06/24/2015 2:39PM

Mohawk: Friday 6/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,3,5,6,9/3,7/1,3/1,3 = $40


LATE PICK 4: 6,7,9/4,5/8/1,3,4,5,10 = $30

MEET STATS: 133 - 433 / $798.60 BEST BETS: 16 - 38 / $54.80

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 36 / $50.40

Best Bet: UNIQUE BARAN (10th)

Spot Play: SHADOW’S WONDER (4th)

Race 1

(6) MY KID SISTER, a 7-time winner last year, has raced twice in June and had pretty bad trips in both but showed signs in each mile that she's live. She should be a good price here and can upset these with a decent trip. (8) MAGIC SHELLEY drops out of stakes company and is the obvious one to beat. She often finds herself with traffic issues camped at the back of the field which might explain her poor win record. (7) HOMEN DRY led most of the mile but was picked off by one that has won three times in the past month. He would be no surprise either.

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Race 2

(2) SOUTHWIND GEISHA was held up until very late by Henry by design last time then roared up in time. She is super sharp and gets the call in the 1st leg of the Town Pro series. (6) LIVING HISTORY stayed in last time and was full of pace nearing the wire. She should be very tough in here. (3) IMAGINE DRAGON was going good before breaking stride last time out. She will be a contender if she stays flat.

Race 3

(4) CARTER BEACH was held up by Jamieson until the final 1/4 in his qualifier then closed some ground into a rapid late pace and looked good doing it. We expect he can show much more when asked; top call. (3) MATCHPLAY HANOVER roared down the lane in 25 3/5 to win his 2nd qualifier and is sure to take plenty of support at the windows here. (2) BETTING LINE closed even quicker, flying home in 25 1/5 in the same heat and is also very dangerous in a race with a few possibilities.

Race 4

(9) SHADOWS WONDER has twice set some big fractions up front and stopped both times. She drops in class a bit here and could pop at a price off a better trip. (3) GRACIES PARADE has been well beaten in her last few but has faced much better than these. She should be heard from here. (5) FAROUCHE HANOVER has a shot here in a very weak group for this class.

Race 5

(3) WAR FILLY got cooked in a 26 4/5 third 1/4 last time by a very sharp winner. She hung in there well considering; top call here. (7) RIDE AWAY SHARK was out in 26 3/5 and home in 26 4/5 in a sharp effort and could take her first win of the season vs. these. (5) BETTOR OUT WEST left hard early for a change and managed to convert that move into a 55/1 upset. She could be a big threat again if she is sent early.

Race 6

(3) THE GRAND FILLY made her season's debut in an OSS Gold event and was a bang-up third in a swift mile after pressing first over and taking the lead briefly in the stretch. These look much easier. (1) AMOUREUSE HANOVER was in the same race and closed some ground on the choice in the last 1/4. She should be the main danger. (4) BIG RICH finally broke his maiden but didn't look great doing it; minor award predicted.

Race 7

(3) TESSA SEELSTER was dominant last week - using a 26.4 third 1/4 to bury her rivals and looks solid here again at a short price. (1) WIN THE GOLD has sneaky good form and if anyone is going to topple the choice it is this filly who last year won the Battle of the Belles. (7) EXHILIRATED has won 4 straight out of town in aggressive fashion and isn't without a chance.

Race 8

(6) P L HURRICANE showed good speed late in her first start off a break. Expect Filion to drive much more aggressively here as he has been doing with virtually everything the past week. (9) LARJON LAURA dug in to hang on late in her first start for Auciello and A Mac will be sending here too, no doubt. She's a contender even with the class rise. (7) BROOKDALE SHADOW took her life's mark here last year and returns from the Maritimes to face a group she should be able to make an impact against right away; using.

Race 9

(5) INVEST IN ART couldn't reach a sensational winner last week but was a strong second and her price may be the highest yet this time around so she gets our top call. (4) LINDYS OLD LADY drops out of open stakes company and will no doubt be heavily-bet. She's the one to take down. (6) ABBIJADE HANOVER has improved her closing power and should be up for a share late here.

Race 10

(8) UNIQUE BARAN just missed from the 10-hole off the claim in a super effort and looks like one of few contenders here. (9) CROWN ISLE came off the choice's cover to reach up in the very last stride and looks solid again here. (3) LITTLE QUICK would be the one to benefit if the early pace is too fast for the leaders to sustain.

Race 11

(4) OCEANVIEW BINDI has come close in this class in her past two and looks as good as any in a wide-open finale. (5) SHADYS M THREE has been facing better but she is trip-dependent and likely to be an underlay here in the win pool. (3) TRAUMA UNIT showed improvement last time while racing free-legged and has been known to pop up with a big upset now and then; respect. (1) TWILIGHT SEELSTER closed a big gap late into a slowing pace and should be good for a share here from the rail. (10) TIGRA SEELSTER was a big winner here two back and if Filion can make front quickly she could repeat that performance.

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