07/30/2015 2:50PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 8/1 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 95 - 331 / $482.70 BEST BETS: 13 - 25 / $47.30

Best Bet: WORLD CUP (2nd)

Spot Play: JK ENDOFANERA (11th)

Race 1

(6) CROCADILE CANYON switches barns for the third consecutive week, but that doesn’t seem to be affecting his form. He won the preliminary round for this mini-series last week and looks like the one to beat. (4) ACELO HANOVER was used hard early and succumbed last week. Barn can turn things around for him in a hurry. (2) TRIPLE MAJOR has been consistent all year but doesn’t win enough for my tastes; using underneath.

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Race 2

(4) WORLD CUP gets some major class relief and finds himself in a spot where he can gun to the front and sit no worse than second. He came out with a win in his last race against this type. (9) TAG UP AND GO was used early and came up a bit short a week ago. He is very capable of wiring the field. (7) CLEMENTINE DREAM fits with this bunch. Maybe top driver Aaron Merriman can work some magic.

Race 3

(3) OK GORGEOUS dropped to this level last week but never had the opportunity to get involved from post 10. There are no excuses in this spot. (4) UP UP AND OUT seems likely to display early speed and looks like the clear main danger. (10) ROCKNROLL REALITY put in a big mile on the rim last time to be fifth. He’d be my top pick from an inside post and I still give him a shot from post 10 if he gets a decent trip.

Race 4

(1) MELADY’S MONET figures to flash some early speed in a race with some question marks. If Campbell has this guy sitting first or second, I like his chances. (4) DW’S NY YANK with others perhaps looking forward to next week’s $300k John Cashman, I can see driver Yannick Gingras gunning to the front with this guy and getting away cheaply enough to steal this $50k event. (2) NATURAL HERBIE had no shot last week while closing reasonably well; capable. (7) OBRIGADO was raced conservatively last time. He would have a big shot with different tactics.

Race 5

(5) TALKING BLUES hasn’t been particularly sharp in recent weeks, but did go uncovered last time and hang around nicely to lose by less than one length. Heidi Rohr trainee has some class to him and can score the mild upset. (1A) THAT’S MY OPINION has finally lost enough weeks in a row to remove himself from the top spot in this space. That said, I know he is capable of winning and comes with a classy entrymate. (8) DAVID’S DREAM came up with a big mile last time and figures to be gunning off the wings from the outside post. (4) HIGH OCTANE N should be a healthy price and seems likely to sneak into the exotics.

Race 6

(3) LOCK DOWN LINDY is nowhere near the best horse on paper and certainly hasn’t done anything to write home about all year. With that qualifying statement behind us, I’ve seen subtle signs that show she can go with any of these and the price will be huge. (7) WILD HONEY looks like the horse to beat after chasing Hambletonian starter Mission Brief last time. This gal is 12 for 17 lifetime. (8) SMOKINMOMBO has been a win machine in Pennsylvania and now tries Open company. I can’t dismiss or endorse her strongly at this point. (6) GATKA HANOVER hasn’t put it all together yet this year, but I get the feeling she could improve.

Race 7

(2) SARCY has been doing good work and freshened up nicely with nearly four weeks off prior to her recent second-place finish 10 days ago. With Rules Of The Road likely to show her usual early speed from the inside, this Team Takter charge should be sitting pretty in striking position. (6) LIVININTHEFASTLANE had every chance in the Del Miller and was out-kicked. I’d like to see her on the engine tonight if at all possible. (1) RULES OF THE ROAD has plenty of speed and now faces the toughest task of her career; using underneath. (4) MAGIC MARKER hasn’t stepped up as I expected in her last two starts. Maybe she is saving her best for the Oaks?

Race 8

In a wide open race with many possibilities, I’ll try (6) TABLE TALK, who is versatile enough to win from on or off the pace. (4) RADAR CONTACT has been the model of consistency all year; must respect. (3) ANNDROVETTE almost has to leave from this post, right? Something tells me she’ll get an easy race. (5) COLOR’S A VIRGIN makes her second start for this barn and deserves one last chance.

Race 9

(8) MISTER VIRGIN drops down and draws inside his biggest rivals. Assuming he leaves hard, he should be a major player. (10) THINKING OUT LOUD sits just short of $2 million in earnings but has yet to win in 2015. He is another getting class relief. (9) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A makes his U.S. debut after a decent qualifier behind Wake Up Peter; worth using. (6) MY NAME IS SAM wouldn’t shock me in this spot but was probably hoping to face easy since he was moving down the class ladder.

Race 10

(6) ODDS ON EQUULEUS has seemingly overnight become one of the fastest horses in training. Of course, he was always a good horse, but this guy has reached a new level in recent weeks. (5) MELMERBY BEACH has won three of four starts including the Open last time; must use. (8) DOCTOR BUTCH likes to race here and is capable of flying off the gate for position; worth using.

Race 11

This field seems to be lacking a clear early speed threat, which is strange from the older pacing crowd. (6) JK ENDOFANERA has been handled conservatively in both starts since entering the Takter barn, but is capable of blasting off the gate and seems to be in a great position to do it. (7) FOILED AGAIN put in an admirable third-place finish in the Haughton. Could Gingras fire him up behind the gate and show some vintage early speed from the 11-year-old? (2) MACH IT SO parlayed a perfect trip to a Haughton victory; clear player.

Race 12

(8) CALVIN B comes off a solid second-place finish behind Art History, who starts in the Open this week. Tonight’s competition is easier. (3) GRAB YOUR KEYS has been stuck with outside posts versus difficult foes at Philly. I wouldn’t be shocked if he woke up in this spot. (5) BETTOR THAN YOU could fire out for Gingras and go a long way.

Race 13

(7) MISTER TRUTH drops to the basement condition level and it is hard to believe he won’t beat this dull group. (6) SIR JAKE’S Z TAM raced well at this level two starts back. (8) CITY HALL continues to drop down the class ladder in search of some form. (4) WELL BRED gets a driver change to Tetrick.

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