03/06/2014 4:39PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 3/8 Analysis

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Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 74 - 263 / $428.50   BEST BETS: 11 - 21 / $35.70

Best Bet: NATIONAL DEBT (11th)

Spot Play: FRISKIES CHEAPSUIT (10th)

Race 1

(1) THISDEUCEISWILD raced well from off the pace recently against a more difficult group. He loses Callahan in the bike to #2, but that could be a barn loyalty thing. (3) TALKING BLUES has some early zip and could steal this race if Yannick gets aggressive. (6) MANCHESTER was racing well here earlier in the year. His recent qualifier is better than it looks.

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Race 2

(2) SHARK FANTASY arrives from Canada and joins the Ron Burke barn. Assuming he doesn’t head to the gate as the favorite and he looks good on the track, I’d take a shot. (9) HIGHLAND TARTAN ships up from Pompano off an impressive win in his career debut; clearly dangerous. (1) NITRO SEELSTER had some late pace in his first start up North despite a four week absence.

Race 3

(4) EXIT CAM was super in his qualifier but came up a smidge short in live action. Perhaps Andy Miller returning to the bike will make a difference. (3) STARS ABOVE was right there versus the top choice last week. That was his first start on Lasix and only his second time on the track this year. (2) NATHANIEL B ships in sharp and adds David Miller.

Race 4

(1) SPARTACUS PV had absolutely no chance of closing from the back after chasing through soft fractions last week. He draws inside now and has shown the ability to flash early speed. (3) BUBBIE BOY was a solid third behind a sharp winner most recently. (7) OUR CULLENSCROWN N steps up off a win for a sharp barn.

Race 5

(7) ALLSTAR LEGEND rode a pocket trip to victory in a slightly easier class. It seems likely he’ll be leaving again this week and sitting the pocket behind the speedy (9) PENESTHETIC. The latter gets away from the best horses on the grounds and figures to bring a top effort. (1) COLOSSAL hasn’t missed many opportunities to nail down a board spot. (2) MOJO TERROR is certainly capable with a smooth trip.

Race 6

(2) PERFECT ALLIANCE has been phenomenal in 2014 and would need to throw in a dud to lose. (1) TIME TO QUIT is also perfect this year, but he has yet to show the same acceleration as the top choice. (4) RAY HALL continues to race well but needs to show more if he wants to win. (3) CAJOLE HANOVER has the talent; erratic.

Race 7

(1) CAM B ZIPPER drops down a class to the C-1 level and finally draws inside. (6) OLDE TIME HOCKEY is another getting both class and post relief. He can compete with these. (4) SOUTHWESTERN DREAM got hung out last time. It should be easier to make the front from post four tonight.

Race 8

(4) VILLAGE BEAT flashed pace at both ends of the mile last week. There are no killers signed on and the sharpest foe, (9) ANDREW LUCK, drew outside. (6) IMA GIGGITY FOOL has been tackling some stiff competition at the Non-winners of 4 races level. This spot is easier.

Race 9

(5) P H POWERPLAY had to deal with an outside post and a sharp foe in his latest race. He moves to a cozy mid-pack starting slot and has a chance to steal this race on the lead. (7) LAWGIVER HANOVER has been racing well for a barn that was on fire last Saturday. (1) PRINCE SHARKA has speed from the inside.

Race 10

(1) FRISKIES CHEAPSUIT has been stuck outside in all his previous races at this level. This field came up very soft and he should be hard to beat. (11) SIR MELOS Z TAM should get away in close order behind the #1. If he finds room in the stretch he will be a player. (4) READY TO WORK makes his second start off the bench and drops a class. (9) CASINO KING would be a major player if drawn inside; consider.

Race 11 

(1) NATIONAL DEBT has yet to post a loss in his career and was way too dominant last time to pick against. (3) CAPITAL ACCOUNT is hard to fault at 4-for-5 lifetime, but I’m not convinced he has the motor of the top one. (1A) IN THE CLEAR was blocked in the stretch last week. He could be ready for a big mile in his third start of the year. (4) DINNER AT THE MET has some pretty PP lines.

Race 12

(1) TARPON HANOVER only needs a smooth trip to finally get over the top. (3) TWINCREEKS JESSE was Miller’s choice over (6) ALSACE HANOVER, which surprised me. The former comes off a sharp effort while the later should be tighter after missing three weeks prior to his recent start.

Race 13

(1) THAT’S JUSTICE failed as the heavy chalk last time but deserves another shot. One word of caution is that this field is tougher than last week and if even-money again, I would steer clear. (5) PEMBROKE DEWEY is winless on the year, but a good trip could get him on the board. (2) VOICE OF TRUTH drops down off an even effort.

 

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