06/10/2015 3:58PM

Mohawk: Friday 6/12 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

1,2,3,6/2,7/3,5,9/3 = $24

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 3,7,8/2/1,4,9/2,7,8 = $27

MEET STATS: 110 - 346 / $618.10  BEST BETS: 15 - 31 / $52.70 SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 29 / $45.60

Best Bet: FRENCH LAUNDRY (9th)

Spot Play: I GOT TO BOOGIE (4th)

Race 1

(2) ONYOURMARKNATAVA was involved in a heated early pace last time and understandably tired. She has faced some very good ones recently and this group looks a bit easier; top call in the opener. (4) ADDISON BAY was too far back early to enter contention last week but could get a good trip here on cover. (3) WINDSONG JACOBA scored a major upset last week in her second race off the shelf. She could very well get a similar good trip here.

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Race 2

(5) CANEPA HANOVER arrives off a new lifetime mark that stamps her as simply much faster than any of these. She's tough to bet against but will be a puny price in the win pool. (1) IRON also took a new life's mark in her season debut last week and likely lurks in the pocket here and tries to nail the choice late. (6) MUSCLE UP THE GOAL looks best of the rest, but several lengths behind the top two.

Race 3

(1) HANDOVER BELLE had a nice win over the boys in May then took a break and comes into this off a rapid qualifier. She could post an upset here with the right trip. (2) BEE A MAGICIAN is obviously the one to beat as she has been in top form this season, her only loss coming in open company to Father Patrick. This is the first time she has faced exclusively mares in 2015. (4) ALLIE LABROOK also faces her own sex for the first time after some impressive miles in open company in Indiana.

Race 4

(2) I GOT TO BOOGIE gets class relief here and should either leave hard or be on the move earlier than she has been recently. Top call at a square price. (1) AN ANGEL SHES NOT also faces easier and gets a better post to work with. She's a contender here. (3) ICOMMANDMYSPIRIT miscued early then made a nice recovery to grab a check. Keep her on pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(7) I AM SPECIAL has won the last three times Filion has been at the controls. Her last win was an impressive first-up triumph that set a new life's mark; call to repeat. (2) DANIELLE HALL took off the trotting hopples for her season's debut with disastrous results. The classy filly puts them back on here and tries to get back on track. (4) KATE SMITH tried to leave hard but broke stride. She is sharp as her final quarters indicate but must behave to nab a share.

Race 6

(3) BET YA takes a drop from the Fillies and Mares Preferred which is just a bit out of her reach. She was winning regularly before she stepped into the top class and is the one to beat here. (5) MARLEE B also drops and was a winner in this same class two back. (9) LIGHTS GO OUT has been racing much better recently and likely tries to wind up from near the back late here.

Race 7

(3) SHAKE IT CERRY beat the boys twice straight in the Graduate series and is obviously back to top form. Beat her to greet the cashier. (8) CHARMED LIFE has maintained her sharpness racing locally and will be coming late, as always. (9) FRAU BLUCHER comes in off a rapid win in the Open at Pocono and no doubt will be blasting early.

Race 8

(7) EVAS GIRL was closing quickly on a tough winner in the OSS Gold last week and deserves top billing here. (3) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL only missed the exacta once so far this season - on a night where she drew the 10-hole - and she should get a good trip here. (8) ROCK HER WORLD has talent but has been raced sparingly so far which could be a red flag; mixed signals from this one.

Race 9

(2) FRENCH LAUNDRY lays over this field on speed and class and likely only gets beat here if he misbehaves. (3) THE BANK was a sires stakes winner two back then miscued. He can rebound with a better effort here. (6) INFINITI AS tuned up for this with an impressive Grassroots win but the top two here are much tougher company.

Race 10

(1) SHOW BIZ HALL was only nailed late last time by one who is in the Goodtimes elims tonight. He should be able to handle this group. (4) JUANITAS FURY couldn't hold off two late chargers last time that would both stack up well here. She's in with a chance. (9) SUMMERS JEWEL raced well against the best local 3YO trotting filly in her debut then miscued last time. She can get a piece of this at a price if flat.

Race 11

(8) TEAM CAPTAIN raced well vs. a promising undefeated colt last week. He has been showing improved early speed and should be prominent throughout here. (2) THINKOFAGAMEPLAN broke stride in his season debut at London. Perhaps returning to the big oval will yield a better result here. (7) AMERICAN PAPARAZZI debuts for trainer Johnson here which is always a dangerous angle.

Race 12

(2) OCEANVIEW BINDI didn't do much from an outer post last time but now gets to drop into a class where she can compete and gets a better post. She may even offer a decent price; top call. (3) RUB N TUG also drops and should be on or near the pace throughout here. (4) SHADOWS WONDER closed well enough vs. slightly better to suggest she is a contender here. (6) ST LADS PENNY LANE attempted a failed brush and crush last week and likely reverts to a closing style here. (7) FAROUCHE HANOVER gets Lasix here and could better this placing.

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