10/05/2016 2:19PM

Mohawk: Friday 10/7 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 2,6,7/6/2,6/1,2,5/1,2,3 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,5/1,2,3/1,3,8,9/7,9 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 7,9/2,8/1,2,6/2,5,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 402 - 1186 / $2080.30  BEST BETS: 66 - 109 / $205.50

SPOT PLAYS: 24 - 109 / $162.80


Spot Play: SOUTHWIND GEISHA (11th)

Race 1

(6) WINDSUN REVENGE dug in down the lane to win in this class last week and he's never been better; call to repeat. (2) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE has faced the best in North America in his past two starts and wasn't disgraced. He should be the main foe to the choice. (7) ETRUSCAN HANOVER has hit his best stride now and could take this with a better trip. (4) CATCH THE DREAM will be closing for a share here.

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Race 2

(6) SELLING THE DREAM exploded down the lane to win last week. She is as sharp as they come; call to repeat. (2) PARTY IN ROME should like the easier company here and get a decent trip from the inside; using. (5) BRING ME DIAMONDS can threaten from close range at a square price here. (7) TOP ROYAL can go some long trips and keep coming. She should make the ticket here.

Race 3

(2) MAGICAL STEPH should get a good stalking trip close to the leaders here and pounce in the last 1/4. (6) MIAMI MAGIC should get plenty of pace to close into here. (7) ANNELI HANOVER is another that should be closing on some suspect leaders. (3) WORK THAT MAGIC can sit a trip near the front and take a share.

Race 4

(2) AINSELYNOELLE paced a gritty mile to win in this class last week. Expect a similarly aggressive drive here. (1) RIDE AWAY SHARK was nailed by the choice in the final stride last week. She should contend again from a good post. (5) DONTBRUISECARRIE always fires a quick final 1/4 which makes her a threat here. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT may get more aggressive early in the mile here which could improve her chances.

Race 5

(3) SHE LIGHTS OUT qualified sharply for a return from a break here; slight nod in a contentious dash. (2) SHOW TIME HILL raced gamely late last week to dead-heat for the win. She is worth a look despite stepping up in class. (1) STYLISH BEACHWHERE should be able to work out a decent trip starting from the inside here; using. (8) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU can be a pace threat early but she's unlikely to get soft fractions like she did last time.

Race 6

(8) SMASH HIT trotted a 28 flat third 1/4 last time to get into contention now he returns quicker. He can beat these if he lays a bit closer early. (1) FRENCH BASTILLE faces easier from a good post; using. (9) PENNIES FROM ABOVE is one of the best in here but it might be tough for her to work out a winning trip starting from out there. (3) SECRETCODE HANOVER returns from a break and shows a race in July that would put him right there vs. these; consider for multi-race bets.

Race 7

(9) PRETTY HOT has been in great form for weeks and she could be a square price starting from out there; top call. (7) DONNA PARTY is always dangerous from close range; using. (8) MYSTERY WRITER is worth a look dropping back into a claimer and picking a WEG regular up to drive again. (10) BADLANDS DELIGHT is as consistent as they come but post 10 is likely the great equalizer for her here.

Race 8

(8) NAHAR faces much easier here and he brings a sharp qualifier with him. He should be tough in here. (2) RUBBER DUCK squandered a sure win last week when he broke halfway down the lane. Perhaps the wet conditions contributed to his demise; using. (7) ELEGANT SERENITY raced a bit flat in Delaware off a good trip. She fits here but seems destined for a smaller share. (1) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY couldn't close off a great trip last week. He is likely to grab another minor share here.

Race 9

(2) SAYITALL BB went a huge trip to win last week despite missing a month. She should be even sharper here returning much quicker. (6) STACIA HANOVER closed rapidly vs. the choice but she was too far back. She could turn the tables if kept close enough here. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC drops and she should be tough from close range but she may be overbet. (3) WITCH DALI also faces easier and she should share here.

Race 10

(5) UTOPIA continues to race well and can take this group if he is close enough to the leaders turning home. (8) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL stopped late when racing on a wet track. She can go better here if conditions are dry. (2) HARPER BLUE CHIP should get a good trip near the front here and he could break through for his first score in two years. (1) ITS HUW YOU KNOW won in a similar class three back and he will likely get put into play early here.

Race 11

(3) SOUTHWIND GEISHA finally gets an inside post. She should be heard from here. (4) YOUR MY SECRET is in sharp form and may get a more aggressive steer this time and try to seize control before the stretch drive. (1) WILDCAT MAGIC gets to drop to the bottom here and she is fresh; toss on Pick 4 tickets. (2) BAROCKEY should take a share racing near the front. (10) THATLL BE FRANNY also drops but post 10 is no picnic for her here; smaller share predicted.

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