05/25/2016 4:21PM

Mohawk: Friday 5/27 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,4,5,7/2,7/3,4/2,6,7,9/2,5,9 = $38.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7,9/2,5,9/5/2,4,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2/4,5,7/1,2,4/2,6 = $18

MEET STATS: 97 - 292 / $561.20  BEST BETS: 17 - 28 / $63.10

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 28 / $32.80

Best Bet: LISVINNIE (6th)

Spot Play: BROOKDALE SHADOW (11th)

Race 1

(4) SOPHIE BLU took a new life's mark three back then had excuses in her next two starts. She should be able to work out a much better trip here.  (1) CAUGHT ME SPEEDING raced well in a claiming stakes series at Flamboro recently and beat a group similar to this four starts back here. She looks like the main threat to the choice.  (7) CERTAIN SMILEY was taken by Stewart at Clinton last Sunday and he wheels her right back here. She is worth consideration in this weak group. (5) SMILE STYLE also goes first off the claim here and will likely show the way early. She could take them from gate-to-wire if she can get a breather at some point.

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Race 2

(2) WHISTYS PARADISE keeps rolling right along now goes for Moreau first off the claim and should convert at a small price here. (7) LEGAL PROCESS was a sharp winner in solid time over London for trainer Weller last time and might give the chalk a scare here. (5) DARKTWISTEDFANTASY improved immediately for Auciello but was no match for the choice late. She looks next best here. (6) DE VALERIA gets a better post and returns to a 7-day rotation. She is an exotics factor this time.

Race 3

(3) BLENHEIM started up too late last time and couldn't bridge the gap on the leader. A more aggressive steer gets it done here. (4) P L JERICO took the lead as the pace was slowing last time then sprinted away from his rivals. He is sharp and dangerous. (1) HILLS ANGEL should get a good trip here from the inside and make the ticket. Her main goal is likely the Grassroots series. (9) GONNA FLY had a decent rookie campaign and should be passing many of these late in this sophomore debut.

Race 4

(2) LUCKY COCKTAIL smoked a decent Mares Preferred field at Flamboro on Confederation Cup day and may be ready to lower her life's mark here. (9) HOT CHICA BOOMBA was a sharp second to a massive favorite in her local debut and need only to overcome her post here to contend for the win. (7) TOPVILLE CHEETAH has raced well at this meet from close range and is another to consider for Pick 4 tickets here. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE last raced in the Breeders Crown last year and obviously fits here but she may need a start or two before she shows her best.

Race 5

(5) TORTOLA SUNRISE has excelled under the care of neophyte trainer Amy Macdonald and has a decent chance to run his win streak to three straight here. (9) EMOTICON HANOVER had a nice rookie campaign last year and should be able to drop a few seconds off her May 15 qualifier and contend here, the only fear being she may get too far back early to pass them all. (2) NIGHTONTHEROAD has really put it together with Hudon driving and is a threat here. (8) AMITYVILLE LINDY couldn't get close to the choice last time and is likely for a minor share here.

Race 6

(5) LISVINNIE took a big win and a new life's mark last week and likely repeats as a big favorite here. (4) ONE WARAWEE couldn't reach the choice but was best of the rest last week and a similar result is likely here. (3) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT could not withstand the choice's onslaught at the 1/2 last week but should stick around for a good share here. (6) STORM THE BEACH ships in with some decent form and can make the ticket here.

Race 7

(2) VICTORIA SEMALU was buried with pace until late last week when she escaped and got up to dead-heat for the win. She has beaten better before and could offer a decent price stepping up in class; top call. (8) DELIGHTFUL HILL drops from the top class and beat similar easily two back. She is a must-use in the Pick 4. (4) GLAMOUR SEELSTER sports a high win percentage and a fast kicker in her latest qualifier. She isn't out of this. (3) MISS COCO LUCK showed a new dimension when dead-heating with the choice last time and should contend here from close range this time.

Race 8

(2) WESTLUCKYCAM easily beat similar last week while taking a new life's mark. She is a solid bet to double up here facing similar. (6) MISS BABE DELIGHT was a solid second to the choice last week and can go forward off that effort.  (1) SHE LIGHTS OUT was picked off late now has missed a week which is a bit concerning considering her periodic issues with her gait. She is a contender but I will play to beat her out of the exacta here. (7) DOCS DIVA should be winding up from the back and passing fillies late here again.

Race 9

(5) D GS PESQUERO caused interference while on the move at the 3/4 last week which also led to her breaking stride. She takes a big class drop here and should wake up with a better effort. (7) TRUE REFLECTION was roaring up late and just missed. Her weak win record is always a concern but she does fit here. (4) CHEEKIE has been racing decently at this meet and will trip out and win one of these weeks. (6) SHELLYSSILVERMOON re-emerged late to win last week but some of these are tougher and a minor award is likely here.

Race 10

(4) BET YA meets a field that doesn't have many leavers and she will likely take control of this race before the half which will make her tough to beat. (1) BAD AS LEADER had a decent comeback race and can build on that and go forward here. (2) INVEST IN ART should get a good trip near the front and is possible for the win if she can ride the pocket most of the way. (4) P L HURRICANE set the pace and tired vs. similar last time. A minor share seems likely for her here.

Race 11

(6) BROOKDALE SHADOW displayed some early zip last time now gets to drop to the bottom conditioned class. She has a good shot to wire these. (2) LITTLE MISS SPORTY can be a major player if she leaves sharper here. (4) NOMATTERWHEN has shared in this class the past two starts and should repeat that result here. (10) WILDCAT BEAUTY drops and should be able to make the ticket even starting from post 10 here. (9) TABOO SEELSTER has raced well out of town recently and could blow the exotics up at a big price here.

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