05/05/2016 5:30PM

Meadowlands: Sunday 5/8 Analysis

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MEET STATS: 177 - 585 / $1,018.70    (-$151.30) 

BEST BETS: 21 - 44 / $83.90 (-$4.10)

Best Bet: ALWAYS B MIKI (7th)

Spot Play: NATURAL KEMP (2nd)

RACE 1

(7) BEE A MAGICIAN looks better this year than in any of her previous seasons, and that is saying something considering she is a former Horse of the Year. That said, she faces a very strong group and taking anything under 8-5 is not advised. (4) RESOLVE posted an even effort with a strong final quarter in his 2016 debut and is very capable of breaking out in his age 5 campaign. (1) JL CRUZE had to qualify last week because he couldn’t find a race. He is an obvious player while looking to stay unbeaten this year.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch the best trotters in North America compete in the Elitlopp Playoff.]

RACE 2

(9) NATURAL KEMP sticks out for many reasons. Beyond the fact that he faces easier company, I think the switch to Hannah Miller may help a horse that has been driven by the same person for 17 straight starts. Sometimes a new set of hands can make all the difference. (2) FEISTY LOVE has raced well every week and gets a good post to work with on Sunday. (7) GIANT T might be a stretch on the win end, but comes in for a competent driver who has a strong record as trainer here as well.

Race 3

(1) FREE WILLY HANOVER has looked good in the morning. If he can behave today, this race is open for the taking. (7) LINDY’S ON FIRE finished up willingly in her most recent qualifier. Is she ready at first asking? Can she beat the boys? The price should be right. (3) THREEHUNDREDLINDYS qualified well at Hoosier and seems like a fit against this group. (6) SODERBERG raced okay in his 2016 debut and can improve.

Race 4

(5) SOUTHWIND FLASH displayed a strong move in his qualifier only to get out-gamed for the win. If he is over last year’s breaking issues, this looks like a winning spot. (4) RADIANT BEAM raced very well in her return qualifier, though she did get a sweet trip. (1) ZETTE STARLET comes off an even morning effort and can build off that race.

Race 5

(4) CAN DO returns to The Meadowlands at a reduced level and actually won an Open here back in January. He really should perk up in this spot. (8) NO RECESS was trapped in at Vernon last time and the winner got the jump on him. When last seen here he was up in class. It seems like he has a shot here at a price. (1) FOREVER AS was Tetrick’s choice over my top pick and she does appear to have a chance if she trots the entire mile.

Race 6

(4) SWEET JUSTICE has been razor sharp and should offer fair value on the class jump. (2) UVA HANOVER finished with good life last week and now has two starts under his belt after a short break; very playable. (8) ROCK OF CASHEL has a win and two seconds in his last three starts against this type. (9) BOURBON BAY was used hard in his first start for this barn; don’t ignore him if the price is right.

Race 7

(6) ALWAYS B MIKI was driven conservatively in his first start of the year versus better foes than he faces today. He should have no problem winning at very short odds. (1) ODDS ON EQUULEUS is a sharp horse that can secure position from the cones. (4) MCARDLES LIGHTNING falls into the same category as #1; very formful.

Race 8

(7) STACIA HANOVER closed very well in her first start of 2016 while facing more difficult competition. If Zeron keeps her anywhere close to striking position she should win. (2) CINAMONY gets away from top mares in the Blue Chip Matchmaker and may enjoy the switch to the big track. (9) STORM POINT has raced well in both starts this year and certainly has a big shot if left alone on the engine.

Race 9

(1) GALLIE BYTHE BEACH never really found her best stride on the smaller track at Yonkers. I can definitely see her picking up on the mile oval. (4) LOVINEVERYMINUTE raised her game last week in her second try for trainer Richard Johnson. This is a good post that gives Bongiorno many options. (2) SHEEZA SHARK N has been impressive thus far but needs to show me a sub 1:50 mile before I back her as the possible favorite versus a crew like this one.

Race 10

(8) BETTOR CHILL OUT was a sharp winner when last seen at this condition with Simons in the bike; Campbell drives today. (4) ROYAL ENGAGEMENT moves into a high percentage barn and must be considered. (9) BALLINEEN drops down a notch but likely needs a trip from the outside post. (7) AMERICANGIRLFRIEND comes off a win versus cheaper at Freehold, but wouldn’t be a total shock in this spot.

 

Bill Depew More than 1 year ago
some say 3 pylons  seems different at all tracks
mark More than 1 year ago
What's the rule regarding going inside the pylon? Resolve would have won anyway.