06/03/2015 3:49PM

Mohawk: Friday 6/5 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

1,3,7,8/3,7,10/1,7/5,8 = $36

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 4,5,9/2,4/2,4,8/3,4,7 = $54

MEET STATS: 101 - 313 / $577.50  BEST BETS: 14 - 28 / $49.90

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 26 / $45.60

Best Bet: LIGHTS GO OUT (10th)

Spot Play: MYSTIQUE BEACH BUM (8th)

Race 1

(10) SOUTHWIND STRYKER unleashed a lethal kick in his qualifier – turning a 10-length deficit at the 3/4 pole into an 8-length win – and looks primed for his sophomore debut. (7) OH MY MAGIC hasn’t missed the board this year and is one to reckon with here, too. (5) BOLI won well two back then failed to contend in an OSS Gold event in London. He should bounce back with a better effort here.

Race 2

(6) ANYWHERE WITH YOU toyed with her rivals in her debut and gets a slight nod to repeat here vs. tougher. (3) ARIELLA has lived up to her excellent breeding so far and looks to run her unbeaten streak to three; the main danger. (1) PISCEAN manhandled weaker opponents last time and is another in with a shot in a competitive NW2L tilt.

[SCIOTO DOWNS: Watch Bee A Magician in the Charlie Hill on Saturday--Live on DRF!]

Race 3

(2) AMERICAN IN PARIS is too good and too sharp to be kept winless for much longer. She stands a good chance to trip out in the pocket behind logical favorite (1) WAASMULA, who has been on a real tear here winning four Mares Preferreds at the meet already. Slight nod to the former. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY has really improved at this meet and merits consideration at her usual long price.

Race 4

(1) THRILL CHASER moves inside and last time she started from here she won and set a new life’s mark. She should get a good trip and take this group down. (3) IDEAL SPACE is 7 for 20 this year and ships in with sharp form on display; contender. (8) CHEEKY stormed by the field with an impressive late brush. Keep her on pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(7) SPIRIT TO WIN showed speed and talent last season and after two solid qualifiers trainer Jones – who quite often drives his own in their first couple of starts – goes right to a catch driver signaling he means business. (3) MYSTERY BET blew up the tote last out by motoring past his foes using a 26 4/5 final quarter; hard to say if he can repeat that, but we’re using in the pick 4. (10) WINNING WIZARD won an OSS Gold event in excellent time at London in his season debut and is a must on pick 4 tickets, even from out there.

Race 6

(7) MACHAL JORDAN took heavy support from the 10-hole last week, set the pace and just missed. Now he gets to drop to the lowest condition level; top call. (1) HAIL THE TAXI closed a big gap in a slowing pace but his lack of gate speed often gets him in bad spots; notice the 5 slices vs. only 2 wins from his last 29 starts. (5) BRINGHOME THEBLUE faced some good ones in his past couple and wasn’t disgraced. He has some upset potential here.

Race 7

(5) KARLEE SUE keeps getting faster and likely carves out a good trip for herself here vs. some that may have bigger paydays in their sights down the road. (8) MOONLIT DANCE has gone big trips in all of her last 4 starts, but you have to wonder how badly she needs this $9K purse relative to her future dance card. (3) MACARENA MAMA makes her 4th start of the year and should be prominent here from on or near the pace.

Race 8

(4) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM’s form is better than it looks on paper and she should be able to either control the pace or sit a trip near the pace then pounce late; top call. (5) SHADYS M THREE raced well vs. better last week and fits well here. (7) ISLAND VIEW exits a rapid heat where she finished quickly without threatening. She has upset potential.

Race 9

(4) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU fired off an impressive mile in her season’s debut and will take some beating here if she produces anything close to that performance. (2) FRANNEY LOVE DAT gets Zeron back and the two teamed up for an upset win in her debut in his barn two starts back. She should be close here. (6) STONEBRIDGE QUEST was nailed late by two good ones and should get another aggressive steer here.

Race 10

As noted in last week’s analysis, when (4) LIGHTS GO OUT gets good, she can be really good. Call for the threepeat in her current sharp condition. (8) AN ANGEL SHES NOT has been unlucky the past couple and is still sharp. She can go a long way on the lead here. (2) EMPRESS DEO suffered an interference break in the stretch last time and is another threat.

Race 11

(3) ICOMMANDMYSPIRIT had a tightener against better and gets to drop in class here. She’s very capable of beating these. (4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR makes her second start out of the Moreau barn and did pace a 27 flat final 1/4 last week. She gets a driver change to the stable’s top teamster. (7) KISS ME OR NOT was beaten by two that would rate highly here. She should be tough. (9) ADDISON BAY parlayed a nice trip into a solid win last week and is returning to her best form. (10) CALL ME MAYBE will be passing horses late and can get a piece of the exotics at a square price.