05/20/2015 4:06PM

Mohawk: Friday 5/22 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


6/3,9/1,4,5,7/1,2,3,6,7 = $40


LATE $1 PICK 4: 4,5,6/1,4,5,6/1,3,5/6 = $36

MEET STATS: 86 - 257 / $476.80 BEST BETS: 13 - 23 / $45.80

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 20 / $40.80

Best Bet: A LOT OF SENSE (4th)

Spot Play: LADYONE (3rd)

Race 1

(1) GAME ON HANOVER got a big driver change last week, took big money at the windows and then went a huge trip to win going away from the 10-hole, Call to repeat. (2) STANLEYSONTHEWAY set a new life's mark last week with a gritty first-up win; the main foe. (7) RUBBER DUCK gets a similar driver change as the choice got last out; beware.

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Race 2

(5) CALL ME MAYBE was visibly motoring at the wire last week, maybe getting back to the form that made her an 8-time winner last season. She is often a victim of pace/trip but should be able to work a good trip out here; top call. (1) DRIVINGTHEDRAGON N drops back to the class where she won twice earlier in the meet and looks at a much better pace scenario; to one to catch. (3) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM is sharp and moves inside; maybe.

Race 3

(6) LADYONE was overland chasing a pace that wasn't slowing and finished decently. That was off a two-week break following a stakes series. She moves to the middle of the gate and could wake up in a big way here at a square price. (2) MASS RAIL was first-up in the same mile and repelled by a very strong leader. She's a top contender here. (8) GO GET BRUCE was an easy winner vs. lesser but looked good doing it and closed rapidly; another threat.

Race 4

(6) A LOT OF SENSE shot up the rail while closing in 27 2/5 with pilot McNair nary lifting a line last week. She's in top form and is a must-use on pick 4 tickets here. (7) FROSTY DELIGHT goes first off the claim and gets a big driver change; threat. (1) BYE BYE MICHELLE won the last two times she raced here in this class and is another contender here.

Race 5

(9) TYMAL SIGNATURE has improved by several lengths the past few weeks and gets the call to take another here. (3) CLIMB HIGHER looks like the only threat and is the only other one that will be on our early pick 4 tickets. (5) IN SECRET did okay in the Tie Silk series but has missed some time and faces two seriously sharp opponents here.

Race 6

(7) BACK YARD BABY meets a field she should beat although the time missed is a bit of a concern. Top call, but proceeding with caution. (4) OCEANVIEW BINDI set a strong pace then just failed to last when dropped into this class last week. She is a top contender here. (1) LIGHTS GO OUT looked a winner then hung just a bit near the wire. That was still a much better performance so toss in your pick 4's.

Race 7

(6) GENESEE dropped back into a claimer last week and had some late pace in an improved effort. He may be reaching peak form finally and could blow up the tote here. (7) TWIN B WRANGLER dropped and popped and will be tough again here. (3) INTENDED STYLE got stung first up last time and is capable of bouncing back with an easier trip.

Race 8

(5) LADY SHADOW has been brought along slowly but went a big first-up trip last week. We get the feeling the first time she is unleashed she may do something special; perhaps tonight. (4) WAASMULA is in the best form of her career and is the obvious one to beat here. (6) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE is a tough customer from on or near the pace and should contend here.

Race 9

(4) JOSEPH GERARD and driver MacDonnell teamed up for a qualifying win faster than most of these race. Maybe they are onto something; price play. (1) ROSE RUN  ORIANA drops to an easier class for her 4th start of the year and is sure to show more here. (5) ARCTIC TALE raced much better last week and must be considered here.

Race 10

(9) NAT A VIRGIN was given a passive steer last week but managed to pass more than 1/2 the field in the final 1/4. She can take these if sent early for position. (5) JABAS LUCK lacked room for most of the mile Sunday night at Flamboro but closed well when free. She should be tighter and can threaten here at a price. (1) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE takes a big drop but has missed three weeks action; mixed signals.

Race 11

(6) LOVELY ERIN had her win skein snapped when she encountered a brutal trip from the 10-hole. She moves to the middle of the gate and can get back on track here. (8) GRACIES PARADE took a lot of air and finished ahead of the choice; threat. (3) AINTSHEASWEETIE finished well in her 2015 debut and can go much closer here if asked earlier in the mile.

Race 12

(5) MESMERIZE BLUE CHIP came off the shelf and produced a gritty first-up win; call to repeat. (3) WAR FILLY raced by far the best mile of her life last week and cannot be ignored here. (6) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL closed a huge gap at a big price and could be much better this year. (1) NATIONALIZE continues to chip away taking shares and is a good exotics horse. (4) JORDIES HOPE is another that is likely for a minor share here.

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