10/26/2016 3:29PM

Mohawk: Friday 10/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 4,5/6,7,8/3,5,6/7,8,9/6 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 7,8,9/6/2,3,8/1,3,4,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 3,4/1,4/3,4,9,10/1,3,7 = $48

MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70  BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40

SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30

Best Bet: KILLEAN FINALE (5th)

Spot Play: RAMAS LAST SON (10th)

Race 1

(5) LEAVING A LEGACY almost took her third straight win last week and she was claimed by the leading trainer. She should be tough in here and she could get claimed again. (4) REGAL ROXY fired a career-best effort off the claim last week. Although it's hard to predict if she can replicate that effort, she is a Pick 5 must-use. (6) CHARMING HILL faces easier and moves inside; consider for exotic wagers. (8) TOTAL KNOCKOUT should be along for another minor share here.

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Race 2

(8) MISTY DE VIE has found the right formula to maximize her late kick by getting within striking range by the 3/4 pole. She could take another here and she might be an overlay again. (7) HOT SPOT HANOVER races best for Macdonald and he sticks here; using. (6) JUMP JIVE AND JAM was part of a collapsing late pace last time. She can rebound with a better trip here. (3) THATGIRLISONFIRE can sit a trip and take a slice here.

Race 3

(5) DOTTIE takes a big drop in class here and she should get put into the race early; top call. (6) BATOUTAHILL continues to race tough and she has shown that she can take plenty of air and keep advancing; using. (3) SMASH HIT will be passing horses late as is typical with her. She could swoop them all if there is some battling in front of her. (9) MIAMI MAGIC can hit one of the bottom exotic rungs at a price.

Race 4

(7) SHOW SOME LEG had a tightener now drops to the lowest conditioned level here. She should get a more aggressive steer; slight nod. (9) LADY JEN is racing well and this class isn't much tougher; toss her on your Pick 4 tickets. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE had a very good qualifier on October 20th and she is dangerous here coming off a break. (2) WILDCAT MAGIC drops to a class where she almost always shares.

Race 5

(6) KILLEAN FINALE lacked room while full of pace in the lane last week despite having missed a week. She may get overbet off that trip, but, she is a top contender here. (3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU tracked some swift splits last time and tired late in a race where closers took all the top spots. She has a decent chance of controlling much of this race. (8) BLUEBERRY HILL finished ahead of the choice after vaulting off her cover but she was caught late. She probably won't be held off much longer. (1) STYLISH BEACHWHERE was the beneficiary of a slowing late pace last week. She likely takes a smaller share this time.

Race 6

(2) HUBBY NUMBER ONE went a huge trip on the rim last time and almost lasted in a rapid mile. A repeat of that effort combined with a slightly better trip gets it done here. (8) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL looks as good as any at this level and Jamieson should put her into play early; using. (3) MAXIMUSCLE can contend here if he can overcome his breaking problems - which seems to be a big 'if'. (5) CLASS ME NICE is always a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers.

Race 7

(3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE moves inside, drops slightly and likely pops here. (8) D GS PESQUERO couldn't collar a stubborn leader last week, but she fits well here and should be heard from again. (1) REGALLY READY steps up off a gutsy win; don't discount. (4) DONTBRUISECARRIE can take a smaller slice again off a following trip.

Race 8

(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER just failed to make the Breeders Crown final. These are much easier; top call. (4) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a big mile, closing off excess cover despite missing 24 days. He should be a big threat here. (2) HONOR ABOVE ALL rarely trots a bad mile. He will be passing several late again here. (6) MANOFMANYIMAGES comes off a sharp win and he is another to consider here in a contentious field.

Race 9

(4) WRANGLER MAGIC showed some grit last time winning in this class; call to repeat. (1) SANDBETWEENURTOES is obviously one of the best mares in here, but it's hard to gauge how missing four weeks since her Ellamony win will affect her. (8) BAD AS LEADER almost knocked off the top sophomore pacing filly in the country last time. She couldn't be sharper; consider. (7) SAYITALL BB has raced well for Cullen since shipping in. She can share here again.

Race 10

(3) RAMAS LAST SON drops again and gets another good post. Perhaps Saftic sends him for good early position this time, which could make a big difference for him. (9) SHOOT THE THRILL makes his 3rd start for Auciello and he is another that may get sent harder early this time. (4) BAGS FOR ALL was game in victory last time and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets. (10) LEXUS ROCKY can be dangerous here if he doesn't get hung out a long way from this post.

Race 11

(3) LAY LADY LAY fell victim to a serious speed-killing bias last Saturday. She should be a solid play here on a fair track. (7) DELIGHTFUL HILL was near the front early in the same race. These two could make a nice exacta box here. (1) SELLING THE DREAM is one of the sharpest racehorses on the grounds; don't discount. (2) LYONS RIVER PRIDE beat much easier in her last start. A minor share seems likely here. (6) POP GOES THEWEASEL looks well prepped for her return and she could better this placing.

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