03/10/2016 4:05PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 3/12 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 111 - 395 / $646.90 (-$143.10)  BEST BETS: 15 - 29 / $62.90 (+$4.90)


Spot Play: VERDAD (8th)

Race 1

(1) ART HISTORY takes a giant step forward, but is rewarded with a cozy inside post to held showcase his early speed. With a couple of these coming back from layoffs, he can take charge at a price. (5) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE is always a threat to storm past the field in the lane. If he is feeling right tonight, a win is very possible. (2) JACKSRLUCKYTOO is sharp and owns a stellar 26-35 career in-the-money record.

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Race 2

(3) BETTOR MEMORIES continues to improve and had no shot for first last time after chasing slow fractions. (2) MAAJAACKKOBE was done in by a tough trip a week ago and could make more noise from the inside post. (8) ROCKET J has hinted at some ability and could be an upset player. (6) HONEY I’M HOME got away with soft fractions last time. I’m betting against at a somewhat short price.

Race 3

(2) EIGHT TEN EOM should be able to make the front and get away with soft fractions in this spot. At worst he’ll sit the pocket and have a big chance. (1) DUKES UP comes in from Freehold with good form and might just push away hard enough to sit a garden trip. (3) PIECE OF THE ROCK had things his way last week but ends up with some early speed to his inside this time. (7) EARLY STORM moves into a new barn and picks up Campbell; worth a look.

Race 4

(4) GOOD CITATIONS couldn’t rally into a slow pace at Monticello on Tuesday, but it seems like most of the horses this barn has been bringing in usually race well. In a field with little form, he seems as good as any. (9) PENN TURBO TED is one of the rare horses in this race that I actually remember winning at the Big M. He has the early speed to overcome the bad draw. (2) YOU BET YOUR GLASS has hit a new low. Will he wake up tonight? Good question!

Race 5

(1) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE has been having his trouble from outside posts at Yonkers. I like him better on the big track and expect to see a solid showing. (4) PANSFORMATIVE hasn’t put in a bad effort in some time; one to beat. (8) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE seems to have found his form again and could be tough if the trip works out.

Race 6

(8) BAKIN ON THE BEACH faced some traffic and finished with pace a week ago. He drops in class tonight but should still provide value against a solid group. (5) SOUTHWIND INDY is another class-dropper capable of stepping up. (9) THAT’S MY OPINION has done his best work against NW5100 types and he did finish up with some pace a week ago.

Race 7

(2) CHEYENNE SEEBER had traffic trouble two starts back and couldn’t handle a very sharp winner last time. This guy is ready to score and the class break should make the difference. (3) MCARDLES LIGHTNING is another getting class relief in the field. Along with moving in from outside posts, this guy should be live. (6) ROCKIN WIZARD adds Tetrick and has proven capable in the past. (1) MR CENSI has some form if the trip works out.

Race 8

(2) VERDAD was stuck with outside posts in his first starts of 2016. Veteran pacer is sharper than you may think and primed for a big effort. (1) LAST DRAGON is back at the level of his win two starts back. (3) DUNE DUDE fits right in as one of seven horses dropping in class in race 8. He is also getting post relief after a long trip from post 9.

Race 9

(1) INVICTUS HANOVER might appear to be staying in the same class, but this race looks like a big step down in terms of talent. High percentage Russo barn should have him ready. (4) HAVE NOT READ IT comes with a long list of angles: drops; moves inside; second start on Lasix; second start after a three-week break. (8) ETHAN HANOVER has been up in company lately and is a candidate to awaken for a decent barn.

Race 10

(2) LEGENDS LUCK finds a field lacking early speed and should be able to use his zip to sit a fine trip. (3) PRINCE PINANG has missed more than a month and comes off what looks like a dull qualifier. Upon closer inspection, he was facing some top foes that morning and has displayed the ability to win on a bigger track. (4) SOME MAJOR BEACH is another with the potential to fire off the gate. (1) WOODMERE ULTIMATE is consistent and should be used underneath.

Race 11

(7) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST didn’t look quite as good last week as he appeared two starts back. That said, whether he leaves or waits off cover, this race looks to shape up nicely for him. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER may need to gut it out uncovered to win this Open Handicap; not an impossible task. (4) SUNSHINE BLUE CHIP seems destined to be sitting first or second, but I’d need 5-1 or better to consider him.

Race 12

The horses in this race are formless and you really are looking at a crapshoot. I’ll try (3) STORMIN RUSTLER on the angles of an improved post, drop in company and back class. (4) TWINCREEKS JESSE hasn’t done much lately except a third-place finish a few starts back, but have you seen the rest of this field? (7) MAGICAL TELF N hasn’t won a race in years and looks playable; enough said.

Race 13

(3) PIERCE should be the first to the front and has enough speed to string out the field to secure at least a pocket trip. (7) MAJOR WAR has been stuck in some fast miles lately. While I loath to pick this horse, he really does seem to be in a winning spot. (6) BOOGIEWOOGIEBRIAN finally gets away from post 10; should be leaving. (9) ROYAL OUTLOOK seems capable of getting involved if the trip goes his way.

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