07/08/2015 3:55PM

Mohawk: Friday 7/10 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,4,5/1,2,6,10/2,5,6,7/7 = $48

 

LATE PICK 4: 1/4,9/5,9/2,3,5,6,7 = $20

MEET STATS: 160 - 515 / $920.60 BEST BETS: 20 - 46 / $71.10 SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 44 / $53.20

Best Bet: RIDE AWAY SHARK (8th)

Spot Play: M G JADE (11th)

Race 1

(8) LEVY TAYLORE was one of two from the same unheralded sire that performed extremely well for the same connections on June 28 at Georgian on a track rated two seconds slow. We get the feeling there could be more than meets the eye here; top call. (7) VEGAS DREAM won his debut easily in the same dash as the choice. He looks like the one to beat. (2) KIRKTONS CREDIT led most of the way in the pouring rain in his 2nd qualifier in a good performance and should be a pace threat at minimum.

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Race 2

(4) ANISTON SEELSTER was an impressive maiden breaker last week in good time and this isn't the strongest non-winners of two field. Call to repeat. (3) HEATHERS SHADOW was fried making the front last time in a Grassroots race - having to go a 26 4/5 suicide second 1/4 - and understandably stopped. She can get a much better trip here and looks like the main threat to the choice. (5) PROMESSE DUHARAS has been racing well with 4 wins from 9 starts and looks like the biggest danger to close in late.

Race 3

(5) KOKANEE SEELSTER was on excess cover stalking a snail's pace but still managed to pick up a check by coming home in 26 1/5 behind an excellent debut winner. He should improve off that effort here. (3) THREE TRUTHS won his debut in good time over Clinton last week and is likely the one to beat here. (2) DERECHO knocked four seconds off in his second qualifier and is another for early pick 4 tickets.

Race 4

(2) GERRIES SPORT motored home in 25 2/5 last time but still missed a check. He will likely take lots of action off that finish but Zeron needs to keep him much closer to have a chance; slight nod. (4) UPGRADE VALLEY has two solid qualifying wins on display when he has behaved and should be a threat. (5) STONEBRIDGE BETTOR looks fit and ready and trainer 'O Sullivan typically sends them first out.

Race 5

(1) A LOT OF SENSE closed a big gap late last time and looks at a favorable ace scenario here which should enhance her late kick. (10) TABOO SEELSTER has won two straight in style off the claim but the 10 hole can be the great equalizer. (6) DELIRIUM mapped out a great trip last time to take her second in a row. Her form has been solid for a while now.

Race 6

(7) MOOT COURT chased down a loose leader - which wasn't an easy feat on June 27 - and gets top call here in his debut off that effort. (2) MACHARONI N CHEESE made a big move to the front down the backside in his lone qualifier and went on to an easy win. This $35K yearling purchase looks to have some potential. (5) SHADOWS PRO raced only evenly over a wet track in his debut and quite likely has more to offer which could come into play here.

Race 7

(7) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL chased a strong winner in vain but couldn't keep pace late last week. MacDonell may try to take this mare coast-to-coast here which may be very possible in this mostly weak group. (5) OLE BLACK MAGIC takes a class plunge here and will be closing for sure in this group - if he stays flat which he couldn't do last week.

Race 8

(1) RIDE AWAY SHARK drops back into the class that she dominated two weeks ago and will be tough to overhaul starting from the inside here. (7) SOUTHWIND LUNA was overtaken turning home last week but was well clear of the balance in a good effort first off the claim. (2) ONE HOT MAJORETTE won a non-winners of two easily in April then stepped into company that was too tough. She's in with a shot here returning from a short break.

Race 9

(9) BLUE ZOMBIE is a full-brother to three winners from three that have raced from his dam. He has shown high late speed in two of his three qualifiers and will be tough to hold off late if he can float out for position early. (4) THINK ON IT may have been a victim of his own pace slowing tactics in his debut when passed late by two rivals. He should be better here with that experience in tow. (7) WILD CHANCE has geared up for this debut with four qualifiers in less than a month. He isn't without a chance to score first time out here.

Race 10

(5) CALIFORNIA SUN is the 6th foal to race out of a $1.4 million winning racemare that has thrown all winners so far. This colt has not been asked for a lot in his qualifiers and should show more right away. (9) ST LADS MOONWALK was a nice winner in her lone qualifier and could threaten even from the 9-hole. (1) ONLY HALF BAD had a debut race where he got too far behind a tepid pace and couldn't close. He should show more here.

Race 11

(6) M G JADE latched onto some cover on the final turn but the slow third 1/4 did her chances in last week. She should get more pace to chase here. (9) ROLLTIDEROLL drops for her second start following a forced break. She is likely pointed right to the top for as far as she goes. (4) KENDAL GUCCI may also benefit from a slowing late pace and could threaten at a square price.

Race 12

(3) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM has really improved in the past couple of months and should be able to latch onto some cover here and convert in the finale. (5) CALL ME MAYBE has similarly stepped up her game in the past month and should not be taken lightly here. (7) VICTORIA SEMALU was an easy winner off a soft 1/2 in non-winners of two company but these are tougher. (6) EXHILIRATED has been going great guns for Auciello and is another in with a chance in a contentious heat. (2) MACARENA MAMA should be along late for a minor share.

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