05/27/2015 5:21PM

Mohawk: Friday 5/29 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,4,9/1/5,8,9/2,6,7  = $27

 

LATE $1 PICK 4:  6,7/5,8,10/1,2,5/5,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 93 - 292 / $536.60 BEST BETS: 12 - 26 / $42.50

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 24 / $40.80

Best Bet: JETPEDIA (3rd)

Spot Play: TESSA SEELSTER (5th)

Race 1

(8) MASS RAIL miscued early which cost her all chance last time. The two prior starts she raced well vs. the red-hot Tymal Signature who would destroy these. Top call hoping she behaves. (2) ARIELLE lived up to her good breeding winning at a nice price in her debut. These are a bit tougher but she is a contender. (1) HALO EFFECT made a threatening move at the head of the lane then stalled in her debut. She should be able to build off that initial start.

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Race 2

(4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR debuts here for Moreau and likely brings a decent price considering some of the ones she is in against. She should have some speed to chase down late. (3) DOCTOR TERROR easily won in this class April 24 before embarking on a Pennsylvania Sires Stakes tour. She will be tough. (10) CAST NO SHADOW set a new life's mark winning the final of the Princess series but has now missed 3 weeks and is likely overbet here. Accept a short price at your own risk.

Race 3

(5) JETPEDIA faced the best of the best last year and fared decently. He recently qualified faster than any of these have raced this year which will make him very tough to beat. (8) ONE DIRECTION had a useful season's debut where he chased a good winner. He looks like the main threat - if there is one. (9) MACHO MASS won his debut then finished in behind One Direction in his second start after a following trip; for a share.

Race 4

(3) JAC SPADE is an infrequent winner, but with an inside draw and speed to chase here he could get the trip he needs at a square price. (4) INTENDED STYLE won his debut out of the Johnson barn then was beaten by the same one twice who is not in this field; main threat. (9) GENESSEE showed further improvement last week and is sharp now, although the post does him no favors here.

Race 5

(1) TESSA SEELSTER managed to get herself parked the mile last week yet still made a threatening move on the last turn before flattening out. These are easier and with the move inside she is sure to get a better trip; top call. (6) RIDE AWAY SHARK made two moves and tried hard to chase down an unyielding pacesetter. She is the main threat to the choice. (5) BETTY AND THE JETS was out of contention for most of the mile last week but drops back to meet conditioned foes and can share here.

Race 6

(8) MY KID SISTER had a productive 2014 season and looks well-prepped to start off this campaign for trainer McIntosh; top call. (5) DOMEDOMEDOME has gone two big first-up trips and is an obviously sharp contender. (9) HOMEN DRY switches barns and had a good qualifier where he closed a big gap late; another contender.

Race 7

(2) LIGHTS GO OUT has finally hit her best stride and when she's good, she can be really good. Look for another big effort here. (6) WANNA ROCK N ROLL drops to face easier and should be heard from here. (7) I GOT TO BOOGIE has been racing very well and also drops and should be included on pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(7) WAR FILLY got too far behind a slow pace early last week and did well to pass 1/2 the field in the second half. She rates top billing here. (6) STONEBRIDGE QUEST left hard then tried a second move but failed in her season's debut. She can build on that effort. (3) ABBIJADE HANOVER showed a bit of grit in the lane breaking her maiden but a couple of these are much tougher.

Race 9

(10) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL, who didn't hit one exacta in 11 starts last year, has been sensational in two 2015 starts; call to repeat. (8) DUBLIN ROSE shipped in ready to play and was only nailed late by the pocket-sitter. She's the one to beat. (5) LOVELY ERIN won her fifth of six career starts last week but looked a bit bumpy in the lane. There may be a chink in her armour now.

Race 10

(1) OK HALLELUJAH comes in off two sharp qualifiers, looks faster than last year and meets a fairly weak group. She has a good shot to break her maiden here. (5) CAVIART CARI ANN made several moves and was only nailed late by one that had changed barns. She is the main foe here. (2) TAILWIND HANOVER broke early losing all chance. She could redeem herself here if she behaves.

Race 11

(5) ADDISON BAY put up some big fractions Sunday night vs. open company at Rideau and was only nailed late. She should be competitive in this mixed bag. (6) JAKARDEZ ships north for trainer Cirasuola who has tremendous success with these types of moves. (7) JABAS LUCK closed a good gap late now drops to a level where she should be more competitive. (8) MACHET ROCKET also drops and should share here. (10) WINBAK YOUR CASH rarely missed the board out of town and can compete here.

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