04/21/2016 2:47PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 4/23 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 158 - 537 / $928.40 (-$145.60)  BEST BETS: 20 - 41 / $81.80 (-$.20)

Best Bet: ALWAYS AT MY PLACE (6th)

Spot Play: MEL MARA (3rd)

Race 1

(5) STORMIN RUSTLER has finally found the form that made him a winner of over $435k lifetime. Veteran campaigner moves up one notch on the claiming ladder but can keep rolling. (4) TALKTOMECOURAGE N has been closing well and should benefit by the addition of David Miller in the bike. (7) BACKDRAFT HANOVER scored at this level last time out. (8) AMPED OUT was too far back chasing somewhat soft fractions a week ago.

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Race 2

(4) MOONLIGHT RANSOM was raced conservatively last week on the drop to this condition and never got involved. From my memory, he always does his best work near the front; let’s see speed tonight. (8) BIG JER came up with a strong effort last time out and the only negative I see is the outside post. (2) GARNET RIVER A seems like a must for the bottom of exotic bets.

Race 3

(7) MEL MARA was taken back and lost any chance despite roaring home in 25 2/5 last Saturday. As long as Callahan keeps him close, watch out! (4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS was his usual frustrating self last week while losing at 1-2. Figuring out when this guy is going to feel like showing up is frustrating. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO merits respect after beating #4 last week.

Race 4

I’ll be honest in saying that I really don’t like any horse in this race. (4) CAMWISER raced better in his second start for this barn and should be in close attendance to the leader. (7) GIDDYALLYOUGOT raced evenly while never getting into the race last time. Perhaps we’ll see some early speed this week? (6) MEDOLAND JATE has been racing reasonably well but hardly inspires confidence having lost photos in four of his last five starts.

Race 5

(1) WESTERN DYNASTY chased a really nice 3-year-old in his latest qualifier and kept up very nicely. There are some interesting youngsters signed on to this NW2, but I think the value could be with this Chris Ryder trainee. (4) MR D’S DRAGON qualified back sharply down in Florida and was Campbell’s choice. (3) ROLL AWAY JOE raced well in his debut; more now? (8) PACIFIC STRIDE moves into the Spagnola barn.

Race 6

(2) ALWAYS AT MY PLACE won for fun last time out and gets another free ride in the same class. (3) PANSFORMATIVE couldn’t sustain his rally on the rim last time out; better trip would help. (8) ALL WEEK is clearly sharp, but seems unlikely to win given the outside post.

Race 7

(3) WELL BRED flashed good speed at both ends of the mile in his second start for trainer Ron Burke. Tonight’s assignment is tougher but he seems up to the task. (9) COBALT MAN drops only one class level on paper but is actually getting immense class relief. It is hard to imagine him not racing well in this spot. (4) ASTOR handled the jump to this condition nicely last week; playing underneath. (6) TOTALLY DREAMY moves into the Russo barn.

Race 8

(8) ALLSTAR LEGEND is in very cheap this week. Seven-year-old may not be the horse he once was, but he has the class to get the job done against this group. (1) PIECE OF THE ROCK has been in good form all year. (6) CAPOZZO was the victim of a bad trip last Saturday, but that doesn’t change the fact that he wasn’t exactly in raging form prior to that start. I think he’ll be overbet here. (3) THAT’LL BE THE REI drops down and wouldn’t be a shock.

Race 9

There are some good-looking sophomores in this race. I’m leaning towards (5) WESTERN FAME off a solid 2016 debut win. Interesting that driver David Miller is rushing back from Yonkers where he is driving in race 7 to make it back for this son of Western Ideal. (1) STOLEN GLIMPSE raced very well in his career debut and there could be some talent here. (4) UNCLE COZ comes off a sharp 1:54 win at Philly, which puts him right there with this group. (8) LYONS SNYDER drifted a bit in his win last time but is hard to fault otherwise.

Race 10

(4) GLASS PRINCE was hung every step of the mile and kept chugging along to make it to the wire first last week. Veteran pacer is feeling good now and can string a couple together. (5) FOUR STARZZZ Z was in a tough spot last time. This seems like a good spot to get a bit more aggressive. (1) ATOCHIA continues to take baby steps forward. I’m not sure if it will be this week, but he should win one soon.

Race 11

(6) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST gets the narrow call from me due to his great form in a race that I’m honestly having trouble deciphering. The big question is whether (7) ALWAYS B MIKI is raced hard in his first start of 2016. On one hand every loss counts against him if he wants to have a Horse of the Year campaign, but there isn’t much to be gained by going a huge mile on Saturday; mixed feelings. (5) JK ENDOFANERA was handled conservatively to start his 5-year-old season, but I’d expect to see more this time around.

Race 12

(6) WILD SHOT HANOVER was stuck in a fast mile for this class last time out. In a race with no standouts, he can leave hard and perhaps take them all the way. (1) SPIRIT OF TRUTH has been closing well from outside posts and lured Zeron off my top pick. (3) CARD SHOCK hasn’t raced in four months but returns at a reduced level; tough call. (9) COPPER COAST A can pick off a few late for a minor check.

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