12/28/2016 11:00AM

Meadowlands: Thursday 12/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 61 - 209 / $300.00 (-$118.00)

BEST BETS: 7 - 17 / $19.00 (-$15.00)


Spot Play: ROCKIN ROBERT (6th)

Race 1

(2) BLUEBIRD KIDSQUEEN is hardly a horse that makes you want to run to the windows, but the more I look at the rest of the field, the more she seems as attractive as any at a decent price. All of her recent lines come from undesirable posts at Yonkers. (3) EXPRESSIVE ACTION dropped to this level and was dealt with a poor post last time. He is in a new barn now, one with a lackluster record here but capable of an upset. (8) WINDSUN FIREBALL has early speed and Brett Miller, so you know he'll be in play.

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Race 2

(7) SPORTSMUFFLER drops back down to the level of her last victory and adds 'Super' Brett to the equation; clear chalk. (1) SILOUETTE has some early speed in her arsenal and could stick close to the top choice for a big check. (8) JOKES JET is fast enough to play with these but drew to the outside of the favorite. (3) VICTORIA MAY N should take some tote action but I'm not crazy about the 1-13 record here the last three years.

Race 3

(8) HILL I AM wasn't exactly given a great chance of success when he bottled up along the cones last time. This field may be slightly tougher but I'm given him another shot to show more early life. (7) HALL PASS HELEN has been racing well of late and owns a solid record here in 2016; must use. (5) ELLENS STREAK will attract plenty of attention on the driver change off an amateur pilot, but this mare really hasn't been as sharp as she was a month ago. (1) BAD DAY BLACK ROCK drops down and adds Brett Miller, who steered him to a win four starts back. On the bad side, he is 0 for 9 here the last three years.

Race 4

Here's another race where I just don't like any of the entrants. I'll roll the dice with (4) MELANIES SHARKETTE, who drops in claiming price for a new high percentage barn. (7) HARPER LEE already has one upset at this level on his PP lines. Why can't he do it again? (2) ST LADS MORGAN was sharp before missing the last four weeks of action. (10) PAYDAZE ON THE WAY has speed and Brett Miller. (9) FORBETTOR OR WORSE hasn't raced that well here but tends to be close enough to menace.

Race 5

(4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT has behaved with hobbles added and now gets Lasix as well in an attempt to right the ship. If he brings anything close to a top effort, he wins. (5) A LISTER has missed some time but seems likely to be put in play against a mostly suspect group. (9) STAYING FOCUSED reunites with Andy Miller. (3) TEA PARTY POLITICS has no form but drops in class. I'm leaning against using him but can understand if you want him on your multi-race tickets.

Race 6

I loved (3) ROCKIN ROBERT's recent qualifier as he sprinted home full of life. Barn knows how to have them ready to pop. (8) SANTANNA STAR has plenty of early speed in his tank and should make some noise. (9) JACKSRLUCKYTOO closed well as usual two weeks back. If Marohn can keep him close, watch out. (6) MARTY MONKHOUSER A continues to step down the class ladder. The last time he was at The Meadowlands was against three classes higher.

Race 7

(4) STEADY WARRIOR sports a lackluster 0 for 15 record here over the last few years, but was in against better than he faces tonight in most of those starts. He is more than capable of beating this group at a fair price. (6) AUCKLAND FLYER moves into a new barn and is instantly eligible to improve. (1) ARTS ON FIRE is another entering the Johnson barn from Freitas. Maybe check to see how Melanies Sharkette does in race 4 with a similar change. (9) Q ROCK gets a driver change and should be showing plenty of early speed.

Race 8

(8) ROCK STAR faces softer competition this week and just a few starts back romped versus a field that wasn't that much better than this group. I don't select Steve Smith often here, but this looks like a fine price play. (6) HERE COMES SWIFTY wasn't involved in his first start for this barn here last time. He appears to be in the same class but is actually faces easier foes. (4) THAT'S MY OPINION lured Ginsburg off of my top pick but he is too inconsistent to trust at anything under double-digit odds. (5) SIR SAMS Z TAM qualified back rather nicely a week ago.

Race 9

(2) TWINCREEKS JESSE is my uninspired selection in a field lacking much form. He raced reasonably well in his last trip here and the inside post should afford him the chance for a good journey. (7) SAPIENT HANOVER arrives for trainer Ron Burke. In a field like this a Burke trainee is always worth a shot. (4) I FOUND MY BEACH was impeded last time and raced well prior to that start.

Race 10

(4) MUST BE THE BUNNY isn't a horse I'll vault to my top pick often, but this field appears to be loaded with early speed potential and if positioned properly he can run them down at good odds. (1) MAJOR BUBBLES N looks like the one to beat with Miller in the bike; expect short odds. (9) DRUNKEN TERROR has form. Can he overcome the tough draw. (5) OUR CULLENSCROWN N is another racing well; early speed player.

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