06/09/2016 4:31PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 6/11 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 43 - 117 / $237.20 (+$3.20)  BEST BETS: 5 - 10/ $12.10 (-7.90)

Best Bet: DR C’S Z TAM (9th)

Spot Play: ASHLEY’S HUSBAND (7th)

Race 1

(2) RING WARRIOR comes off a solid effort on the engine and should prove tough against this weaker field. (8) BROOKSTONE sees his claiming price cut by 25% and has the early zip to overcome the outside post. (1) PALM’S BEACH steps up but draws well and has form.

[SCIOTO DOWNS: Watch top older trotters compete in the $210,000 Charlie Hill--Live on DRF Saturday!]

Race 2

(1) MICHAEL’S POWER overpowered a similar field last week and should be in charge once again. (2) TOATSMYGOATS chased home the top choice for second last Saturday and seems in line for a similar trip. (4) GRATIAS DEO has the ability to take air and battle, but the top one needs to regress for him to have a serious shot.

Race 3

(2) THE SPY is way down in class and that is an angle where trainer Mark Ford excels. (6) EXACTLY BLACK was flat after two months on the bench. He can do better than that. (1) EXTREME MACHINE N was racing in the basement at Pocono and now tries the bottom condition here. This looks easier.

Race 4

(1) MISTER TRUTH was used from post 10 last time to make the front and turned in a steady effort. He should be aggressive in this spot and take charge. (2) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A took plenty of air in a fast mile last time, but is winless on the year. He looks like the main danger. (6) MR CENSI closed up the cones last time and could be a threat again with a smooth trip.

Race 5

(3) MOONLIGHT RANSOM gets his nose on the gate this week and that is big for a horse that tends to race on the engine. This isn’t an easy spot but he seems worth a play. (7) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR was too far out of it last time; maybe he’ll gun off the gate this week. (5) CARD SHOCK swept from the back last time and seems to be racing well at the moment.

Race 6

(5) MELMERBY BEACH was in very tough last time. He drops back in against the kind he can handle and should bring a big effort. (7) ODDS ON EQUULEUS could certainly charge off the gate in this spot and looks like the main danger. (3) BUSHWACKER is clearly sharper than he was a few weeks ago, but he still doesn’t seem at the top of his game.

Race 7

At first glance I thought this race was more wide open, but this seems like the kind of spot where (5) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND rolls to victory. He tends to get very brave when down in class. (2) PANSFORMATIVE has performed well all year and could be sent to the front from the inside post. (7) JACKSRLUCKYTOO is clearly capable of winning, but the outside post could do him in. (6) J EAGLE FEATHER never got involved from an outside post last time. I wouldn’t be shocked if Merton elected to leave fast early.

Race 8

(3) MEDOLAND JATE was locked in and angled for room too late last time. Gelding has form and should take charge. (7) ITRUSTYOU gets some class relief and was Bongiorno’s choice over my top pick. (4) ROCKIN WIZARD comes off a win and may have more confidence now.

Race 9

(1) DR C’S Z TAM raced well while taking air in his first start for Johnson. He should take charge in this spot and prove tough to beat. (9) AMPED UP found early speed and went down the road last week; possible again. (6) GREAT SOUL could be a sneaky play as he has the early speed to gain valuable position. (2) FOUR STARZZZ Z drops down but Marohn opts elsewhere and trainer Rob Harmon gets in the bike. I wouldn’t be shocked if he hit the ticket at a nice price.

Race 10

(1) SOUTHWIND INDY returns to the Meadowlands and finds himself in a much lower class this time around. I’d be surprised if we didn’t see a big mile from him. (4) DULL ROAR also takes a meaningful drop for trainer Ford and should be feared. (3) KIWI IDEAL N was in against much better in his last try here; fits nicely.

Race 11

(5) WINNING LINC was a credible third in his first start of 2016 and can build on that mile. (2) STOLEN GLIMPSE is a serious threat to wire the field but hardly a lock as the likely favorite. (3) MAJOR BUDDY A wasn’t bad in his lone U.S. qualifier; maybe. (1) ALL THE COOKIES gets away from top notch competition.

Race 12

(1) IN COMMANDO draws inside in a short field and should take control. (8) ASTOR doesn’t seem to have too much speed to his inside. He can make the front and sit no worse than second behind the top pick. (5) DEMOCRACY N gets some class relief and deserves some consideration. (3) MOMMA’S ARTIST is off a good effort.

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