04/15/2015 3:32PM

Mohawk: Friday 4/17 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,5,8/3,5/1,5/2,5 = $24


LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5/1,3,7/1,3,4/1 = $27

MEET STATS: 13 - 42 / $58.70  BEST BETS: 4 - 4 / $13.30 

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00


Spot Play: K D BELLA (7th)

Race 1

(3) PEPPERMINT PATTI showed good improvement two back then popped at a huge price last week vs. better than she faces here. Moreau has her priced to win and possibly get claimed; top call. (5) GOOD LUCK KATHY can leave hard and sit a good trip here. Don't be surprised to see A. Mac angling her out of the pocket with dead aim turning home. (6) EXHILIRATED drops to her lowest level in a while and should threaten here.

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Race 2

(2) LETS LEAVEM takes a big class plunge and Robinson/Christoforou have enjoyed some success already at this meet. He should get the job done vs. this group. (5) LEXUS HELIOS looked good in her qualifier and gets a good post to work with; contender. (3) SANTO DOMINGO is the ultimate win-shy type, but should get a good spot early and hang around for a slice here.

Race 3

(5) MARLEE B had a useful season's debut last week and should be put into the race earlier here. Note she took her lifetime mark over this track last summer. (3) AMERICAN IN PARIS - a win machine in 2014 - looks ready to roll again and is the one to overhaul. (4) D GS PESQUERO got stung first up in a quick third 1/4 last week and is capable of better with an easier trip.

Race 4

(3) LOVELY ERIN holds a rare distinction of starting her career with two wins from the 10-hole. She steps into a tougher class but may be up to it. (5) BEYONCES ROCKS drops out of the Blossom Series where she held her own vs. better and is obviously the one to beat. (8) AKISSFROMTHEHEART got good near the end of last year, finishing third in the OSS Superfinal. Toss her on your pick 4 ticket.

Race 5

(5) MICHAELS TURN easily rolled by his foes late last time to stay undefeated. We don't see any reason why his streak should end here. (3) MAGIC MADNESS couldn't threaten a tough winner last week but got a clean trip in after breaking two back. She may be driven a bit more aggressively here. (6) TENOR DUHARAS closed well in his Mohawk debut and is a good one to use in the exotics at a price.

Race 6

(1) NINE LIVES HANOVER went a huge first-up mile last week - including a 27 2/5 second 1/4 - and just missed. The move up in class may help the price; top contender. (5) MISTRESSTOTHESTARS couldn't keep up to the leader on an off track last week. Menary is off to a quick start this meet. Look for this one to rebound. (10) CHAMPAGNE SHOWER was noticeably motoring in the last few yards to get up late. She likely tries the same tactics here from the 10-hole.

Race 7

(2) K D BELLA showed enough late speed in her qualifier to suggest she can contend immediately. Top call at hopefully a square price vs. this suspect group. (5) WHITEGLOVES almost lasted in his most recent and will take plenty of action as a result. (4) WARAWEE PROTON should be able to follow along and grab a share.

Race 8

(2) HIGH FASHION MEL exits the Blossom Series to face much easier and should be a big threat here. (3) PINOT GRIGIO is turning into a bit of a hanger but anything she is chasing in here shouldn't be that hard to catch. (5) WAR FILLY had a nice win over this oval last week and is the one to beat.

Race 9

(7) ABC MUSCLES BOY missed a week then was passively driven over this track last week. Look for pilot Massey to send him here. (3) LUCKY MASS raced well from an outer post on a very sloppy track to finish just behind an undefeated winner; contender. (1) DONGANGO has the habit of getting some troubled trips. Maybe from the inside here he'll get a good one for a change.

Race 10

(3) BET YA suffered interference while on the move last week yet still stormed home to just miss. She is one of the top contenders here. (1) KISS ME OR NOT went coast-to-coast returning a crazy $15 to her backers last week. The price drops here, but keep her on pick 4 tickets. (4) WANNA ROCK N ROLL sat the pocket and split the top two. She too is capable with the right trip.

Race 11

(1) GIVE ME AN AMEN drops back to a class where she won as a big favorite two back. She didn't look the soundest that night so you might want to watch her in the post parade and scoring down. (5) A REAL COMMITMENT continues to thrive for Nixon and fits this class well. (10) BULLET POINT drops to her lowest class in a long time and likely blasts off the gate here on a speed mission. (7) WINDSONG JACOBA has hit her best stride and should be closing for a piece of this. (9) SHADYS M THREE returned to her favorite track and scored at big odds in her season debut; using.

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