04/29/2015 2:16PM

Mohawk: Friday 5/1 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

2,8,10/6,9,10/2/3,9,10 = $27

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,8,10/1,8/2,3,5/4 = $18

MEET STATS: 39 - 126 / $194.00  BEST BETS: 7 - 11 / $22.60 

SPOT PLAYS: 1 - 10 / $10.60

Best Bet: DIANNA SANTANNA (11th)

Spot Play: RUSSIAN KISSES (6th)

Race 1

(4) STIRLING DEBUTANT swung widest off excess cover turning home and powered up to just miss. She can build on that season's debut and take this if kept closer early. (7) LOVIN KARMA had no issue with the 10-hole and made her maiden-breaking win look easy. She is a contender right back. (8) STRIKING IVY moved to the front in the mid-stages and had enough to hold off the choice. She appears to be much better than last year, as suspected.

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Race 2

(4) DOMEDOMEDOME moves to an inside post where she has had better luck from. She can convert a good following trip here. (5) WIZARD OF OSNEY has held her form well and lost to a good one last week; contender. (9) MAGIC MADNESS has enough early foot to get out in the top flight and work out a trip. She, too is a top contender in a contentious dash.

Race 3

(5) MAPLELEA powered home from an impossible spot for 2nd last week which was a much-improved effort over the Blossom Final; top call here in a shorter field. (7) MOONLIT DANCE raced away to a new life's mark and is the obvious one to beat. (1) CAST NO SHADOW set the pace to very late in the Blossom Final and the wet track may have worked against her. She needs a good result here after skipping the first leg of this series.

Race 4

(8) LARJON LAURA missed a couple of weeks but gets Lasix here and faces easier; top call in a competitive dash. (2) ONE LAST BONO also drops on class and is sure to be sent right to the point for as far as she goes. (10) EXHILIRATED makes her fourth start of the year and has shown improved late speed in all of her starts; beware.

Race 5

(10) BIG PACKAGE closed from farthest back to nab second from this same post last week. He can beat these if Filion elects to leave a bit. (6) BLUSH AND CRUSH was out the route and was less than 3 lengths back at the wire. She too will likely leave harder here back on a 7-day cycle. (9) TYMAL COLLOSSUS also had a rough trip first off the claim and has beaten most of these before.

Race 6

(2) RUSSIAN KISSES has faced two very tough mares the past two starts and wasn't disgraced. Look for a better result vs. easier here. (6) WILDCAT HANNA is right around the money every week and is due for some better luck. (7) ST LADS PENNY LANE rarely misses the board and can race any way the driver chooses; using.

Race 7

(3) F TWENTY TWO went a huge first-over trip last week and almost managed to last; look for him to try to clear at some point here in his first start off the claim. (10) CROWN ISLE left hard for the front, took a big shuffle then closed hard late into a slowing pace to just miss. He merits consideration off that trip. (9) BUCKSHOT AUSTIN miscued early, closed well for a share and was claimed. He has a good chance to share here.

Race 8

(8) DELIGHTFUL HILL debuts in the Robinson barn here off a solid qualifier. She could be ready to roll right away. (10) SASSAFRASS GIRL tried to close from an impossible spot and did well, considering. The 10-hole may present a similar scenario, however. (1) BEYONCES ROCKN was an easy winner vs. lesser and certainly should be heard from here.

Race 9

(1) CLICK BOOM easily won his penultimate start in this class and was then trounced on Monday night when in over his head. He could carve out a similar winning trip to the one two back here. (8) CANADIAN EDITION has been racing well for Puddy and should be able to get a good spot early here. (4) BAD OUTLAW was easily beaten by the choice last time and likely sets the pace again here for as far as he can take it.

Race 10

(5) MARLEE B couldn't keep up in a rapid second half last week but the top three from that race aren't here; another chance for this mare. (3) RUBIS PRESCOTT took her life's mark here last year off a perfect pocket trip. She may get that exact trip here. (2) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE beat lesser impressively and the Menary stock has been hot the past week; don't take lightly.

Race 11

(4) DIANNA SANTANNA has faced some very good mares the past 5 weeks and has hit the board every time. She meets a group she can beat here. (7) MARY CELESTE has raced well since coming from London and rarely gets bet; exotics factor at a price. (9) MAKE WAY has trouble finishing her miles but goes first off the claim here and could improve. (1) YOUR MY SECRET has won half her starts in 2015 and can't be easily dismissed. (8) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM closes late for a slice as is her custom.

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