01/05/2017 4:36PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 1/7 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 70 - 231 / $339.00 (-$123.00)

BEST BETS: 9 - 19 / $26.40 (-$11.60)

Best Bet: NEXT OF CAM (2nd)

Spot Play: TITUS SEELSTER (4th)

Race 1

(8) CITY PIE was rolling to the front when he made an uncharacteristic break last Saturday. Veteran campaigner is clearly sitting on a win, though there is a small chance that he isn’t 100% physically. (3) MADIBA MAGIC N made a bold move at 60-1 last time and paid the price. The class drop tonight along with a smoother trip can make him very competitive. (1) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE moves to the inside and I wouldn’t be shocked if driver Pollio decided to get more aggressive.

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Race 2

(7) NEXT OF CAM was out every step of the mile last week and still paced steadily through the wire. He should prove tough against a lackluster group. (1) WITCHITA draws well again and should stick close for his usual nice check in an exotic spot. (10) CHILLN MATISSE raced well with Lasix added last time and only needs a reasonable trip from post 10 to menace. (2) THINKIN BIG is better than what we saw in his career debut; equipment changes?

Race 3

(8) RING WARRIOR shouldn’t face too much road trouble on his way to the front this week. If he can steal a decent half, he won’t look back. (1) MR BIG LOAD bumps up a notch off a good second last time and seems likely to push away fast from the inside. (3) MAJOR BUBBLES N bested the former last time and merits a look, but I fear the price will be shorter than deserved. (9) AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL has a string of in-the-money finishes to his credit and was able to hit the board 26 times in 38 starts last year.

Race 4

(6) TITUS SEELSTER was used pretty hard last Saturday in his first start since late October. The speedy son of Artistic Fella should be tighter now and looking down the road. (9) HILLBILLY HANOVER drops again in search of form and gets a driver change to Brett Miller; dangerous. (8) DOWNTHEHIGHWY battled with the top pick early before fading a week ago. He can do better with a smoother trip. (7) JACKSRLUCKYTOO puts himself in a hole each week while trying to close from the back of the pack. He catches a tough field for this class and seems like an exotic player only.

Race 5

(8) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE was out-kicked a week ago for one of the few times in the last couple of years. With loads of potential early speed signed on to this race, he can make amends and roll to the front just before the wire. (3) BARIMAH A finally draws a more favorable post and that should give driver John Campbell more options. (7) SPEED AGAIN picked up some confidence while down in class last time. I can’t say I love him in this spot, but I also can’t toss him. (5) WAR-N-MUNN could save ground and rally for a nice piece; using underneath. (9) DREAMLANDS ART has the class and could get brave at any time.

Race 6

(1) PANFORMATIVE was a solid second at this level after three months off but took a leisurely tour of the track from another outside post versus tougher last time. I’d be very surprised if he didn’t show up with a strong effort from post one. (3) ALEXIE MATTOSIE steps up off a powerful win. Millionaire has the back class to climb the ladder. (6) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND was parked every step behind a rated pace and finished willingly with no shot in his last start. Seven-year-old loves this NW11500 level and I’d be using him if you get double digit value. (5) DIAL OR NODIAL qualified back full of pace but may still need a start to get up to speed. (4) MOONWRITER ships in from Dover and should fit with this group.

Race 7

This race kicks off the pick four and despite coming back to it three separate times, I’m having trouble narrowing down the contenders. Very few in here would surprise me if they won. (6) DURANT makes his second start for new connections and should get a decent pace to rally into. (8) WINTER BLUES comes off a solid effort and adds a catch-driver this week. (3) SO TAKE THAT took advantage of a quick pace and circled the field. He seems likely to be the favorite and I can’t get myself to accept a short price on him. (4) FLYING COWBOY is certainly fast enough to win and will be a healthy price; missed four weeks, though. (1) UNIX HANOVER has big speed and a better post to work with this time.

Race 8

I’m going to take a flyer with (2) MISTER TRUTH here. He is racing well but caught a much tougher field while up in class last time. With a clean trip he could pull off an upset. (4) SASSY HANOVER and (7) RUFO have dangerous early speed. If one of them gets away with cheap fractions, watch out. (1) GAMBLER’S TALE should get away close from the cones and have a chance if he brings his best game.

Race 9

(4) STOLEN GLIMPSE was written into the race on the AE condition. While he appears to be off form, it is worth noting that all three of his wins and another trio of his six seconds were record on big tracks. (2) BLATANTLY BEST and (1) FITZ’S Z TAM are both at a winning level from good posts in a race that seems to lack a ton of early speed. (6) DAVID’S DREAM has been racing well of late.

Race 10

(3) JETSKI LOUIE won two starts back and was hung for his life last time. Gelding is clearly in form now and the addition of Brett Miller should prove meaningful. (8) MR BLISSFULL should be on the move early and is in good enough shape to take them a long way. (2) LEGION OF BOOM comes off a sharp first over effort; worth using. (1) SHIFT RIGHT drops in for a $15k tag and could show a bit more.

Race 11

(6) SHOREVIEW started to leave but was wrestled back to last in his first start since mid September. He wound up last on the rim and finished up willingly with no real shot. I have a feeling we’ll see more tonight and the price should be right. (9) PICK WICK came up with a career best mile from post 10 last Saturday and should prove strong again. (1) DASH OF DANGER continues to roll out the wins and overcame an early break to do it last time; obvious threat. (4) THE LIMIT HANOVER comes off a second-place finish and seems like a potential player in the wide exotics.

Race 12

(1) ROCK STAR dropped back down last week but couldn’t get involved from the outside post. While he’s far from a standout in here, he can get the job done with a good trip. (10) ROCKIN ROBERT came up a bit short after three weeks on the sidelines. He can overcome this post. (4) ANNIESWESTERNCARD drops down for Ron Burke and must be considered. (6) PRINCE PALANI couldn’t handle the winner in his recent qualifier but dug in nicely for second.

Race 13

(5) JACKSON BRADY was a solid second behind an odds-on favorite despite starting from post 10 last week. Driver change to Callahan can only help his chances. (2) BETTOR BELIEVE IT and (3) MOVEOUTOFMYWAY are two sharp Saratoga shippers worth consideration. (4) I’M THE REAL MAJOR tends to race consistently and should have a chance at the tri or super.

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