07/20/2016 2:39PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/22 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,9/5/1,2,5,6,8,9/1,4,5/2,7,8 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,5/2,7,8/1,2,9/1,2,6 = $81

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,9/1,2/1,2,3/1,5 = $36

MEET STATS: 228 - 668 / $1197.00  BEST BETS: 38 - 62 / $120.70

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 61 / $76.60

Best Bet: SANDBETWEENURTOES (2nd)

Spot Play: DOCS SAUSALITO (4th)

Race 1

(9) BOURBON SEELSTER stands a good chance of taking the opener coast-to-coast with the drop back to Grassroots company. Perhaps the outer post will help the price just a bit. (2) WIDSUN GLORY also drops back to a class she dominated two back. This looks like a two filly race. (1) SOUTHWIND TANGO is a great bet to finish third it seems. (3) BERNADETTE has won two of her last three but will likely find the top two hard to beat here.

Race 2

(5) SANDBETWEENURTOES has simply moved too late in her last two starts. Expect a more aggressive approach here, and a win. (4) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS has been lights out since returning from a break and has won off three very different trips. She is the main threat to the choice. (2) MS MAC N CHEESE has 10 slices in 18 starts and likely completes the exacta or tri here again. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC can work out a following trip and take a share here.

Race 3

(5) VICTORIA SEMALU or (6) BROOKDALE SHADOW or may be able to work out the pocket trip here which I think has a good chance of being the winning trip. Slight edge to the former based on post position. (9) LAY LADY LAY and (8) MAYHEM SEELSTER are two capable sophomore fillies, but it's hard to predict how they will be driven here with some stakes engagements still left on the schedule. This should be a Pick 5 spread race.

Race 4

(4) DOCS SAUSILITO paced a 27 2/5 second 1/4 in the driving rain on a track rated three seconds slow and somehow still almost survived a long uncovered trip to win. She is a new filly on Lasix and merits top call despite facing tougher here. (5) TWIN B THONG had a brutal trip last time. Toss that line out; she's a top contender vs. these. (1) THISORTHAT HANOVER fits this class much better and is another threat and a must-use in multi-race bets. (2) KAYS

Race 5

(8) BUTTERMILK HANOVER doesn't look great off her last two lines but last time she was in a Grassroots race here on June 17th she was a very unlucky loser. A rebound performance is predicted here. (7) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU was a decent 2nd to a sharp winner here last week and she rates highly in this field. (2) IM IN LUV takes a slice better than a third of the time and she can share here. (4) ACTIVE LADY is still a maiden but she can get a spot near the front early here and stick around for a share.

Race 6

(9) MICHAELS TURN trotted a good mile in his qualifier after getting hung the mile on June 14th and dropping in class here might get him his first win of the year. (1) SECOND SISTER raced better when dropped to this class and she too has a good chance here. (2) ODDS ON AMETHYST was motoring last time in the lane but his lone win here this year was notched on the lead. He could be put into action early here. (5) TOTALLY RIPPED closes with a rush occasionally and is a good one to toss on tri bets.

Race 7

(2) WESTLUCKYCAM made up a ton of ground to win at Grand River after leaving from an outer post. Expect a much better start from an inside post here; top call. (1) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE popped at a price last time which I had been expecting for a few weeks. She could trip out here leaving from the inside; using. (6) GOLDEN IDOL can race effectively on the lead or stalking the pace and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets. (5) BAD LIGHTNING's closing kick might be more effective in this field.

Race 8

(5) DONNA PARTY drops back to the class where she fits and she should race much better here. (9) LUCKY COCKTAIL dominated in this class early in the meet and she is a multi-race bet must-use. (4) TIGRA SEELSTER is another that should enjoy class relief that should be used on Pick 4 tickets. (7) KYLES SECRET rarely misses a check and should grab a smaller share here.

Race 9

(2) MAXIM SEELSTER took a new life's mark in this kind of company two back and she should be tough to beat here. (1) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE beat the choice two back and she looks like the only real threat. Mark those two on your Pick 4 tickets and move on. (5) ROSY OUTLOOK should get a better trip here and take a slice. (6) THIS DAY FORWARD is a consistent earner, but still a maiden.

Race 10

(3) LADYHARDT has won four of her last five including a victory over similar company at Grand River. I'll stick with her while she is hot. (2) HP SISSY returns from Quebec after a couple of confidence-building wins and she can threaten here. (1) MATTJESTIC TEMPO doesn't win often but she rates highly here off her last two miles. (4) BONNIES GEM knows where the wire is but will need to find more speed to take more than a minor share here.

Race 11

(5) REGALLY READY takes a pretty big class plunge here and Zeron will likely try to take contril of the race with her before they reach the stretch; top call. (1) D GS PESQUERO also drops and moves inside. She should be the main threat to the choice. (4) DOCTOR TERROR has been racing better recently and she can take a good share here. (3) SHOW SOME LEG always races better when starting from an inner post. Use her in your exotic wagers here. (7) ST LADS PENNY LANE can close for a smaller share here.

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