01/31/2017 4:08PM

Meadowlands: Thursday 2/2 Analysis


Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 6 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 100 - 343 / $521.60 (-$164.40)

BEST BETS: 13 - 28 / $52.60 (-$3.40)


Spot Play: ACTION BRAD (9th)

Race 1

I’m going to need a bit of luck to get (10) LIGHTNING STRIKE home from the tough outside post, but the price should be right to roll the dice. Nine-year-old faced traffic last week and clearly had something left. He switches to a more aggressive driver tonight and could be put in play early for a high percentage barn. (8) SAILIN METRO never finished after an issue with broken equipment as the favorite; makes amends? (6) MR BIG LOAD was in a slightly better spot last week, but should remain competitive regardless. (5) IDEALIST comes off a decent mile from a bad post. He looks like a contender but only had one win last year.

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Race 2

(8) MAJESTIC SUNSET blew away many of these with an aggressive move by Marohn last Thursday. A similar effort can produce a similar result. (4) BUFF is clearly fast enough to win, but he has made breaks in each of his starts with Ginsburg in the bike. (5) IT’SASWAN moves from NW3 to NW2 and should appreciate the easier company.

Race 3

(8) STONEBRIDGE IDOL comes off a strong effort and should get another clear path to the front tonight. (1) HALL PASS HELEN is in a much better spot from an inside post this week; must use on all multi-race exotic tickets. (9) SNAKE EYES drops down a notch. I guess he could wake up. (4) MICHAEL’S WILD BOY comes off a confidence building win at Freehold and adds Brett Miller.

Race 4

(1) I FOUND MY BEACH comes off a good mile and now picks up Brett Miller. This looks like a brush and crush spot. (5) JOJO JOVE also picks up a new driver. He is fast enough to win. (3) MAJO JUST DO IT has been finishing up his miles well and only needs a smooth trip to pull off an upset. (6) WHO DO YOU LIKE finished second in his first start for this barn. He’ll be tough if another step forward occurs.

Race 5

(2) MONTALBANO BI kept his act together and absolutely blew away (3) STITCH IN TIME in the late stages. Unless the latter finds more staying power this week or the former breaks, the result should be similar. (8) BIG EXPENSE seems to have the best chance of upsetting the top pair; class-dropper. (6) P L HOUDINI broke for no reason last time; using underneath only.

Race 6

(10) KEYSTONE I WISH made a bold move and just missed last time. Bongiorno sticks here over a horse he won with last week. I’ll do the same. (3) GALARINA charged home last week and is clearly feeling good now. (7) JK PEARLS DELIGHT has won two straight and yet should offer some value in this field. (4) TRY N KEEP UP has raced well in three of her last four starts.

Race 7

(6) MELANIES SHARKETTE is the only mare in the race with consistent form and she can win from on or off the pace. (7) GOINROUNDNCIRCLES improved on the drop to this basement condition last time and seems like the main danger to the top pick. (4) JARNAC can show some early speed and grab a share. (5) SPORTSMUFFLER gets a better post to work with this week.

Race 8

(4) NEVER EVER CLEVER spent the entire mile on the rim and kept finding more in her best effort in months. Jonas Czernyson trainee should prove difficult to beat as the heavy chalk. (10) BAD DAY BLACK ROCK finished with a sharp rally to score last week but gets a negative post move and loses Miller to the top pick. (3) TAC’S DELIGHT didn’t have it last time but certainly can go with this field if feeling good. (7) DETROIT RAPPER should have a say in the race but lacks the form to actually consider in the top spot.

Race 9

(3) ACTION BRAD double drops in claiming price for a barn that is having a good meet. I’d be very surprised if this guy didn’t bring a top effort. (7) WHATAGAMBLE has early speed and form. If the top one falters at all, this is the next logical winner. (6) UF FAST FEELIN made an early wide move and flattened last time. Gelding moves into a new barn and could seemingly wake up. (1) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE raced well last time and can get into the exotics.

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