03/31/2016 2:31PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 4/2 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 134 - 465 / $768.00 (-$162.00)  BEST BETS: 19 - 35 / $73.60 (+$3.60)

Best Bet: FOUR STARZZZ Z (5th)

Spot Play: A J DESTINY (1st)

Race 1

(4) A J DESTINY picks up a catch-driver as he exits the Amateur ranks. As we saw two starts back, the speed is there. (5) HALL PASS HELEN was in a bad spot last time and raced accordingly. I expect her to be pushing away with the top pick on Saturday. (1) HOT START closed well last week and should be able to get into the exotics if she minds her manners.

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Race 2

(7) BROOKLYNITE was well thought of as a 2-year-old and never really showed his best. Now he adds Lasix and just cruised to an easy win despite the diminishing margin in his recent qualifier. Hop on board! (5) WHATA TWIST improved in his second comeback qualifier and picks up a catch-driver tonight. (2) SAFENSOUND HANOVER was David Miller’s choice off a decent morning effort.

Race 3

(4) NATHAN FEELSGOOD makes his third start back from winter vacation and gets some serious post relief. I’ll be surprised if he isn’t flying off the gate en route to a nice trip. (1) PEDRO’S DREAM displayed some early life and was even late last week. I believe he is starting to hit a form cycle and the better post should serve him well; using. (2) MYSTERIOUS MOMENT is hard to back with just one win in his last 28 starts. But have you seen the rest of this field?

Race 4

(5) GOOD CITATIONS has been closing for a share week after week and those are usually horses you want to avoid on the top of your tickets. That said, this bottom level claimer comes up relatively blank and he should be able to stick closer to the action. (6) JETTY pulled the pocket on the final turn, brushed paint with the leader and paced home steadily on the drop to this claiming price last time. You have to think he’ll be trying to wire this field. (7) CAMWISER has upset at this level two of the last three weeks. Fool me once, shame on you . . . fool me three times, shame on me?

Race 5

(2) FOUR STARZZZ Z never got a chance to prove me right or wrong as one of my top plays a week ago when the races were cancelled due to a power outage. Facing another group of mostly dullards, he looks like a single on my multi-race exotics. (1) BAKIN ON THE BEACH finally draws well and could take advantage at a price. (9) RESTLESS NATIVE comes back off a mini rest and has the early speed to make some serious noise.

Race 6

(4) DOVUTO HANOVER didn’t show much at Yonkers, but I think the big track is more up his alley. He returns here against much easier foes and should prove tough. (6) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND won convincingly at this level last week; logical repeat candidate. (3) PANSFORMATIVE was one of the sharpest horses on the grounds before the break last out with a new driver in tow. Bongiorno returns to the sulky tonight.

Race 7

(4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS was a bit flat in his first try since September. He should be ready for more now and faces an easier group. (3) REAL NICE technically drops down after finishing a solid second in NW16000 last time; must use. (7) MCARDLES LIGHTNING is feeling good now but will be tested for class against the top pair.

Race 8

(5) RESPECTABLE DREAM got passed by plenty but does show an even line at Yonkers last out. Five-year-old switches to the bigger track and seems likely to find some early speed. (7) GOOD SIDE wasn’t going far from post eight at Freehold a week ago and gets a nice driver change tonight. (9) DAVID THE SAINT has been facing better across the river at Yonkers.

Race 9

I’m up in the air as to whether (9) J EAGLE FEATHER is up to beating this veteran field in his first start since August. The bottom line is he should offer good value and I was impressed with his qualifiers. (4) CHARGER BLUE CHIP came up short after nearly seven weeks on the sidelines. I’m expecting better on Saturday. (5) MARTINI HANOVER has proven himself at the Big M over the years but I’m inclined to use him underneath only. (7) INVICTUS HANOVER has been reasonably sharp and could get a win given the right trip.

Race 10

(5) GRATIAS DEO held well after taking air last time. Tonight he faces a blank field and should dominate. (4) ROCKIN ROBERT seems to be in a good spot to flash speed and go a long way. (2) TWINCREEKS JEESE ran into stretch traffic last time. His prior effort at this level resulted in a win. (1) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE has raced well with Campbell in the bike.

Race 11

Just as important as finding strong handicapping angles is knowing when it is best to sit on the sidelines. I simply have no strong opinion on this race. For the record only, my top picks are (3) BACKDRAFT HANOVER, (1) HOBOKEN HANOVER, (4) UF FAST FEELIN and (2) TALKTOMECOURAGE N.

Race 12

(4) WINDS OF CHANGE stays in the same class but actually tackles a softer group. His class should show in this spot. (5) JUNGLE OF TERROR won easily in his last start in this condition. (3) SOUTHWIND INDY steps up off a convincing score. (2) K SLATER should save ground and sneak into the wider exotics.

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