01/26/2017 3:58PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 1/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 90 - 309 / $479.40 (-$148.60)

BEST BETS: 11 - 25 / $45.00 (-$5.00)



Race 1

(2) MOONLIGHT RANSOM won three races in 2016 and all of them came here at The Meadowlands. He should be primed for a top effort in his third start back and faces a blank field. (9) ROCK STAR is stuck with a bad post but finds a field with plenty of potential early speed players to set him up. (7) TWINCREEKS JESSE has been racing ok of late and does drop a level tonight. (5) WINDSONG GORGEOUS would have destroyed this field a few years ago. Maybe he can turn back the clock.

Race 2

(3) VEGAS VACATION finally let loose a bit last week and was a sharp second behind Bettor’s Edge. He gets away from that foe tonight and looks like the one to beat now. (6) NATIONAL SEELSTER finished reasonably well from the back last time and is more than fast enough to defeat this group. (1) ROCKIN ROBERT has plenty of form but gets tested for class in this spot.

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Race 3

(9) GRAVELSINMYTRAVELS went a nice mile to be second behind the classy millionaire Real Nice last time. This is a spot where he should take a picture after crossing the wire. (7) PRINCE PALANI has a couple of starts under his belt after some time off and should be ready for a strong effort. (5) SIR SAM’S Z TAM & (2) TINK AND TIGER both dropped to this level and raced  better last week; using underneath.

Race 4

(5) THAT’S MY OPINION had a clean trip and hung badly in his first start back in the Surick barn. Against this listless bunch, there are no excuses for failure. (6) RESTLESS has been facing sharper foes in the claiming ranks and picks up Gingras now; interesting. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER will get a nice check if the race goes in the 1:53 range, which it could depending on the weather. (1) GIDDY UP DELIGHT arrives for a high percentage barn and adds Brett Miller.

Race 5

(9) SPICEBOMB switches from conditioned races versus established veterans to the NW3 level versus his peers. While this field is somewhat better, he did win by open lengths at 1-5 in his last race in this class. (5) TANGO STAR moves into the Burke barn and gets Gingras in the bike; worth consideration. (3) MACHIAVELLI has come back from winter vacation with two wins to start the year. Tonight is a good test for him. (10) MAAJAACKKOBE can pop a big mile at times.

Race 6

(6) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND takes a meaningful drop in class and adds Brett Miller to the team. As long as he is within a few lengths in mid-stretch, he should be able to roll by late. (4) REAL NICE comes off a sharp win but lost Miller to the top choice. (2) MISSILE J is another that Miller opted off. Barn change tonight after selling in the Meadowlands Mixed Sale is interesting. (7) BARIMAH A has been racing well with Lasix added; definite threat.

Race 7

(4) DOCTOR BUTCH raced ok while at Yonkers but tends to pick up his game on the big track. I’m looking for him to leave hard and wind up sitting a cozy pocket trip behind (7) ONTARIO SUCCESS, who added Gingras and put up a 1:50 1/5 score a week ago. (1) SI SEMALU basically took the week off last Saturday. I’m not sure he can win but an exotics spot seems possible. (2) HILLBILLY HANOVER is very sharp right now. He should eclipse the $900K earnings plateau this week.

Race 8

(6) PREPARTY has a win and a second against better here in his last four starts, but was disqualified for going inside the pylons and still fits this condition. This is clearly his race to lose. (5) MY SPIRIT SOARS finally picked up a win and sometimes a little confidence goes a long way. (1) SPEED AGAIN has speed, Burke and Gingras in his corner. (4) TRUE BLUE HALL does step up from time to time.

Race 9

(6) CITY PIE just missed while trying to rally from seventh last week. There seems to be ample early speed to set up a winning rally. (4) RED SCOOTER moves in a few spots on the gate and could get a clear shot at the top. (5) JACKSON BRADY has been very consistent. (3) WHATAORSE came up with a pretty big mile last time and only lost by a couple of lengths. With a smoother trip he can do better. (8) SO TAKE THAT certainly has a chance but seems likely to be overbet with Gingras driving.

Race 10

(10) UNIX HANOVER goes from open claimers to age restricted foes tonight. The difference is huge and he should prove very tough. (7) PERSEVERANT moves into a solid barn off a winning effort; logical player. (2) LEGION OF BOOM makes the same move as the top choice and merits a ton of respect. (1) STAR GUITAR is another horse moving into a new stable, though ownership remains the same so you have to wonder if the move is on paper only.

Race 11

(2) HURRIKANE ALI is a bit of a flyer pick on my end. Now 5-year-old had high hopes a couple of years ago and he does get a big driver change to Gingras. It’s interesting that he can win this race and drop in class. (5) CALVIN B dropped and popped last time. He is more than capable of handling the class rise. (1) PANSFORMATIVE could be interesting if he gets aggressive early. (6) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE has a chance but has missed a few weeks with a scratched-lame line mixed in.

Race 12

(1) TIMCAT HANOVER showed speed, was shuffled and split foes with good energy in his return qualifier. In a field of mostly dull horses, he looks like a worthwhile play. (6) BORN OF FIRE gets a good post to work with this week and might be able to surprise. (8) CARLOS DANGER actually finished ahead of my top pick in a 1-20 qualifier; post hurts, though.

Race 13

(3) PEDRO’S DREAM has won his last two starts at The Meadowlands including one for this $10K claiming tag. It isn’t ideal that he hasn’t raced in six weeks, but the return qualifier at Yonkers was good enough to keep him sharp. (9) ALEX BULLVILLE has been racing well and seems likely to be the favorite with Miller taking over the lines. (2) DRUNKEN TERROR handled the class rise and poor post nicely last week; must consider. (10) FRATERNITY seems like an exotics player.