04/23/2015 4:03PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 4/25 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 166 - 622 / $901.30  BEST BETS: 21 - 51 / $79.90

Best Bet: ODDS ON EQUULEUS (7th)

Spot Play: SOTO (3rd)

Race 1

(7) DRAGON EDDY showed some promise as a 2-year-old and has been chasing in some quick miles at the Southern Oaks Training Center to prepare for his debut; narrow call. (3) COASTER was in some tough spots at Pocono. Maybe the big track and the switch to Gingras will wake him up. (2) TOMY TERROR made good money as a rookie and his qualifiers are decent, though slower than the top choice over the same track.

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Race 2

(2) GRATIAS DEO went a long mile last time and hung in there nicely. His prior two starts were wins. (5) ENCODING Z TAM showed a bit more life a week ago; more improvement coming? (8) CAJON HOT SHOT has plenty of early zip and could surprise if left alone up front.

Race 3

(1) SOTO was absolutely awesome in his qualifier, finishing under a hold and clearly with something left in the tank. (2) REVENGE SHARK raced gamely on the rim despite missing a month of action; very playable. (3) GOKUDO HANOVER has won two straight but the overall level of competition continues to get tougher.

Race 4

(6) GWENEEEE J put in a valiant first-over effort despite spending a long time on the rim and chasing soft fractions. Any step forward and she romps. (1) QUICK AINT FAIR qualified well enough. If she can find room in the stretch she may pass some at a healthy price. (9) LADY SPARTACUS faced plenty of pressure but was aided by soft fractions in her victory last time; outside post hurts. (5) NEW JOEZ should flash speed and get a small piece.

Race 5

(3) BOBBY THE GREEK was simply in a tough spot and had too far to come last Saturday. He moves inside this time and needs to be kept a bit closer to the front. (1) AMERICAN MESSENGER posted a decent effort in his career debut and can certainly improve with that race in hand. (6) EDWARD TEACH scored in the first round of this series, but loses driver Gingras. (9) ROCK OF THE AGES sat a perfect trip and scored at 9-1 last time. He has his work cut out for him from the outside post.

Race 6

(3) MAJOR UPTREND raced very well at Pocono and is probably at his best on a bigger track like the Meadowlands. If he gets any kind of a clean trip, he’ll be right there in a wide open race. (7) BETTOREVER raced big in the first round to pick up a victory. Gelding has never finished off the board in eight starts this year. (12) REDISCOVERY posted a super 1:49 2/5 winning mile last week, but loses Gingras and starts from the second tier; mixed feelings. (4) ROCK OUT has high speed, but has proven to be more reliable as an exotics player.

Race 7

(7) ODDS ON EQUULEUS probably should have won last week, but few horses can be used as hard as he was and still win. He went a big opening quarter and then challenged hard while uncovered. There are no excuses tonight; clear choice. (6) SPEED AGAIN should head to the front and give a decent performance. (8) ONTARIO SUCCESS needs some pace help but is clearly capable.

Race 8

(6) IDEALBEACH HANOVER might be a reach in this spot and most won’t like that he basically hung last time, but he was facing better foes in that contest. In a race where I don’t love anyone, he seems worth a flyer. (3) APOLLO SEELSTER has won four straight at Dover and deserves respect. (4) SWEET BEACH was super last time against an awful field; water is deeper now.

Race 9

(9) ABELARD HANOVER is a horse with plenty of early speed that is coming off a wire to wire win. Don’t be surprised if Callahan makes the front and goes down the road. (4) DIAMOND SAID was driven very patiently a week ago and finished well for a minor award. If he is close, he has a shot. (2) MURDER HE WROTE should be in close attendance to the lead for a barn that is having a decent meet.

Race 10

(1) BIG JER dropped down last week to a similar level and was only fourth, but that group was better than the one he faces tonight. Six-year-old won in 1:49 2/5 at this track last year and finds the perfect spot to relive that success. (6) YOU BET YOUR GLASS drops down a notch and seems likely to be going forward early. (7) RELENTLESS DREAMER can fly in the lane if the pace is quick early.

Race 11

(4) LIMELIGHT BEACH posted a game victory in his lone qualifier of the year and seems to set up nicely in this spot whether Gingras decides to leave or look for cover. (1) FOOL ME ONCE steps up off consecutive victories and is hard to toss. (3) DOO WOP HANOVER had too far to come last time. If the trip is better he can win. (6) DOVUTO HANOVER was flat last week but is very capable.

Race 12

(5) I WANNA GO FAST comes off a nice first-over score at Rosecroft and has displayed the ability to race well here in the past. (7) CAPOZZO drops down and draws better; must use. (8) SIR CARY’S Z TAM comes out of the same race as the #7 and would be a threat with the right trip. (9) MAMBO ITALIANO has plenty of form.

Race 13

(8) ROCKAHOLIC raced evenly in his first start for this high percentage barn while facing a much better group. I’m expecting a top effort. (5) HEDGES LANE comes in sharp from Freehold and appears to be quite versatile. (2) NORTHERN PRIZE finds a field full of early speed types and could take advantage late. (9) NF DRUM ROLL wired a weaker field in this class last time from a better post.

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