07/18/2012 10:56AM

Meadowlands: Thursday 7/19 Analysis


CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 100 - 282 / $540.30

Best Bet: ELECTROFIRE (10th)     Spot Play: SOUTHWIND TYRANT (6th)

Race 1

(3) TROSS THE WAY comes in off a sharp score at Monticello and I’m not sure how much I lose with Hechkoff in the bike. I expect him to leave, sit close and pounce late. I hope he is reading my instructions. (7) JAGUAR JET is arguably the best horse in here but has missed two months of action. If he is sharp, this gelding wins. (10) SHANIA TWAIN only knows one way and that is early speed. Yarock will have her on the engine. Can she last?

Race 2

(8) FICO added hobbles and coasted around the track at Mohawk. The fact that Sears is listed to drive shows positive intent. (5) MUSCLE MOUNTAIN and (6) CASHCO are both coming off breaks but capable of wiring this field; dangerous.

Race 3

(2) RED LIGHT looks like the one to beat if Hoover can keep him trotting. (7) SWAGGER BEGONIA has been racing pretty well lately and this race didn’t come up that tough. I’ll give him an upset chance. (9) VALDEZ has plenty of class. Can he work out a trip from this post? (1) TREMENDOUS HIT is very capable; using.

Race 4

(7) MELADYS MONET looks to be 10 lengths better than the field but has made a break in his last four starts; tough call. (2) CELEBRITY GAUWITZ wasn’t bad last time and I like the switch to Lachance in the bike. (10) CASH MCCOY has speed. (8) RINGSIDE NGUYEN was decent last time. If the top one falters, she could be there. (9) SWEEPING VICTORY adds Tetrick.

Race 5

(7) CEDAR DOVE is clearly the one to beat but far from a sure thing. (1) OH SWEET BABY gets a barn change to Team Miller. It would be no shock if this mare showed more. (8) TUI is actually the fastest mare in this race. If she feels good, watch out!

Race 6

(2) SOUTHWIND TYRANT raced well in his first start in eight months then got parked in a fast half last week. Don’t be shocked if this 20-time winner gets back on track tonight. (7) CORKY BARAN gets some needed class relief. Do you want a short price on a horse that is 0 for 15 this year? (9) MASTER OF WARS is clearly sharp; post a concern. (6) BEST LIFE was parked last week but prior start produced a win.

Race 7

(8) ODDS ON GUINEVERE looks like the favorite but can’t seem to get over the top so far. (3) NELLIESIRISHPRAYER adds Lasix; helps? (4) CINDYS FLOWER jumped in her first start of the year but did take some tote action. Let’s look for equipment changes and a possible rebound.

Race 8

(3) BEATGOESON HANOVER uncorked an impressive last-to-first move to score in her most recent race. It looks like she is ready to get on a roll. (4) CHINA PEARLS could control the action. (1) LADY ANDOVER is clearly sharp.

Race 9

This is one of the toughest races to handicap I have ever seen. I’ll take a stab with (5) COROMANDELPRINCE A. The gelding gets major class relief and is well drawn with a mid-pack post. (8) COSMIC ILLUSION N has plenty of early speed and a driver that is comfortable with that style. (6) FOX VALLEY SOSA, (7) MAC MARTIAN & (10) HENDRIX all come into this race with form. (1) LITTLEBETTOR has rail speed.

Race 10

(2) ELECTROFIRE drops to the basement condition and picks up Lachance; like him in this spot. (5) TOPGUN RAIDER has a chance if the trip is smooth. (1) MISTER BARNETT N should flash early speed and get a nice check.