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Meadowlands: Saturday 7/12 Analysis
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 6 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
MEET STATS: 76 - 248 / $437.80 BEST BETS: 12 - 19 / $44.00
Best Bet: FATHER PATRICK (4th)
Spot Play: TRUE BLUE STRIDE (1st)
(4) TRUE BLUE STRIDE was reserved for much of his career debut and charged home full of trot when asked for a bit of speed. I would imagine he’ll be kept closer to the action this time around. (3) CANEPA HANOVER is a high-priced colt with clear ability. You can just cross a line through his last effort. (1) FRENCH LAUNDRY rolled in his debut but should get more competition from this group; loses Gingras.
(6) MISSION BRIEF only needs to stay on stride to win; appears fastest. (7) SATURDAY MORNINGS has been racing well but was no match for the winner last time. (4) DYNAMITE DAME adds Sears and has room for improvement.
(1) SOMEWHERE IN L A was once thought to have some potential but has yet to tap into that pool. He now picks up Yannick Gingras, who chose off another contender to drive here. In a field without a standout, I’ll take a shot. (6) BUSHWACKER looks good if you cross a line through his last effort; has early speed. (10) LET’S DRINK ON IT would be my selection from a better post, but I just can’t take a short price on him from post 10. (2) UNLOCKED has a bit of ability when he stays pacing. Maybe Callahan can get him going.
Race 4 – Stanley Dancer Memorial
(9) FATHER PATRICK is the undisputed king of this division until one of these horses can step up and knock him off the throne. I have no doubt he will win. (7) NUNCIO has been handled with kid gloves all year and it might be time to let him roll. (1) MUSCLE NETWORK switched to the Svanstedt barn and didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his qualifier. But we’ve seen this show before from Svanstedt. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. (12) TRIXTON is immensely talented but is crippled with a second-tier starting spot. Against this salty group, if he can navigate traffic and finished second, my hat is off to him.
Race 5 – Del Miller Memorial
(7) SHAKE IT CERRY got right back on track after suffering a rare defeat two starts back. We have yet to see the 1:51 and change mile she may need to win on Saturday but I think it is there. (1) DESIGNED TO BE trounced the top choice when they last meet and clearly deserves to be the favorite. (6) HEAVEN’S DOOR is a quick filly with plenty of talent of her own; chance. (10) LIFETIME PURSUIT is handicapped with post 10. It will be tough to win from out there. (2) COOLER SCHOONER has speed that deserves respect.
Race 6 – Mistletoe Shalee Final
(7) WEEPER does her best work near the lead and was taken back to last because of the fast fractions last time at Pocono. Let’s toss that mile and expect an aggressive steer from catch-driver Corey Callahan. (3) SANDBETWEENURTOES has done everything right with a perfect record in five starts this year. Filly even made a brief skip last week and still overcame a tough uncovered trip. (5) GALLIE BYTHE BEACH has plenty of early speed and may have finally found a spot where she can get the front without working so hard and wind up sitting a sweet pocket trip. (8) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY was thought to be the divisional leader coming into the year but hasn’t done much to impress. That said, she kicked home nicely last time and is certainly eligible to bring a big mile. (1) TABLE TALK has been racing well and picked up her game even more with Tim Tetrick in the bike; player.
Race 7 – Golden Girls
(5) DROP THE BALL hasn’t been herself in most of her starts this year, but in her defense, she always seems to be in the wrong spot at the wrong time. With only Anndrovette likely leaving hard to her outside, she should be in position to pick up live cover. For an eighth of a mile there are few horses faster. (7) ANNDROVETTE is clearly the one to beat in here. What makes her even scarier is the chance she could get away with a soft half in a field that seems to lack guaranteed early speed. If the timer reads 55 seconds or higher at the half and you have a win ticket on this gal, head to the windows. (1) SOMWHEROVRARAINBOW is an obvious player but I like Anndrovette better at 4-5 than her at 5-2.
Race 8 – William R. Haughton Memorial Final
(2) CAPTAINTREACHEROUS tried to leave in the Franklin but Tetrick quickly jumped ship when the pace was too fast. On a whole, the effort wasn’t that bad considering he paced a 1:47 3/5 mile and has dropped time in each of his last five starts. I can’t promise he’ll win but I’ll be shocked if he isn’t raced very aggressively this week. (3) SWEET LOU has won each of his last five starts and bested almost all of the foes he faces on Saturday. The road to the winner’s circle goes through him but if he hits a slight bump, a number of these could pick him off. (7) BOLT THE DUER was raced conservatively last time but I’d be shocked if he didn’t leave hard this week. With the right trip he could make some noise. (6) BETTOR’S EDGE is too sharp to ignore.
Race 9 – Meadowlands Pace Final
(3) HE’S WATCHING pounced off cover last time and showed how good he can be when given a sweet trip. The likelihood of everything working out that perfect again seems slim, but I believe he has the best combination of reliability and speed in the field. (4) TELLITLIKEITIS was a top contender in the North America Cup and he finished a good second. He actually went off the favorite versus my top choice last week. Did he throw in a dud, yes. Now you’ll get at least 8-1 and probably better odds. He is very fast but needs a trip. If he gets it, watch out! (2) JK ENDOFANERA showed some guts in his elimination effort. He has looked much sounder the last couple of weeks than when he won the North America Cup. There is no doubt he can win and you must use him on your tickets. (6) LYONSSOMEWHERE is a tough horse that can take a tough trip. Can he go fast enough to win? Good question. (8) SOMETIMES SAID picked up his game last time. He’ll need good cover and some luck to get the job done. (5) LUCK BE WITHYOU put in a credible effort in his elimination. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won. (9) ALWAYS B MIKI will draw some attention but he just seems like a poor bet considering he has been erratic on the turns and can’t pace straight in the stretch. He is fast, though.
(4) BEE A MAGICIAN overcame a traffic-filled trip to finish a strong second in the Maturity last week. I really think she is sitting on a huge mile. (5) PERFECT ALLIANCE has been nearly perfect all year and there is no reason to think she won’t race well. (7) CLASSIC MARTINE is fast off the gate and a very nice mare. (8) MAVEN is one of the better trotting mares in the game but will have a lot of work to do starting outside her competition.
(4) DEALT A WINNER basically grinded on the rim last time and won as he pleased. This son of Cam’s Card Shark draws inside his main rival and is the one to beat in my book. (8) ARTSPEAK finished with a vicious turn of speed in his pari-mutuel debut. He’ll need a new dimension to win from the outer post. (5) TOO DARN HOT will be a part of the early action. Is he fast enough to win?
(3) GOLDEN RECEIVER got back on track with a wire to wire score last week. That should give him the confidence he needs to best this more accomplished group. (6) SUNFIRE BLUE CHIP is probably racing a bit better than his PP lines suggest. (4) WAKE UP PETER hasn’t thrown in many bad efforts this year. (8) ODDS ON EQUULEUS needs some help up front to score.
(3) THE SHOW RETURNS was simply outsprinted despite pacing home in 26 seconds in her first career start. Some may look at the 1:59 1/5 final time and think she isn’t fast enough. I see an opportunity to play this well-bred youngster at a price. (6) STACIA HANOVER is perfect in two career starts and remains the one to beat. (8) WICKED LITTLE MINX flashed speed at the start of her lone mile and showed some good late pace, too. (2) CASHAWAY won her only start but needs to go faster now.
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