07/29/2015 4:29PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/31 Analysis

Email

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

8/1,2,3,6,8,10/7/2,5,9,10 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 5,7/7/2,3,5/1,2,3,5 = $24

 

MEET STATS: 197 - 648 / $1123.00 BEST BETS: 27 - 58 / $92.50

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 58 / $57.30

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND INDY (9th)

Spot Play: COLORATURA (1st)

Race 1

(3) COLORATURA switched back to Zeron at the controls last week and raced much better. There should be enough early speed in here to set up her late kick; top call. (1) SHEGUINDAH broke her maiden in style last week, setting strong fractions and recording the fastest mile of any of these fillies. She's the one to catch. (9) SUMMERS JEWEL adds Lasix and should be heard from at some point of the mile.

[THE MEADOWS: Watch the entire Adios Day card LIVE on DRF.]

Race 2

(1) DICKS SECRET wasn't close vs. better on Monday, now drops back into a claimer and gets a positive driver change; top call. (5) JOSEPH GERARD fits well in this class and is the one to chase down. (2) GIRL DRAMA faces much easier here but has also missed some time; mixed signals.

Race 3

(2) THE FIRE WITHIN showed little last time at Grand River but last time he raced at Mohawk he was taking a new life's mark. Perhaps he prefers the bigger oval. (7) SHIPPEN OUT raced very well last week only to be beaten by a pocket-sitter late. His 1-37 win record is concerning, obviously. (1) THUNDERSTRUCK won by the largest margin we've seen in some time last time out at Grand River. He can be a factor starting from the inside here.

Race 4

(8) BOB BEN AND JOHN faces by far the easiest field he has seen all year and should get the job done here. (9) IM A GIFT - the trotting-bred pacer - was impressive in his debut firing home quickly for 2nd. He could threaten the choice if he is kept closer early. (6) WINDSONG LORD is a good one for the tri, but still has only one win vs. seven slices.

Race 5

(8) HILLSONATOR has a useful Mohawk debut off a break last week and is one of many that can win this in a leg you should go deep in the pick 4. (3) TSWALU finally broke his maiden in good time at Kawartha last time. He can be dangerous if he steals a breather to the 1/2. (10) STEEL RESERVE closed a big gap late and beat the choice out of 2nd. He's another in with a chance.

Race 6

(7) MACH CODE faced the speedy P L Idaho last time on a speed-favoring track and raced well, considering. This Grassroots company should be more to his liking; top call. (4) SPORTING THE LOOK couldn't close into an accelerating late pace last week but wasn't that far out of 2nd at the wire. He should be close here. (8) MYSTICAL JET raced well coming off a 3-week break Monday night with his trainer at the controls and now picks up a catch driver. He should get a share here.

Race 7

(2) JET HOT STUFF closed with a rush for 2nd last week in her best performance in several months. She looks like she is in top form now and should be a square price here; top call. (5) ANDRO MADI threw in a clunker last week but was claimed by a top claiming outfit and could rebound here. (10) MILEYS BIG WORLD comes off a vet scratch following a claim. She's handled the 10-hole before; beware.

Race 8

(7) HAPE roared up late to notch a comfortable win from the 10-hole last week and looks best here in her current form. (5) MEADOW SEELSTER tried the Dream of Glory elims over Hanover's 1/2 miler and broke both early and late. He has been solid on bigger ovals; contender. (4) OH MY MAGIC when last seen at Mohawk was winning easily in Grassroots company. She should be along late for a good share here.

Race 9

(7) SOUTHWIND INDY raced well on the speed-biased track two-back then parlayed that into an impressive win last week vs. tougher. He looks like a single in this late pick 4 but will also be a big chalk here. (5) FEELING CAM LUCKY made two moves after leaving from an outer post and still hung on for third; exacta factor. (3) SPORTS LIGHTNING broke early last week losing all chance. The start previous he had no shot in a rapid mile aided by the surface. He could factor at a big price here.

Race 10

(3) HIS BOY ELROY closed impressively last week but the winner was already long gone. He has a big shot vs. these. (2) MACH ON THE BEACH took a new life's mark over the 1/2 mile oval at Three Rivers last Sunday and is an obvious danger here. (5) SUGARSAM was only narrowly beaten by the one above despite breaking stride early. Keep this one on your late pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(3) KISS ME OR NOT got hung the mile from the outermost post at Georgian last time but two back was just 3/4 of a length behind a good stakes filly. She can handle this group. (1) LOTSA MATZAH parlayed a perfect trip into an easy win last week but most of these aren't much tougher. She can contend here. (2) MEA LILLEY MARK set solid splits but picked off late by the one above. She can get a share here.

Race 12

(8) PICTONIAN CAPER was claimed two back then out the route in his Mohawk return and understandably tired. He would be far more dangerous if he blasted right to the front here. (6) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE won at a big price first time in a claimer. Maybe he's found the right level. (5) SHARK LEAP HANOVER drops into a claimer for the first time off a break and dramatic improvement here wouldn't be a shock. (2) ART OF DARKNESS rarely wins but often shares; use in your super and high-5 tickets. (1) LCM NUKULAR STRIKE is another that can make the lower rungs of vertical wagers.

[DRF HARNESS EYE: Digital Harness Eye is now available for purchase--PPs, Analysis, Charts, and more!]