07/06/2016 3:55PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/8 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 3/1,2,5/1,8/3,6,7,9/2,4,8 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3/2,4,8/1,2,3,5,7,10/6,8,9 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 6,8,9/1,6,8,10/8/4,7,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 196 - 574 / $1026.10  BEST BETS: 34 - 53 / $108.80

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 52 / $56.40

Best Bet: MISS COCO LUCK (1st)

Spot Play: PUTNAMS NEW YEAR (2nd)

Race 1

(3) MISS COCO LUCK takes a big class plunge here and McNair will likely look to control things with her. (4) MYSTERY WRITER raced okay against slightly better but has missed some time. She can share here if she is forwardly placed early. (2) CALL ME MAYBE also figures for a slice if she is back to normal after being distanced and then requalifying. (7) CASE DISMISSED set some solid splits but was nailed late by a mare that tripped out. She figures here and could better this prediction.

[DRF BETS: SPECIAL SUMMER OFFER! 3% REBATE on exotic wagers + up to a $200 Signup Bonus.]

Race 2

(5) PUTNAMS NEW YEAR lost some placings when he locked wheels with a rival late in the mile last time. He goes for one of the hottest barns on the grounds and gets top billing here off the claim. (2) GIVE EM HECK blasted through what looked like an impossible spot in the lane last time to win going away. He is likely the on to beat here. (1) NEVER BEEN TOLD hasn't missed the board racing out of town and is dangerous here going for the Montini barn off the claim. (4) HIGHLAND BOGART should stick around for a piece of this.

Race 3

(1) MYSTICAL MOON is a 1/2-sister to decent local performer Moonwriter who won early at two. She looks as good as any here and the inner post should help. (8) P L KALEIDOSCOPE had a decent debut at Vernon from which he should go forward from here. (3) SPORTSCRAZY - and $8K Forest City sale buy - is a 1/2-sister to several winners and likely has more speed to offer than what she shows in her past performance lines. (5) TREASURES PEARL didn't show much in her opener but she appears to face much easier here and she could wake up at a price.

Race 4

(3) RUBIS PRESCOTT plunges several class levels here and is sure to get put into play much earlier than she has been recently; top call. (7) LYONS RIVER PRIDE impressively drew off after a long first-over trip to beat easier and is in with a shot here off that sharp win. (6) BAROCKEY drops again and is an obvious danger from close range. (9) RIDE AWAY SHARK will be coming late, as usual, but may not be close enough at the 3/4 to pass them all.

Race 5

(4) STELLENBOSCH is a full-sister to Mindsweeper who won her first start, earned $268K and took her life's mark of 1:50 4/5 at Mohawk. The filly that won the June 25th qualifier, jogged here on Tuesday night and looks like she could be special; top call. (8) BID WRITER is from a dam that produced 8 winners from 8 that have raced and she qualified sharply on July 1st. She looks like the one to beat. (2) TALBOT CHANEL - a $60K Harrisburg buy - looks ready to contend right away. (9) SPORTY GUSSIE motored home in her qualifier and can't be discounted.

Race 6

(7) ABBIJADE HANOVER moves in three posts and faces a group that are as win-shy as she is. She could do here at a price in the widest-open race of the card. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY fits this class well but just can't seem to notch that initial 2016 win; maybe vs. these? (5) SHELLYSSILVERMOON stands an upset chance if she leaves in the top flight, which is a good possibility here. (1) NAUGHTY LADY B gapped cover late last time but could get a following inside trip here then pounce late.

Race 7

(8) YARIS BAYAMA closed well in her debut vs. a repeat winner and this Sportswriter filly didn't miss 2nd by that much. Expect a more aggressive drive this time. (6) P L KARIS is a 1/2-sister to three winners from three that have raced from the dam and her qualifiers have been outstanding; using. (9) TWIN B CHEEKS finished on even terms with the choice and could crash the exotics at a price here. (2) THREE SECRETS finished well on a track rated one second slow on July 1st and she could complete the tri or super off a following trip here.

Race 8

(8) WRANGLER MAGIC destroyed an easier group but now that she is back on track she could take another here. (10) SANDBETWEENURTOES is the obvious mare to beat here, but, how low of a price would you take from post 10 with her having missed three weeks? (1) OUR HOT MAJORETTE faces easier and should be right there if put into play early enough. (6) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS is another classy mare that got back on track vs. easier. She isn't out of this.

Race 9

(8) SPORTS BEAUTY is a full-sister to Sports Bettor (8 wins, $198K, 1:53 H.) that gets a good spot for her debut; top call. (3) MACH ON had a solid opener against a repeat winner and should do well here vs. easier. (7) PL KATNISSEVERDEEN is a 1/2-sister to The Prophet Mary (31 wins, $168K) and The Platinum Guy (24 wins, $233k) and she goes for a high % trainer here; using. (4) LOVES ANGEL had a decent debut at Clinton and can share here with that experience in tow.

Race 10

(7) LEGAL PROCESS drops back to the level she won at two back and should be right there vs. these; slight nod. (4) SOUTHWIND GEISHA should get a more aggressive steer here and get a good piece of this. (10) MAPLELEA was more like her old self last time and could pop here at a price. (1) P L HURRICANE rarely missed by much and should get a good trip leaving from the inside here; consider. (3) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS had a rough trip off the claim last time and she should contend in this field.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]