04/28/2016 3:37PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 4/30 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 165 - 561 / $965.20 (-$156.80)  BEST BETS: 20 - 42 / $81.80 (-$2.20)

Best Bet: WESTERN FAME (5th)

Spot Play: MEL MARA (7th)

Race 1

(5) MR D’S DRAGON found himself in a tough spot for his 3-year-old debut and clearly came up a bit short in the late stages. With that start under his belt, the results should improve. (2) ROLL N CATCH has come back to the races in a new barn off two easy qualifying wins; worth a look in the post parade. (7) CARLOS DANGER is another making his debut for a new barn. American Ideal-sired colt kept good company last year.

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Race 2

(3) AMPED UP was left with too much to do for the second start in a row last Saturday. I’m expecting (and hoping) that Callahan will have him closer tonight. (6) RESTLESS NATIVE chased a fast pace and raced well in his first start for the Richard Johnson barn; definite shot tonight. (2) PRINCE PINANG won at the $10k claiming level last week and deserves respect.

Race 3

(2) CITY HALL took care of business as the public’s choice when last seen at this level. I give him a good shot to best possible favorite (1) FOUR STARZZZ Z, who could be controlling the action despite moving up in class. (4) KIWI IDEAL N arrives for a barn that hasn’t been allowed to enter here since 2014. Maybe the big track will perk this guy up.

Race 4

(5) BACKDRAFT HANOVER sees his claiming price cut by 25% tonight and you can bet he’ll revert to on-the-lead tactics. (6) STORMIN RUSTLER was gunned to the front and simply went too fast last time. He drops back down tonight and can take a picture. (8) CAMWISER & (7) MEDOLAND JATE are both sharp and have a chance if the trip works out in their favor.

Race 5

(5) WESTERN FAME finished second last time versus a nice-looking youngster in Lyons Snyder. Tonight he faces a blank field and should roll at 3-5. (2) SOSSY’S KING KONG was facing tough foes in the Weiss at Pocono and can be competitive in here. (8) MENTIRA has some early speed and can hang out for a share.

Race 6

(6) JACKSRLUCKYTOO didn’t exactly have a great trip while facing much better foes than are signed up to this week’s NW11750. I wouldn’t go so far as to say he is a lock, but this looks like a very good spot. (4) RAINBOW ROMANCE N has looked good in limited U.S. action and we’ve all seen how good Down Under imports have been this year. (1) CONCERT ARTIST shows some good lines at Rosecroft. Let’s see how that translates to the Big M.

Race 7

(7) MEL MARA has been closing very well from impossible spots late. Seven-year-old finds himself in a new barn this week and I wouldn’t be shocked if he came up with a big mile. (6) NATIONAL SEELSTER has every right to be sharper in his second start of 2016. Ryder trainee has ability and needs to show more before heading off to stakes assignments. (2) MY HERO RON has a few starts under him now and could be ready for a peak effort. (3) REAL NICE has raced very well here this year.

Race 8

(2) IDEAL SON has been in some difficult spots of late and seems to have caught a soft group this week. (6) BOOK BINGE was a sharp winner in his career debut at age 4. Let’s see if he can build off that effort. (1) OLD MAN CLEARY has been racing reasonably well at Pocono.

Race 9

(1) ALEXIE MATTOSIE had his back class on display last week at the bottom condition. I don’t see any reason he can’t roll home again. (2) BIG JER chased the top one home last time and could be in line for a similar fate tonight. (5) PIECE OF THE ROCK has won two straight; clear player.

Race 10

(4) ALLSTAR LEGEND is better when he is close to the action, so last week’s line is basically a throw-out for me. He plunges to the basement condition tonight and should romp an odds-on. (6) THAT’LL BE THE REI was used in the pace scenario last time; drops tonight. (5) DR C’S Z TAM has been closing well and should get a piece in here. (1) LETTUCEROCKU A is another Cassar shipper; not sure what to expect.

Race 11

(2) OUREA NOURRIR gets post relief and while he is staying in the same class, this field came up pretty light. (3) RELENTLESS DREAMER is in one of those soft spots where his late rally can help him sweep the field. (1) BJ’S RAMEAU is coming off a really nice effort and we are getting a driver change; worth using.

Race 12

(1) ATOCHIA reaches the bottom condition at The Meadowlands after some decent efforts against better company. Classy 11-year-old should dig down deep for a win and push his career earnings over $1.8 million. (6) SOME MAJOR BEACH comes off an improved effort last time and I imagine he’ll be firing off the gate again. (3) NATHAN FEELSGOOD may have picked up some confidence at Vernon. (5) BULLVILLE KYLE finished second at this level two starts back.

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