04/20/2016 2:40PM

Mohawk: Friday 4/22 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,7,8/3/5,7/1,2,4,5,10/5,7,8 = $18

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,5,10/5,7,8/1,2,10/4,5 = $90

LATE PICK 4: 5,6,8/2,4,5/1,3/1,4,8 = $54

MEET STATS: 29 - 80 / $150.40  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $32.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00

Best Bet: SHES LIGHTS OUT (2nd)

Spot Play: SHADOWS MYSTERY (3rd)

Race 1

(7) SHES DEADLY goes for Waxman off the claim here and is sure to get an aggressive drive from Plante; top call. Both (8) CLASSIC COMEDY and (6) CAUGHT ME SPEEDING escape the red-hot mare Lucky Cocktail here and are top contenders in this field.

Race 2

(3) SHES LIGHTS OUT has been perfect as a sophomore and should continue her winning ways here, likely at a short price. (4) AMERICAN CURVES was sharp in her 2016 debut and is the main danger to the choice. (2) PARTY IN ROME tired badly on the lead last week on a track that was not kind to speed. She can rebound here with a better effort.

Race 3

(5) SHADOWS MYSTERY went a big trip last week to just miss in her first start over Mohawk. She should be right there vs. these. (7) CAMPS BAY rolled up from far back to just get up on the wire. She has improved racing at Mohawk. (3) MACH MAGIC comes in off a sharp qualifier and can take a share here.

Race 4

(4) RADAR TRAP was used up early in the Blossom final and understandably tired badly. She can take these with a more patient drive. (5) ST LADS SMOKIN HOT was a good Grassroots performer last year and was revved up a bit in her final qualifier. She looks ready to produce a good effort. (10) LAY LADY LAY showed promise last fall and is another that looks ready for this 2016 debut.

Race 5

(7) RENEGADE MAGIC was a good 2nd to a strong winner in her 2016 debut and can take this with a similar effort. (8) YANKEE PUZZLE was third in the same dash in a much-improved effort and looks like a logical contender in this field. (5) HURRICANE HAZEL pressed strong splits last week and tired late. She could go better here laying close to a softer pace.

Race 6

(2) PRINCE SHARKA won last time Filion drove three starts back and he returns here; angle play. (1) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT was pushed to some wicked splits last week and hung in well. He should be tough in here. (10) INTENDED STYLE shoots for four straight but the outer post may be his undoing here.

Race 7

(4) SOUTHWIND GEISHA was used hard early last week then came again to just miss on the wire. She should get an easier trip from the improved post position; top call. (5) A PLUS roared up from the back to win at a good price last week and should contend again here. (2) LITTLE MISS SPORTY has had a productive campaign this far and can sit a good trip here; using.

Race 8

(9) SOUTHWIND ALICE blasted up off cover to win in her debut in the new barn last week. She stands a good chance to double up here. (6) UTOPIA closed well into an accelerating pace last week; using. (5) JUSTCALLMERONALD will trip out in the pocket and score an upset one of these weeks; maybe tonight?

Race 9

(4) LIGHTS GO OUT sizzled home last week to pass all her rivals in the stretch. This short field gives her a chance to repeat although these are tougher. (5) WAASMULA slid off the rail just in time to pass two rivals late to nab the win the last time they raced a Mares Preferred. She is another that can take this contentious dash. (2) MS MAC N CHEESE is always a contender it seems. Trip will surely decide this one.

Race 10

(3) SHADYS ART vaulted up off cover last week to win for the 4th time in 5 starts. This assignment doesn't look much tougher; top call. (1) SELMAS WISH was battling a long way and provided cover for the choice last time. She could turn the tables with a better trip. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE changes hands here and will be closing late, as always. Toss her on late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(8) BEYONCES ROCKN flew home last week from far back and is at her sharpest now. She will likely be put into the race much earlier here. (1) SHADYS M THREE was also motoring late but she is more likely to contend and fall short based on her record. (4) ARRIVISTA HANOVER should be leaving here and has upset possibilities off a covered trip near the front. (6) ST LADS PENNY LANE can close for a share from this improved post. (7) CALL IT COURAGE is another with a weak win record that should take a share.

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