07/17/2014 3:53PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 7/19 Analysis

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Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

MEET STATS: 86 - 274 / $495.80  BEST BETS: 13 - 21 / $46.80

Best Bet: NUNCIO (2nd)

Spot Play: ALEX BULLVILLE (5th)

Race 1

(4) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS was a good second in her first pari-mutuel start and can build on that effort. (3) JK SHESALADY bested the top choice last time but loses her driver, who is driving at The Meadows and Northfield on Saturday. (1A) DIVINE CAROLINE has yet to show it, but she has some ability.

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Race 2

(1A) NUNCIO lays over this field and should win for fun. (6) REVRAC HARBOUR was in over his head in the Dancer. This spot should be up his alley; second best. (10) MONTALBANO BI has only been worse than second once in five starts this year. (5) SOUTHWIND POSEIDON is on a roll lately.

Race 3

(3) A FOOL FOR MARK faces a blank field and has no excuse not to step up with a big effort. (5) SHAMDEROCK has been off his game but I’ve seen Corey Callahan wake up worse horses. (7) LEG UP consistently closes for a piece each week; exotics must. (9) ITTAKESTWOBABY won at this level three starts back.

Race 4

(4) JOHNNY Z raced okay last time and faces a very sour group. (1) ON THE RADAR has posted back-to-back 1:50 miles; very dangerous. (10) ONLY THE LONELY has the speed to overcome the bad draw; chance.

Race 5

(8) ALEX BULLVILLE has a win and a second on the two occasions Callahan has driven him this year. Veteran should prove tough on Saturday. (5) SPECIAL T ROCKS was an expensive private purchase a couple of years back and hasn’t produced much in the way of results. Still, the back class is there. (2) J C ONTHEBEACH is well drawn and down in class. (9) SIR RICHARD Z TAM could be a threat with a smooth trip.

Race 6

(9) THAT’S MY OPINION was gelded prior to his last qualifier and seems to mind his manners nicely. He should dominate this field. (1) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST draws well and should chase the top one for minor spoils. (8) ROCKNROLL REALITY has been racing well and should be considered in the exacta.

Race 7

(8) I AM BONASERA tracked and pounced in his second qualifier. Veteran doesn’t race often but has always been fast. (7) ONTARIO SUCCESS comes off a win versus a slightly easier group. (1) MIGHTY YOUNG JOE has given an honest effort just about every week. (4) GALLANT SEELSTER picked up some confidence on the class drop last time. (3) UP UP AND OUT wouldn’t be a complete shock in a wide open race.

Race 8

(6) LAST SHOT LEETON seems to be in better form than his PP lines would indicate. Gelding drops down in class and should be forwardly placed. (1) OPEN WATER was used in the early pace and wilted last time; another shot. (2) WILLY MUCHA comes off a pair of second-place finishes against these C-2 types. (7) AXIOM HANOVER can step up with a big mile from time to time.

Race 9

(1) RELENTLESS DREAMER draws well enough that he can stay within striking position and make his patented late move. (2) BALLINROBE finds himself in the basement condition this week and Callahan figures to have a big say with this gelding. (3) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE got a much needed month off prior to this start. If he is ready, he can win.

Race 10

(7) DON’T BLAME HER picks up a new driver and sometimes that makes a huge difference. (5) ALWAYS ON A ROLL should be a big player in the outcome. (1) RX JOLT comes off an improved effort.

Race 11

(3) GOLDEN RECEIVER made an uncharacteristic break last time. If he minds his manners he could go down the road at a price. (4) ROCKIN AMADEUS figures to leave for position and sit a good trip either first or second; Callahan’s choice. (6) ODDS ON EQUULEUS needs a bit of pace help to get the job done.

Race 12

(4) TRIXTON shouldn’t have any trouble disposing of this group. (6) SPEAK THE TRUTH has yet to realize his talent but isn’t as bad as the PP lines say. If he wants to aim for the Hambo, he better show up tonight. (10) DATSYUK is clearly second best on paper but has been a speedball and must negotiate the second tier.

Race 13

(10) LORRIE PLEASE drops to the basement and really should wake up against this field; expecting her to gun off the wings tonight. (7) ELLEOFNXAMPLE raced well at this level last time and should be tough. (8) KZ BEACH GIRL has speed and some form. (3) JARNAC should be used in your trifectas and superfectas.

 

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