05/06/2015 5:22PM

Mohawk: Friday 5/8 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,6/3,5,6,7,8,9/1,3,6/8 = $36


LATE PICK 4: 7,9,10/1,8/3,4,9/1,6,10 = $54

MEET STATS: 57 - 170 / $320.40  BEST BETS: 9 - 15 / $29.30

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 13 / $32.60


Spot Play: LARJON LAURA (8th)

Race 1

(8) OCEANA made up a ton of ground after breaking early and spotting the field more than 20 lengths and she fell just short of a miraculous-looking win; top call hoping she behaves in here. (5) TYMAL SIGNATURE provided cover to the winner in the Celias Counsel Final in a good effort. She is faces others stuck on one win here and looks formidable. (7) FLEXCEPTIONAL wasn't far back in the same dash as the one above and merits a look here, too.

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Race 2

(3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE drops to a level where she should be queen bee here; on top. (6) MISS COCO LUCK has held her form well the past month and could take this with a trip. (4) MACHET ROCKET also drops in class back to a level where she has been competitive in the past.

Race 3

(10) MUSCLE MACK trotted so fast down the Mohawk stretch last week that he looked like he was shot out of a cannon. The 10-hole obviously is no bargain but this one has the speed and talent to overcome it. (1) RUBBER DUCK got good in the fall then was stopped on for the year. He returns off an impressive qualifying effort and must be chased down. (2) OH MY MAGIC is 3-3 this year at Flamboro now gives the big track a go here.

Race 4

(4) MISTRESSTOTHESTARS raced much better last Saturday and is likely sent here by Jamieson. Catch her to greet the cashier. (6) REQUEST FOR PAROLE beat similar at Pocono now goes for Team Baillargeon here after shipping in; she's dangerous. (1) NINE LIVES HANOVER moves inside and can pass rivals from closer range for a decent share here.

Race 5

(5) SOUTHWIND CHAMPANE opened her 3YO campaign with an easy win. Trainer Bax has this one on top of her game early; call to repeat. (6) CLIMB HIGHER moved into the Baillargeon barn and trotted one of his best miles yet in his May 1 qualifier; using. (7) MAGIC SHELLEY tripped out to win the Celias Counsel Final but she is obviously a filly on the rise,

Race 6

(3) NAT A VIRGIN came home fast off excess cover in her season's debut. She can beat this group if driven more aggressively. (6) BULLET POINT has reeled off two straight vs. lower but is capable of making this jump and showing more speed; beware. (1) MURRAYFIELD gets class and post relief here and must be respected.

Race 7

(8) IMMINENT RESPONSE ships in from Rideau where he has beaten arguably better and trainer Vanderkemp immediately enlists a catch-driver. That tells us enough to call him on top. (4) HAVA KADABRA drops back to a class where he won while making several moves; the main danger. (3) CANBEC FRIDOLIN drops into a claimer for Moreau and should show marked improvement.

Race 8

(10) LARJON LAURA was forced into a tough trip when she couldn't fish out cover last time but she still finished well to fall only a length short. The price will be better from out there tonight and she may even get a better trip. (9) EXHILARATED motored home from last to be beaten only 1/2 a length by the choice; using. (7) CHEEKIE drops into a claimer for Team Jamieson and has a shot to convert vs. this group.

Race 9

(1) MONKEY ON MY WHEEL gets top billing in this stacked F & M Preferred dash as she should get one of the better trips starting from the inside. (8) BEACH GAL fired home in 26 1/5 in her lone qualifier and looks ready to roll for white-hot trainer Menary. (3) AMERICAN IN PARIS failed twice as big chalk so far this year but is sure to be a much better price here.

Race 10

(4) OLDFRIENDSKENTUCKY makes his 2nd start out of the Moreau barn and looks to have a more favorable pace scenario here vs. easier. (9) WESTERN CAPTIVE showed high speed both early and late in his qualifier and may be the choice's main competition for the front early. (3) HAIL THE TAXI wasn't far behind the choice after starting from post 10 and merits consideration here with the move inside.

Race 11

(10) LOVELY ERIN has already proven she can handle outside posts and looks solid to run her unbeaten streak to 5 here. (6) BEYONCES ROCKIN looked like a winner in the stretch when a rival roared out of the pack late to nab her. She looks like the main foe. (1) ZIP CODE ENVY left hard from the 10-hole then chased an impressive winner home. She will be tough here with the move inside. (3) DOCS HOLLYWOOD was hung the mile and still finished close up; she has upset possibilities. (9) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS is a good one to close late and hit the bottom rungs of vertical wagers.

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