04/22/2015 5:32PM

Mohawk: Friday 4/24 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,2,5/7/2,4,6,7,9,11/12 = $36


LATE $1 PICK 4: 5/4,6,7,8,9,10/4,5/5,8 = $24

MEET STATS: 25 - 84 / $105.50  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $19.60

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 6 / $0.00

Best Bet: BULLET POINT (8th)

Spot Play: TWIGGYS TWICK (9th)

Race 1

(7) STIRLING DEBUTANTE showed enough in her qualifier to suggest she might be able to mow these down late, possibly at a square price; top call. (10) OCEANA put up some big fractions and just kept right on going. She's the main threat, even from out there. (8) STRIKING IVY showed great improvement in her qualifier and it's very possible that she is much better than she showed last year.

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Race 2

(3) MAKE WAY went a big trip last week but was stung just enough in a quick third 1/4 to soften her up late. Look for Zeron to brush to the top mid-race and give 'em the slip this time. (4) BEAUTY PRINCESS moved up last week but produced her best effort of the year. She seems reluctant to win but is a good one for the exotics. (6) BYE BYE MICHELLE benefitted from a golden trip and just managed to get up. Peg her for a minor share here as a repeat of that trip is unlikely.

Race 3

(4) PALM BEACH HANOVER tuned up for this with a nice win at Flamboro and may trip out behind some early speed battling here; call to upset. (8) YOUR MY SECRET just failed to hold off an unbeaten and promising filly; the obvious danger. (8) DOCTOR TERROR was more aggressive in the Blossom Final as expected and got the job done. She is a threat to repeat if the intent is there.

Race 4

(5) SASSAFRAS GIRL served notice with a :27 kicker in her qualifier that she's ready to roll. This 1:53 3/5 winner over Mohawk last year doesn't have much to beat here. (2) KARLEE SUE, an Ohio Sires Stakes winner last season, also had a decent qualifier - at Northville Downs - and may also be ready to make an immediate impact. (1) ONYOURMARKNATAVA went a big first-up trip and was third to two good ones in a rapid mile. She may trip out here from the rail; threat.

Race 5

(7) OLYMPIC SON went a big mile on the rim and only failed to hold off an unbeaten colt. Anything close to a repeat effort takes this group down. (3) WIZARD OF OSNEY recovered from an early miscue to beat easier last out. She will need to behave here to contend. (6) WHITEGLOVES showed a new dimension coming first up to beat easier. He can build off that effort.

Race 6

(6) RIDE AWAY SHARK showed improvement last week and may be ready to produce her best now in her third start of the year. Call to upset in a wide-open dash. (9) POP WRITER showed promise in a limited campaign last year and looks cranked up by trainer Alagna to make an immediate impact. (7) MAPLELEA failed to produce her lethal late kick over the slop in the Blossom Final and could get back on track vs. these.

Race 7

(2) TOTALLY RIPPED returns off a good qualifier and this group is well within his range; top call. (1) HIE BENNY looks for his third straight triumph and the rail is a good slot for him; dangerous. (7) ALACRITY seems to have as many problems as he does talent but he could make some noise here if he stays flat throughout.

Race 8

(5) BULLET POINT returns to a 7-day cycle and drops to face a field she should throttle; Best Bet. (10) LIGHTS GO OUT also returns in a week and drops from the same race. It will be tough for her to work out a winning trip from out there, though. (4) FAROUCHE HANOVER moves into the potent Nixon barn and is worth a look.

Race 9

(7) TWIGGYS TWICK was claimed three back by Cirasuola then stepped up over her head for two races. Back in a claimer here with speed to chase she gets the call to upset; Spot Play. (4) THUNDERAWAY did okay in her first start over the big track and is another that should be heard from late. (9) TYMAL COLLOSSUS has done well at this meet so far but moves out of Moreau's barn and has other early speed to contend with; your call.

Race 10

(4) MARLEE B roared home to just miss last week and is the logical price alternative here to (5) AMERICAN IN PARIS, who finished just in front of her but will likely be a heavy chalk tonight. The latter is a win machine that obviously will be there on the money, but what price will you accept? (2) WAASMULA made big speed and kept going last week. A repeat is unlikely with the top two more seasoned now.

Race 11

(8) A LOT OF SENSE motored up to win in this class three back then encountered two off tracks that she may not have liked. Top call at a price here. (5) DELIRIUM raced well enough on her qualifier to make an immediate impact vs. this weak group. (7) FROSTY DELIGHT continues to be a great exotics type, but can't seem to get her first win of the year. (6) DEBBIES MACH stole a cheap half last week but couldn't last up front. Perhaps the exodus of Make Way gives her a better chance here. (9) BELLA NOCHE is a good one for the bottom rungs of Supers and High-5 wagers.

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