07/16/2015 3:59PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 7/18 Analysis


Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 11 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 204 - 637 / $1141.10 BEST BETS: 28 - 51 / $97.30


Spot Play: VENUS DELIGHT (9th)

Race 1

(3) MICHAEL’S POWER has been tackling some of the best older pacers in the sport over the last two weeks and prior to that was stuck in outside posts at Yonkers. Veteran gelding should head to the front and sit a sweet trip. (1) THINKING OUT LOUD is approaching $2 million career and has been keeping good company in Canada. (9) ART HISTORY has improved with Lasix added and only needs a decent trip to have a shot. (4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS comes off a huge mile but had a perfect trip.

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Race 2 – Dancer Memorial

(3) CANEPA HANOVER had a minor stumble on his road to the Hambletonian when breaking in the Goodtimes. He could easily rebound and seems like the one to key in on if the value play behind likely favorite (2) PINKMAN set a lifetime mark at Pocono last time and has done little wrong in his career. (1) MUSCLE DIAMOND can’t seem to stay on the track this year but has ability.

Race 3

I was looking for reasons to pick against (2) THAT’S MY OPINION this week, but he is dropping in class and should have no trouble getting around the #1. (8) YOU BET YOUR GLASS has been a steady performer all year and seems like one of the ‘other’ contenders if the top choice does something stupid. (7) ALEX BULLVILLE gets some class relief and reunites with Callahan, who has driven him well in the past. (5) DANCIN HILL could have a shot if he keeps his act together.

Race 4 – Dancer Memorial

(2) CENTURION ATM took a shot in the Beal and was turned aside versus that salty group. This bunch is somewhat easier and the big track should give Svanstedt more options. (1) CRAZY WOW finished just ahead of the top choice in the Beal and looms as the main danger tonight. (4) FRENCH LAUNDRY has won 9 of 16 career starts and is hard to completely toss.

Race 5

(3) ROLAND N ROCK looked like a horse that needed a fast tightener. He has that effort under his belt now and also a huge post edge on the other contenders. (7) DRAGON EDDY has yet to win a race but is clearly racing better of late. (10) HURRIKANE ALI looked very promising in May. I’m not sure what happened between then and now, but this is a winning spot.

Race 6 – Delvin Miller Memorial

(4) LIVININTHEFASTLANE comes off a sharp qualifier and has yet to lose in three starts this year. Considering how Mission Brief has looked, I think this filly should be considered the one to beat. (2) WILD HONEY has only finished worse than second once in her career. She’ll likely need a career best time to win. (3) MISSION BRIEF has my respect, but I have to see her look like her old self before I’m putting my money on her. She hasn’t looked right yet this year. Hopefully she gets there soon. (6) MAGIC MARKER burst on the scene with a furious rally last time and will be overlooked in the wagering on Saturday.

Race 7 – Mistletoe Shalee Final

(5) STACIA HANOVER was used too hard in the Lynch final and essentially took the week off last time while closing with good energy. I see her as the clear horse to beat despite this field appearing very evenly matched on paper. (2) THE SHOW RETURNS has thrown in these races where she just comes up completely empty but has also raced very well at times. There doesn’t appear to be much outside speed and that means she’ll likely be in a prime position to win. (1) DIVINE CAROLINE showed up with a big effort in her elimination. Her inside post and the perceived lack of speed make her very dangerous. (9) BETTOR BE STEPPIN is talented enough to win, but post nine limits her options.

Race 8 – William Haughton Memorial Final

(5) DOO WOP HANOVER has done everything that has been asked of him while sweeping through the Graduate series. In a division lacking a clear leader, there is no reason why this 4-year-old can’t assert himself. (6) DANCIN YANKEE has been in the money 70% of his career races. Seven-year-old always seems to bring a big race and has the early speed to make his presence felt. (7) JK ENDOFANERA raced well in his first start for new trainer Jimmy Takter. I’d expect he’ll be handled more aggressively this time around. (9) LUCK BE WITHYOU deserves some respect, but his trainer is winless here and his best game hasn’t been over the mile track.

Race 9 – Golden Girls Final

(11) VENUS DELIGHT loves to win races. She was a runaway victor in the Roses Are Red elimination at Mohawk only to be disqualified for interference. Her recent lines show she remains sharp and because she hasn’t won lately, the price will be reasonable. (12) ROCKLAMATION seems to have turned a corner. One thing I’ve learned is to never write this multi-millionaire off. (2) SANDBETWEENURTOES has taken care of business in her easier spots this year and now needs to prove herself on the big stage. My main concern with her is that the extra 1/8 of a mile might not be to her liking. It is also curious that Brett Miller chose #3. (6) TABLE TALK has proven capable given a clean trip and odds are she’ll be a price with Tetrick opting elsewhere. (4) ACT NOW & (3) KATIE SAID are extremely dangerous closers that can mow down any horse if feeling good and in striking position. (8) COLOR’S A VIRGIN moves into a new barn and picks up a top catch driver; hmmm.

Race 10 – Meadowlands Pace Final

(4) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT has proven to be the class of this division. I would expect to see an aggressive steer from Montrell Teague, who has done an excellent job with this horse all year. While I don’t recommend betting him to win at 3-5 or lower, you have to beat him to win. (8) DEALT A WINNER was a horse I liked in the elimination round and he saved all the ground and finished full of pace. The son of 1994 Meadowlands Pace winner Cams Card Shark may not be as fast as some of the other contenders, but with question marks surrounding the 2nd to 4th choices and all of them likely offering prices in the 3-1 to 10-1 range, I’ll roll the dice with this guy at 30-1. (9) WAKIZASHI HANOVER is the one horse I felt confident could beat the top one given a smooth trip, but that becomes very difficult from this post. (3) ARTSPEAK was flat as a pancake in the stretch after a good trip in his elimination. My Spidey Sense tells me driver Scott Zeron will try new tactics and either come from off the pace or attempt an all-out brush in the second quarter. (6) IN THE ARSENAL stole his elimination and still has too many issues for me to back him.

Race 11 – Hambletonian Maturity

(1) FATHER PATRICK just keeps proving me wrong and I’m getting tired of it. Will the real Father Patrick please stand up? Feel free to play (6) JL CRUZE, but I’m pot committed to the good Father. The latter has been absolutely awesome all year and deserves to be 2-5 come post time. (2) SHAKE IT CERRY stepped up her game in the Graduate and deserves some consideration now.

Race 12

(2) MISTER VIRGIN went extremely fast fractions versus much better foes last week. This should be his spot to shine. (5) SWEET BEACH doesn’t start very often but has some ability and could fire fresh. (6) CAPOZZO raced well on the class drop last time. He isn’t particularly sharp, but facing lesser company has a way of correcting that.

Race 13

(5) MELMERBY BEACH continues to race very well at the Meadowlands and could even offer a bit of value against this tougher group. (4) ALLSTAR LEGEND looks to get one for the thumb after winning four straight. (3) DOCTOR BUTCH is always dangerous and tends to come up with some big miles here.

Race 14

(7) JIN DANDY drops back down to the level of his recent claim and seems like a live horse. (4) SOME MAJOR BEACH didn’t respond as expected in his two starts at this reduced level. That said, he does fit nicely with this group. (2) GARNET RIVER A is off a sharp mile; worth using. (5) UNTOUCHABLE ONE has won three straight and been claimed in four straight starts; clear player. (3) STEADY PULSE should be heard from at least early in the mile.

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