07/22/2015 3:27PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/24 Analysis

Email

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,5,6,8/2,4/5/1,2,3,4,8 = $40

 

LATE PICK 4:6,7,9/2,3,5/5,8/3,4,5 = $54

MEET STATS: 189 - 615 / $1074.80 BEST BETS: 24 - 55 / $83.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 55 / $57.30

Best Bet: CODE ONE HANOVER (6th)

Spot Play: ST LADS PENNY LANE (9th)

Race 1

(9) CAVIART CARI ANN unleashed a last 1/4 on July 14 that was at least four seconds faster than any she had paced in any of her races the previous month. Something obviously clicked big time there so we'll call her to repeat. (4) WINDSONG LINDSEY had a sharp winning seasonal debut effort at Harrah's Philly last month and took a new life's mark that day. She subsequently broke at the start but now ships in with a good qualifier in tow and adds Lasix for trainer Toscano; respect. (10) ANISTON SEELSTER wasn't far off a sharp winner last week and McNair should be able to get a good position early here.

[DRF BETS: Sign up for DRF Bets & wager on your favorite harness tracks - $200 Signup Bonus + Free 10-card Harness Eye PP plan + 20% Bonus on Exotic wagers!]

Race 2

(1) BEACH GAL looked very live at the 3/4 last week, then like virtually every other closer, she seemed to hit quicksand in the lane. That was the biggest speed-biased track of the meet and she can bounce back with a win here - if the track is fair. (2) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM was a strong 2nd last time to a mare that has now won three straight impressively. She is a main contender here. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT reversed tactics and jogged as expected last week now steps back up. She should share here.

Race 3

(3) BET YA was noticed as one of the best closers last Saturday on a night where making up ground on the leaders was virtually impossible. She gets a slight nod here in a race where it looks like most have a shot to win. (2) EXHILIRATED also tried in vain to close on that same surface. The top two have a recency edge on most of these and you know the three-year-olds have much bigger fish to fry. It might be worth it to exacta box these two. (8) MARLEE B has been sharp for a long stretch but now comes into this off a three-week gap and leaving from the outermost slot.

Race 4

(8) GRACIES PARADE came home in :54 flat last week and still couldn't get close to a long-gone winner. The biased track and terrible mid-race flow worked against her then. She has a good shot here on a fair track. (1) ONE HOT MAJORETTE was in the same boat last week, trying to close when the leaders weren't coming back to the field and she paced a good mile, considering; using. (6) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL powered up late to win last time in a new life's best and can't be tossed.

Race 5

(2) ONEIDA raced huge on the rim a long way last week and should get a much better trip here moving in several posts; top call. (4) PISCEAN wired a similar group last time and set strong fractions throughout. Her sharp current form should be respected. (1) WIN THE DAY has gait issues but if he minds his manners he can compete with this group; he has faced much better recently.

Race 6

(5) CODE ONE HANOVER just about got up to win the top class at Grand River vs. her elders last week. That was off a month break and last time she raced in a class similar to this one she took a new life's mark; much preferred. (1) OK HEAVENLY challenged a strong winner first up and held on well with the pace accelerating late; using. (8) GOT SOME SPARK has shown plenty of spark in her last two starts and may have turned the corner.

Race 7

(8) TWIN B HONOUR chased a winner that was taking her third straight last week and was just too good. With little early speed signed on here, she's in with a shot at what might be a huge price. (1) WINDSUN CHANEL roared up off poor cover at the head of the lane and got up to post a solid win last week. She's one of several that can win this. (4) DUBLIN ROSE is another that has good early speed and she should be able to carve out a good trip up near the pace.

Race 8

(7) STONEBRIDGE QUEST blew the field away in the Kin Pace final at Clinton two back then was given an easy trip last week vs. her elders. Expect a blast to the front here and for her to be involved throughout. (9) GLAMOUR SEELSTER brings an unblemished record into this race but may be worth playing against as she faces a couple that are much better than what she has been facing. (6) SOUTHWIND MISCHIEF had no chance last week trying to close from last vs. older mares on a speed track. She could provide some good value in both vertical and horizontal wagers here.

Race 9

(3) ST LADS PENNY LANE should get a beautiful pace setup here after facing better last week on a night where closers couldn't gain; top call at what should be a square price. (2) BROOKDALE SHADOW faced much better last week and didn't leave; she is much more effective racing on the lead or very close to it. (5) NAT A VIRGIN was one of very few leaders to pack it in last week. She wouldn't be the best bet here at a short price.

Race 10

Both (5) ABBIJADE HANOVER and (8) LIVING HISTORY drop out of the Town Pro series where neither was disgraced. Top call to the former, but use both in the late pick 4. (6) ARTIAWITCHYOU returns from a New York Sires Stakes engagement where she grabbed a check and is another in with a shot here.

Race 11

(4) MYSTERY WRITER fired off a huge qualifier after switching barns and could click here first time going for money for the new stable. (5) MAPLELEA, already an 8-time winner this year, returns from a short break and is a major player. Note the choice chased her down from the pocket in the qualifier. (3) SOUTHWIND GEISHA was inexplicably kept in last time while a slow pace was being set then broke looking for room in the lane. She can beat all of these with the right trip; keep an eye on her odds. (1) COTTONWOOD CREEK was a solid NW2L winner last time but these are tougher; minor share predicted. (7) BLACK WIDOW BABY is a good one for the exotics but it is highly doubtful that she can threaten the top three.

[DRF HARNESS EYE: Digital Harness Eye is now available for purchase--PPs, Analysis, Charts, and more!]