10/19/2016 4:22PM

Mohawk: Friday 10/21 Analysis

Email

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,5,6,7/5/2,3,5,8/3,4,5,7/3,5,6 = $38.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,5,7/3,5,6/2,3,4/3 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 3/2,6/2,3,6/1.2.5.8.9 = $30

MEET STATS: 434 - 1280 / $2265.80  BEST BETS: 69 - 117 / $215.70

SPOT PLAYS: 28 - 117 / $179.10

Best Bet: LEAVING A LEGACY (2nd)

Spot Play: YOUR MY SECRET (10th)

Race 1

(2) BELLA PALAZZO switches to the Weller barn here which is enough to get my attention in a wide-open dash. (7) SECOND SISTER drops and adds Lasix. She may be hard to chase down on the lead here. (5) JETPEDIA did well for Zeron last week and he sticks here; using. (6) ADVERSITY is capable at this level if he stays flat.

Race 2

(5) LEAVING A LEGACY is tough to beat in this class right now, so I'll stick with her. (4) CHOOSE MY JET has been a win machine racing in Ottawa. Her consistency should be respected. (7) TOTAL KNOCKOUT continues to grab good shares every week and is a good one to use underneath. (1) GOLDIES BAD GIRL raced mush better last week. She can sneak onto the ticket here, too.

Race 3

(3) BATOUTAHILL took too long to make front last time which softened him up late. The better post should help here. (2) STONEBRIDGE PEACE was 2nd first time Jamieson drove and he sticks here. Further improvement could be coming tonight. (5) SMASH HIT comes off a nice win and she has to be included in the Pick 5. (8) JLS BAD MOON RISIN was motoring late last time. He is another that could take this competitive dash with the right trip.

Race 4

(7) BRING ME DIAMONDS takes a substantial class drop here and you have to think she will be put into play early vs. these; top call. (3) BIG TSUNAMI was narrowly beaten by a red-hot filly last time and she continues to improve; consider. (4) LYONS RIVER PRIDE faces easier and she should be prominent for a long way here. (5) KATIES BEACH gets some major post relief here and she could get rolled early, which is when she typically does her best work.

Race 5

(6) MAPLELEA should be able to lay a bit closer early from post 6 which could make the difference here. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT should be a strong pace presence here again. (3) AINSLEYNOELLE races best when positioned near the front. I expect her to be sent for good position early here. (1) MISS COCO LUCK should parlay a good trip into a share here.

Race 6

(4) CABERTOSS may not look very good on paper, but, he has surprised at huge prices before here off similar profiles. I'll swing for the fences here. (3) HARPER BLUE CHIP drops in class still in search of his first win in more than two years but he seems to fit well here; using. (2) LITTLE RD CHEV dominated at the lowest conditioned class now moves back up but she figures here, too. (6) OLYMPIC SON faltered as a big chalk last time. He will be a pace factor again, but, a minor award seems likely.

Race 7

(3) TEARFUL OF HAPPY made two moves last week and almost got there late. She should be tough in here. (4) JIMBELINA had good speed both early and late on her mile and just missed. She's in top form and is a major player here. (6) LUCKY PLAYER may have went a bit too fast in the third 1/4 last time. She can be a threat off am easier trip. (5) HOT SPOT HANOVER had little to offer as the chalk last time; minor share predicted here.

Race 8

(6) HONOR ABOVE ALL was too far back early last time. Expect him to start his move earlier here. (2) POINTE OF INQUIRY gets post relief and she is capable in this class if she can stay flat. (5) MASS BALANCE is a good one to use underneath in exotic wagers as he almost always takes a slice. (1) IRISH SCOTCH can take a share if he stays flat this time.

Race 9

(3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU is in great form now gets an even better post tonight; call to repeat. (2) DOCS SAUSALITO - second to the choice last week - is capable of bridging the gap if she can work out a trip closer to her rival early. (6) BLUEBERRY WILL is sharp and dangerous and is another to consider for late Pick 4 bets. (1) JUMP JIVE AND JAM seems destined to take a smaller share this time as the top three are much tougher than those that she beat last time.

Race 10

(5) YOUR MY SECRET gets Trevor Henry back here and he did well with her in September; angle play. (9) BAROCKEY is racing as well as ever right now and she should be a big threat. (8) SOUTHWIND GEISHA has raced tough in her past two. She can win this if she can find a live helmet to follow. (1) REQUEST FOR PAROLE should get a better trip here starting from the inside; consider. (2) ST LADS PENNY LANE can take a smaller share by passing many of these late.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch & Wager on all 18 Breeders Crown elimination races this weekend.]