07/27/2016 3:41PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4,5,7/2,3,7/3,5,6/8,9/1,9 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 8,9/1,9/3,4,6,9/1,7,9 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,5,7/4,8,9/1,3,5/6,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 242 - 700 / $1288.40  BEST BETS: 41 - 66 / $129.80

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 64 / $79.90


Spot Play: DEWTIFUL LASS (2nd)

Race 1

(7) LADY JEN was dominating in this class early this month. Expect a return to form here in this short field. (5) GOLDIES MACH was sent first up to attack quick fractions last week and hung around for third. This assignment looks easier and she is a contender. (4) TIGRA SEELSTER raced evenly in her return to Mohawk and could improve slightly off that effort; using. (6) ALEXAS HOPE closed for 2nd last time aided by a rapid early pace. She could be overbet here; minor award predicted.

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Race 2

(7) DEWTIFUL LASS raced okay in mixed company last time now she returns to face her own gender exclusively here and she figures. She could also be a good price; top call. (2) THE POWER OF MANY has faced tougher in her last couple and wasn't that far back at the finish. She should be prominent throughout here. (3) ANNELI HANOVER has won two straight and isn't out of this, but she will likely need to trot faster to win this. (1) TRUE MUSCLE also faces easier here and will be heard from leaving from the inside.

Race 3

(6) MISS COCO LUCK qualified fast enough on July 26 to suggest that she is feeling better following two vet scratches and she should jog in this class if she is close to 100%. (3) LIFE IS A LADY was a close third here in a similar class with Jamieson driving earlier this month. She is worth using on multi-race tickets at a price. (5) THATLL BE FRANNY could trip out near the front here and break her 2016 goose egg. (1) CALL IT COURAGE is always likely to finish on the edges, it seems.

Race 4

(8) DIAMOND TESTED closed strongly into an accelerating late pace last time. She need only get a decent trip to beat this group of underachievers. (9) THIS DAY FORWARD is 0-17 but her last two starts have been very good and she could break through here. (5) ACTIVE LADY is 0 for 20 but should be in the thick of this based on recent form and company. (1) BAD AT REDHOT is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic bets.

Race 5

(1) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK couldn't have won any easier in her first start out of the Weller barn. Call to repeat. (9) D GS PESQUERO dropped into this class last week but couldn't catch another sharp class dropper that led throughout; consider here.  (7) ST LADS PENNY LANE has been racing well at this class and her good closing kick should come into play here. (5) RIDE AWAY SHARK rarely wins but should take a slice at this level.

Race 6

(4) SECRETCODE HANOVER added Lasix and popped at a huge price last time out. He should be a good price again and may be worth another stab here. (6) MOONSTAR MISSION was a sharp winner early in the month then missed some time to sickness. I'll use on Pick 4 tickets but wouldn't take a short win price here. (9) WORLDCLASS HANOVER won the last time she was in a non-winners of two class; using. (3) MISSEDBYADAY adds Lasix here and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets. He figures if he returns to form.

Race 7

(7) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU has shown rapid improvement in her past two starts. Catch her while she's hot. (9) FOREVER LIZA has won three of her last five and should be able to float out and get a spot in the top five early here. She's dangerous. (1) COLLECTIVE WISDOM should wake up with a much better performance here exiting the Town Pro series. (3) BAD LIGHTNING always seems to be around for a minor share at the wire.

Race 8

(5) LIGHTS GO OUT was aggressive as expected with the class drop last week but she simply went too fast early in the mile. She could do here with better rating. (2) VICTORIA SEMALU is in excellent form and she should get a good trip here. (7) HOPE FOR PADDY won off a similar class drop two back and also six starts back. She is a must-use here. (4) A PLUS will be passing mares late for a share here.

Race 9

(4) STEPPIN OUT woke up and took a new life's mark last time. I'll play him back here despite the class rise. (8) SECOND SISTER seems to be improving as the season progresses; using. (9) BAGS FOR ALL drops one class and may try to bottom the field out here. If she clears quickly, look out. (1) CAULFIELD drops but has missed time. He will likely finish on the edges.

Race 10

(5) STONEBRIDGE QUEST stayed in at the 1/2 last week and closed a lot of ground up the inside. I would think Henry will leave this time and if he does, she will be right there. (1) BROOKDALE SHADOW is always dangerous when she draws inside due to the possibility of working out a perfect trip. (3) MARLEE B should find these easier and she can perform much better here with slower fractions likely. (2) REGALLY READY dropped, popped, now steps back up. She should get a check but more is unlikely.

Race 11

(9) BOURBON SEELSTER has won four of her last five and had no problem with this post last time; top call. (6) MAXIM SEELSTER should get another good trip near the front and she is plenty fast enough to win this. (4) BERNADETTE has been on the improve the last few weeks. She merits a look here. (8) TOP ROYAL went a crazy parked out trip last week, backing up on the turn then closing again late. She could take a share here if she doesn't get hung out. (2) SOUTHWIND TANGO loves to finish third but may have her streak broken this time.

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