04/09/2015 4:09PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 4/11 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 149 - 571 / $796.90  BEST BETS: 19 - 47 / $70.70

Best Bet: SASSY HANOVER (10th)

Spot Play: MURDER HE WROTE (4th)

Race 1

(7) MAJOR IN LIFE hasn't really done anything wrong in his career and picked up some confidence against weak competition at Freehold. His qualifier was solid and this field looks to be full of question marks. (6) ARI'S TURN flashed some ability a couple of years ago at 2, but has only made one start since then. The qualifier was good enough to roll the dice. (2) ROCK OF THE AGES gets Miller back in the bike.

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Race 2

(1) ART HISTORY closed nicely in his first start since October for a barn that has been firing all meet. There is no reason he can't turn the tables on (4) MY NAME IS SAM from a likely pocket trip. The latter has won nearly 50% of his starts but is far from a lock. (6) GOKUDO HANOVER has a shot if things go his way.

Race 3

(1) CHUCARO ACERO BC hasn't exactly looked great since coming to the U.S., but seems to have found a great spot from the cones and could wake up. (5) ROCK ON THE HILL has come back with a pair of decent qualifiers and showed plenty of ability as a freshman pacer. My only concern is that he might be pointing for stakes races down the road. (4) MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING has been very consistent but can't seem to get over the top; using underneath.

Race 4

(5) MURDER HE WROTE set a quick pace and almost went wire to wire in just his second start since September. I'm staying with him. (7) URBANITE HANOVER is back down in class and a big threat to win despite Miller choosing my top choice. (1) GOOD DAY MATE is clearly sharp now.  (8) BREAKIN THE LAW has a string of good efforts on his resume but wins have been tough to come by.

Race 5

(6) COBALT MAN picked up his game in his first start for trainer Mark Capone. Driver change to the hot Marohn should help. (1) SPENDER HANOVER was used early and packed it in last time. This guy is better suited for an easy trip. (2) DIAMOND SAID drops back down to the proper level, but maybe he is a different horse when not in the Gill barn.

Race 6

(1) PANCHESTER UNITED gets away from the sharpest horse on the grounds and has an inside post to work with. (8) THAT'S MY OPINION won despite a two month layoff and may finally be ready to live up to his $350k price tag. (2) SMART ROKKER only needs smooth sailing to get a big piece.  (3) ROCK OUT has high speed.

Race 7

(4) WINDSONG GORGEOUS paces out of his skin when in the Morgan barn. Some might shy away because Brett Miller chose off and Vincent Ginsburg is driving, but I'll take the better price and roll with it. (9) DAPPER DUDE gets some serious class relief but doesn't exactly find an easy spot. Classy veteran is capable. (5) ODDS ON EQUULEUS sprinted away from the field in his qualifier. We all know this guy has talent. (1) MISTER VIRGIN comes off a strong score but faces tougher.

Race 8

(4) MAMBO ITALIANO hasn't racked up wins this year but has been a steady performer week after week. Now he moves into a new stable that has done well in 2015; interesting. (7) DULL ROAR was a solid second against this company last time and has a history of putting up big miles at times. This guy has a serious chance at a decent price. (9) JJ SHARK would be the prohibitive favorite from an inside post. From this spot he is just another one of many contenders. (1) MIGHTY YOUNG JOE is certainly capable but not as reliable as last year.

Race 9

(3) STORMIN RUSTLER had no shot last time and can be forgiven for not firing after a long layoff. This guy has proven he can win here and the rest of this group leaves plenty to be desired. (1) ROCKROCKWHOSTHERE has speed from the inside in a bad field, but is winless since 2013. (5) GETONTHEWAY rallied nicely last week.

Race 10

(10) SASSY HANOVER is in a great spot and should gun off the gate and head down the road. (4) GALLANT SEELSTER hasn't been racing that badly lately. Maybe we'll see some early zip tonight? (9) RELENTLESS DREAMER typically wakes up in spots like this one, but he doesn't own much early speed and could have too many to pass.

Race 11

(3) MOONLIGHT RANSOM drops down and figures to wire this field. (6) FOUR STARZZZ Z also gets class relief but lacks the top one's form. (5) ARTISTS RALLY was in a tough spot last time. He can compete in here.

Race 12

(6) STEVENSVILLE may not be ready to face a field of this quality, but his qualifier was just so good I can't resists taking a shot. (5) FOOL ME ONCE raced well off the bench and can build on that mile. (1) DOVUTO HANOVER has plenty of class and can't be faulted for not keeping up in his qualifier with the trainer in the bike.

Race 13

(5) SHOCK N ROCK has plenty of early speed and could get away from this field. (6) GRATIAS DEO scored at first asking for a barn that is hitting at 50% here, but Callahan chose the top choice. (9) HURRIKANE JON PAUL raced okay from the outside after nearly a year on the shelf. (8) TRIPLE MAJOR is hard to love on the win end at 1 for his last 45, but he should get a piece of the pie.

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