06/01/2016 4:05PM

Mohawk: Friday 6/3 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 4,8/1,3,4/5,7/1,3,6,10/4,5,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,6,10/4,5,6/2,3,5/3 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5/1,4/4,5/4,6,8,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 104 - 325 / $590.20  BEST BETS: 18 - 31 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $32.80

Best Bet: SOLAR SISTER (10TH)   Spot Play: HIE BENNY (1ST)

Race 1

(4) HIE BENNY raced decently for Henry from the worst post last time and now moves to the middle of the gate. He should get a much more aggressive steer; call to upset. (8) BAX OF LIFE faces her easiest competition in a long time here and is the obvious horse to beat, but her racing style often works against her and she will likely be odds-on. (10) KINETIC KING was a good second in this class last time and has the speed to get position early from this post. He isn’t out of this. (7) HARLEIGH RYDER had a long trip last time and is capable of better.

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Race 2

(4) MERCHANDISER closed well last time but the winner was long gone. He can beat these if he starts his move earlier. (3) EMOTICON HANOVER should benefit from her seasonal bow and threaten here from an improved post. (1) WINDSONG MAGIC faces easier and is another contender to consider. Note she won last time she raced in the non-winners of two class. (8) DIA MONDE was an easy winner then a vet scratch. Facing tougher here, he is likely to take a smaller share.

Race 3

(7) MAPLELEA had equipment issues last time which caused her to lose all chance. The class drop should help and this is a field she should handle. (5) BET YA disappointed last time but should be a threat here from close range. (6) KATIES BEACH will be closing and passing many of these late for a share. (1) RIDE AWAY SHARK comes off a good performance at London and could better this placing if she leaves in the top flight.

Race 4

(6) LADY JEN powered up late to win last week and her improved stretch speed appears to give her an edge over these; top call. (10) IN THE SHADOWS drops into a claimer after facing the same sharp winner three times straight. She will find these easier and is a contender despite her weak win record. (3) SPORTSONTHEBEACH has reeled off three straight out of town and must be considered here. (1) SOPHIE BLU self-destructed on the lead last time and can rebound here with a better placing if she behaves.

Race 5

(4) HOPE FOR PADDY lands in a spot where there should be some early battling for the front. She could roll by some winded foes late here. (5) PRINCESS KATIE has really turned up her game and is the one to beat, but she could face more heat early here. (6) SOUTHWIND GEISHA is another closer that could benefit from some hot fractions here. (9) BAROCKEY should stick around for a share after blasting early.

Race 6

(3) UTOPIA flew home to win last week and that late speed should be respected despite the step up in class. (2) CAULFIELD raced much better on the class drop and should be a top contender here back at the same level. (5) HUBBY NUMBER ONE took a new life’s mark last week and will be a threat again from close range. (1) FASHION GODDESS is a good one to use on the bottom of tri and super wagers.

Race 7

(3) DE VALERIA just missed to an iron-tough mare last week and this step up may not be that great; slight nod. (5) CALL IT COURAGE has been racing better and will likely get sent for position near the front here, which makes her a threat. (2) SHOW SOME LEG qualified okay and has done well here in the past; using. (6) MYSTERY WRITER faces easier and could stick around for a slice.

Race 8

(2) TORTOLA SUNRISE has taken a new life’s mark two weeks straight and should get another good trip near the front here. (5) CLASSIC VENTURE ships in for a trainer that sends them ready and has the speed to contend. (3) MUSCLES FOR LIFE should go much better from an improved post and could turn the tables on the choice here. (1) IRISH SCOTCH is showing signs of improvement and is in with an upset chance here.

Race 9

(4) LINWOOD BEACHGIRL faces tougher here but should be able to latch onto cover and unleash her potent late kick to extend her winning streak. (1) SHE LIGHTS OUT is just a nose short of three straight wins herself and is the main threat to the choice. (8) MISS BABE DELIGHT will be closing late and can make the tri or super. (2) TOP ROYAL had to re-qualify after breaking last time but could contend on or near the lead is she stays flat.

Race 10

(4) SOLAR SISTER went a tough trip after missing 20 days last week and she should be sharper here; can beat these with a slightly better trip. (5) WITCH DALI rode a speed-favoring track to a front-stepping victory but also took a new life’s mark in the process; respect her sharp form. (7) LADY SHADOW returns to her favorite track and could show sharp improvement. (1) MUCH ADOO can take a share off a following trip near the lead.