed the board once in five starts this season. She closed very well last week and that sets her up well in here. (4) WARRAWEE OLAY is fresh off a win and did all the work on the front en route to victory. She's picked for second solely based on last week's effort. (9) FIVE TOWNS comes out of a good barn and has terrific gate-speed, which will be needed from post nine. She won in this class last week at high odds.

Race 6

(5) THATLL BE FRANNY drops in class and races at her best when she's put in the race. She draws well and is a good option in here. (8) EIGHTUNDRDOLARBILL moves into the Coleman barn and certainly has displayed the speed at The Meadowlands to be very competitive at this level. She's versatile and gets Zeron. (9) HOPE FOR PADDY draws outside and drops out of the Preferred and into this class. She'll likely race from behind and quick speed up front only increases her chances.

Race 7

(5) WORLD PEACE was well in hand in his qualifier and closed very well from off-the-pace to win in a good time. The connections elected to just qualify him once, which tells me he's ready. (1) LYONSSOMEWHERE gets the rail and won both his qualifiers, most recently by over 15 lengths. He appears ready at first asking. (4) SHADIOS comes out of Alagna's barn and is a good option in here. He draws well and has displayed the speed to be very competitive in here.

Race 8

(4) LIVE TO DREAM was the favourite last week and finished second. That was a very quick time for this class and once again she draws well and should be put in the race. (8) ZEBS KATRINA has won her last two of three starts and has terrific gate-speed. I'd expect her to be the first leader. (10) ADAYMER SEELSTER will have to overcome post 10, but she raced terrific considering it was just her third start of the season. If she's put in the race from the outside, I like her chances.

Race 9

(4) IDEAL MAGIC scored a comfortable victory at Tioga Downs last start and appears like he's capable of handling this group. I'd expect him to be the favourite. (3) ITALIAN REBEL comes out of Menary's barn, which has been terrific in recent weeks. He draws well, enjoys racing near the front and finished second last week in a good time. (8) BUGGER BRUISER has the most money earned in this field and is very versatile. He's only missed the board once from four starts this season.

Race 10

(3) JAN IT JACKSON moves into Moreau's barn and that's the main reason for my selection. This filly has the speed and Moreau has an excellent reputation with first time starters. (2) MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK was locked in last week and when she found room, it was too late and she had to settle for second. She draws well once again and I'd expect to see her aggressively handled. (5)PARLEE BEACH raises some question marks. It took her seven starts to win this season and she did so at the bottom level. It was a terrific effort, which raises the question if she's back to her old self from last season.

Race 11

(6) MONKEY ON MY WHEEL moves into the Coleman barn, which is the main reason for my selection. This mare was previously trained by co-owner Travis Umphrey and she'll enter a new barn for the first time in her career. (4) VOELZ HANOVER is a 'must have' in the exactor slot. She has a sensational record this season, races near the front and draws well. (8) SHELLISCAPE draws outside once again and quick fractions up front only will increase her chances. She's inconsistent, but can't leave her off the triactor based on last week’s performance.

Race 12

(2) MISTY MOONSTONE is fresh off a win and drops into the bottom class on this circuit. She draws well and races at her best when she's put in the race. (6) SHADYS M THREE hasn't been at her best recently, but she drops out of the Girls Night Out Series and faces a much easier bunch. She'll offer a price. (8) JENNA CASIMIR comes from a high percentage trainer and she drops in class. She may also offer a price and has terrific closing speed.

 

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