04/13/2016 3:10PM

Mohawk: Friday 4/15 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 8,9/1,4,9,10/2,5/2,4,7,9/1,2 = $25.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,7,9/1,2/2/1,3,5 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,5/4,5,6,7/2,4,7/4 = $36

MEET STATS: 14 - 40 / $81.40  BEST BETS: 3 - 4 / $24.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00

Best Bet: BETTER ART (6th)

Spot Play: DONNA PARTY (9th)

Race 1

(9) JABAS LUCK takes a class plunge here and no doubt will be sent looking to bottom out this group. If she can steal one cheap quarter, she is likely gone here. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE was motoring late but couldn't reach the winner last time. Zeron is good with deep closers and will no doubt have this mare wound up turning home. (6) I C ANASTRO had a tough trip last week and could go much better here.

Race 2

(4) SOUTHWIND ALICE goes for Waxman off the claim here and gets a better post than her main rivals; slight nod. (10) TOWNLINE MOMMA beat the choice last week but will have to overcome the 10-hole here. (9) NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA was claimed by Auciello off some improved efforts and is a contender here.

Race 3

(2) SHE LIGHTS OUT beat similar in her 2016 debut and should be tough here right back. (5) BRING ME DIAMONDS has raced very well in both 2016 starts and is the main danger. (4) SODWANA BAY faced tougher in the Blossom series and should take a share here.

Race 4

(4) B SANTANNAS LOVE was finishing fast last week, gets a better post and a driver that is good with deep closers; top call. (7) ARRAVISTA HANOVER was just short vs. similar and is one of several in with a shot here. (2) CALL IT COURAGE gets Filion for a 2nd week straight after a decent effort. Expect improvement here.

Race 5

(1) KISS ME OR NOT and (2) MISS COCO LUCK both face easier here and will likely blast off early for the top spots then settle it late. Nod to the former based on better recent form. (6) WAR FILLY was flying late last week and seems to like Mohawk better than Woodbine. Expect another share for her here.

Race 6

(2) BETTER ART moves inside and drops to the lowest conditioned claimer level. If he reproduces his penultimate start, his rivals are racing for 2nd here. (7) MYSTIC DEUCE was claimed out of his last and could improve off that dull effort here. (5) P J CAMDEX will be passing many of these late and should make the ticket.

Race 7

(5) A ROD HALL roared down the middle of the track for an easy win last week and will be hard to hold off in his current form if he behaves. (3) RENEGADE MAGIC won twice off qualifiers last year; beware. (1) VICS ROYAL LADY was a good 2nd to the choice last week and isn't out of this.

Race 8

(4) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE drops from the top class and likely gets sent early here. She will be tough to beat if she is on top before the half. (5) P L HURRICANE also drops and has been sharp for several weeks. She could trip out here. (6) MARQUISE DE SARAH was a strong winner in her first Mohawk start of 2016 and should be coming late again.

Race 9

(2) DONNA PARTY was parked into defeat when making a middle move for the front last week in her first start for Weller. I'll give her another chance here. (7) CHEEKIE got stalled behind some bad cover on the final turn last week which likely cost her a win. She is sharp now and a contender here. (4) AINSLEYNOELLE was claimed out of a poor effort. Maybe the new connections can wake her up.

Race 10

(4) PARTY IN ROME is in great form and took her life's mark here last year. She will be winging and likely tough to catch here. (6) CHOOSE MY JET saved up an impressive burst for the stretch last time and is capable of knocking some time off here. (8) SHADOWS MYSTERY has been racing great out of town and can hit the ticket here. (9) CAMPS BAY is usually closing too late but is frequently good for a share. (2) TWIN B SWEETHEART could improve with Lasix here and better this placing.

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