05/09/2013 3:06PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 5/11 Analysis




Race 1 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 7 - 26 / $33.70     BEST BETS: 2 - 2 / $6.20

Best Bet: VISIBLE GOLD (3rd)

Spot Play: MEL MARA (12th)

Race 1

(9) LEG UP has been super in two Freehold starts to begin his 3-year-old campaign. I’m not sure that he’ll be up to the task on Saturday, but this race seems wide open enough to take a shot. (1) ALWAYS THERE can’t seem to get over the top and seems odd that Miller would opt off. (6) NET TEN EOM was done in by post 10 last time. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him involved at a price. (7) RALBAR continues to put in decent efforts. (10) DOUBLE ROOM gets a switch to Tetrick; worth using.

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Race 2

(5) WISHING STONE came up huge last week and has the tactical speed to work out a reasonable trip. (7) SEVRUGA will be gunning to the front once again and has yet to miss the board this year. (4) GUCCIO failed to accelerate on the final turn in last week’s Maturity. He is capable but needs more.

Race 3

(1A) VISIBLE GOLD is undefeated in this series and nearly unbeaten in 2013. It is hard to look past this Burke trainee. (6) IDEAL CHAMP showed nice versatility last week. (2) YO CHEYENNE ROCKY has shown the ability to step up on this track. (1) TAKE IT BACK TERRY could easily win if his stablemate falters.

Race 4

(5) SIR MICHIGAN Z TAM clearly has some ability and should need to leave to win this race. (4) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH was okay in his 3-year-old debut and has every right to build on that effort. (1) STALLONE BLUE CHIP drops down to NW 2 races this week; playable. (10) EMERITUS MAXIMUS comes off a strong score but is stuck in post 10.

Race 5

(6) SIR MELOS Z TAM finds one of those perfect spots where Lachance can be a bit aggressive with him. His one win this year came in a spot just like this one. (2) FOUR STARZ TWINS kind of looks like the one to beat in this race, but the barn has been running cold lately. (5) A PLACE IN HISTORY scored when last seen at this level.

Race 6

(4) GOLDEN RECEIVER loves this track and has been waiting nearly two months for another race here. He should take charge and never look back despite the tough competition. (6) WARRAWEE NEEDY is certain to be leaving hard and will likely settle for a pocket behind the top choice. (5) RAZZLE DAZZLE still has to prove himself on the mile track but could be in line for a second over trip behind (1) SWEET LOU, who qualified great.

Race 7

(1) RELENTLESS DREAMER made one of those visually impressive moves where he closed from last to score last week. While the talent level is slightly higher this week, I still favor him in a race that figures to be contested early. (7) STORMIN RUSTLER has been fairly consistent getting into the exotic slots this year and has early zip. (9) PRINCE SHARKA showed that he wasn’t as dull as his form appeared on paper. If he gets a trip, he can upset.

Race 8

(7) GOOGOO GAAGAA found himself in a bad spot behind Guccio last week. It is hard to say if driver Callahan will use this guy’s speed this week, but I’m thinking he will be forwardly placed. (4) MODERN FAMILY showed he belongs with this group by winning the Maturity last time. (3) MISTER HERBIE won this race last year and comes off a decent qualifier, but trainer Gillis has said he is still getting over a quarter crack injury.

Race 9

(4) KEEP GOING has historically done well here when a catch-driver is in the bike. This field isn’t easy, but he can get the job done. (9) MAJOR BOMBAY is probably the most talented in here but it is hard to say if he’ll try to leave with so much early speed to his inside. I’m going to use him on some tickets but expect next week will be a better spot. (5) CAMBASSADOR is having a strong season and might be the one to beat.

Race 10

(4) BOLERO ANDREW had bad trips in his previous two non-Meadowlands races and was in against tougher in all three recent tries at this track. This looks like the right spot. (5) HANGON COWBOY has a ton of early speed and seems likely to get a big piece. (3) BULLET SPEED certainly fits nicely at this level and would be no surprise.

Race 11

(2) HURRIKANE KINGCOLE seems unlikely to work out the same dream trip he got last week, but he looked so good that I have to stick with him. (3) FOILED AGAIN was simply awesome in defeat in the Levy, but doesn’t win very often here. (6) DIAL OR NODIAL has been sharp all season and should be forwardly placed.

Race 12

(1) MEL MARA was trapped in a bad spot last time. That was his first start of the year and he should only be sharper now. (4) SOUTHWESTERN DREAM certainly enjoyed the move to the Burke stable. (6) URGENT ACTION could be overlooked in the wagering but has a chance with the right trip.

Race 13

(6) FORENSIC Z TAM draws in a few slots and finds a suspect field. If Lachance leaves, he should have a big shot. (7) ROCINANTE was too far back last week; using. (1) BRANDONS COLT should flash some speed from the pylons.

Race 14

This field is absent of form and early speed. (6) STIRLING BRIGADE makes his second start on Lasix and has displayed early speed in the past; taking a shot. (9) RED STAR TOMAHAWK missed a few weeks before his first start for trainer Davis. I can see him showing more now. (1) IN KENNYS HONOR has not been good this year but this is a great spot.