08/30/2012 11:14AM

Mohawk: In-depth Stakes Analysis


Race 7 - $610,000 Shes A Great Lady Final

Trainer Chris Ryder has been fortunate to find some quality fillies at yearling sales for owners Richard and Joanne Young. While his top aged performer Put On A Show will be favored in the $100,000 “A Spring of Hope” pace as race three on the card, I LUV THE NITELIFE (3) looks to be his most serious threat of the night. The Rocknroll Hanover-sired filly is out of a half-sister to Lis Mara. Ryder has brought her along perfectly with her most recent two outings more impressive than her first three. She seems to have a blend of speed and power and can sprint with the best of them. MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK (8) has been a bit unlucky chasing the top two fillies in her last two starts. The outside draw shouldn’t bother her with her excellent early speed. L DEES LIONESS (2) was much straighter in the finish last week after bearing out badly in her victory two starts back.

The play: $.20 Superfecta (3 with 8-2-1-7) Total cost = $4.80

Race 8 - $1,000,000 Metro Final

There have been many surprises in the history of this race. The Metro brings together many two-year-olds that have yet to be fully tested. While much of the focus will be on the favorites in this race my key to a profitable event will be VEGAS VACATION (10). Trainer Casie Coleman has had good success with sons of Bettors Delight and this one may be more than a sleeper here. Last week he paced up without cover during a wicked third quarter sprint and had some trouble steering in the stretch. Once straightened out Brian Sears let him pace and he finished explosively. APPRENTICE HANOVER (3) has been as good as any two-year-old to date and he appeared to be able to go much faster last week while reined in late by Jamieson. I expect him to be on the move early. CAPTAINTREACHEROUS (4) has looked the part of a great horse to date but will get tested tonight.

The play: $2 Triactor Box (10-3-4) Total cost = $12
$1 Superfecta (Box 10-3-4 for first second and third using 2,6,8 for fourth) Total cost $18


Race 10 - $787,000 Canadian Pacing Derby

Trainer Tony O’Sullivan has been methodical in bringing along ALSACE HANOVER (3) this season. The four-year-old showed signs of brilliance last year especially his overpowering effort in the Delvin Miller Adios at The Meadows. This horse is at his best when he can track the speed and last week’s impressive mile puts him on edge at just the right time. Granted some of the others in here have more big time experience, but few have his burst in the homestretch. BETTERTHANCHEDDAR (5) is impossible to knock based on his past performances, but he’s by no means a lock against this type of group. His speed game worked well at Pocono in the Franklin, but he’s likely to be challenged by a few horses if he wants to dominate these on the engine. BETTOR SWEET (7) appeared to find himself at both ends of the mile in his first start with Dave Miller in the bike. This veteran has performed well here in the past and may be in the hunt. GOLDEN RECEIVER (4) may need to be at the half in :52 this week and not :54 which may be problematic.

The play: $.20 Superfecta (Box 3-5-4-7-2) Total cost $24
$1 Triactor (3-5 with 4,7,2), (5-3 with 4,7,2) Total cost $6


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