12/05/2013 4:25PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 12/7 Analysis

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Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 16 - 39 / $113.00    BEST BETS: 2 - 3 / $6.70

Best Bet: DOCTOR BUTCH (6th)

Spot Play: CC HEET SEEKER (5th)

Race 1

This race is a complete crapshoot and I’m rolling the dice with (4) SHADOW MARHEAUX. The 2-year-old gelding raced okay from the back of the pack on a very tiring track and seems worth another shot. (3) ROCKSTAR STIDE is a well bred youngster with some learning to do. (2) AMERICAN PAPARAZZI has been racing well; new driver. (1) ITSAHARDROCKLIFE seems to be in pretty light this week.

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Race 2

(6) ROCKIN AMADEUS can fly off the gate and he shouldn’t have to work that hard to make the front this week. (3) TWILIGHT BONFIRE only needs a clean trip to have a big shot. (1) MINDSET had no shot last time; still sharp.

Race 3

(7) STORMIN RUSTLER hasn’t exactly been winning at a high rate this year, but this field is very low on form and he should be forwardly placed. (2) GRATIAS DEO wasn’t awful last time considering the track conditions. I’d give him another shot to wake up. (10) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE would be the pick from a better post; not impossible.

Race 4

(8) DAMON BLUE CHIP drops down for Burke and seems like a logical pick. (3) BOLERO ANDREW closed very well last time. (4) ROCK ME PLEASE moves into a good barn and adds Tetrick.

Race 5

(10) CC HEET SEEKER simply looks better than these on paper. The outside post could be an issue, but I think he should win anyway. (6) AXIOM HANOVER was way over his head last time. This guy is going to wake up at a nice price sometime soon. (1) HUMILITY qualified well and has some inside speed.

Race 6

(9) DOCTOR BUTCH lays over the field on paper and should have his way with them. (3) THE PAN POOBAH was used hard last time and paid the price. (1) PANPERO FIRPO raced well in this class in his most recent race.

Race 7

(6) MOJO TERROR was fighting with driver Corey Callahan for most of the mile and either chocked down or lost interest after getting locked in for that long. Callahan saw fit to choose here over class-dropper DELLA CRUISE and in this wide open field, I’ll take a shot that this guy shows up. (5) ROLL ON hasn’t been great lately but has proven he can go a big mile at times. (8) HYPNOTIC BLUE CHIP returns to the races after nearly a year on the shelf. His qualifiers were just okay but he has class. (3) DELLA CRUISE would have been my pick, but I just can’t back Lancaster against the best driving colony around.

Race 8

(5) PEMBROKE DEWEY faces a very soft group and seems to have some form. (2) I DO HANOVER switches barns. (8) SRI PANKA raced hard on a very slow track last time. I expect him to get a piece with a clean trip. (7) STALLONE BLUE CHIP steps up off a win.

Race 9

(9) AVENUE HANOVER spent plenty of time on the rim last week and only lost by a few lengths. Now he is back on a mile track and has the early speed to make his presence felt. (4) SEEK THE DRAGON gets post relief after a good effort. (5) TRANSCENDING had a tough trip last time and was used in the pace the prior week. I wouldn’t be quick to toss him.

Race 10

(5) GIDDY UP BLACKFLY drops down in class and faces a dull bunch. (4) AVOGADRO HANOVER has been racing well at Freehold. (2) NEXT FLIGHT had some issues last week and could be better.

Race 11

(2) GREAT VINTAGE raced well versus slightly tougher competition last week and should be closer to the front this time. (6) TOWNSLIGHT HANOVER is the one I want to pick on top, but in this class I would need confirmation that the track is playing fair to closers before taking that leap. (5) ALEXIE MATTOSIE couldn’t be any sharper; up in class.

Race 12

(8) BLACK HAT was forced wide on the final turn and faced a stiff wind through the lane. With a better trip he can be right there. (2) WINDSONG GORGEOUS has won four straight but faces a better field this week. (7) BOB THE BOILER QB raced better than I thought he would last time; using.

Race 13

(5) CLUBBER LANG wasn’t awful last time and this field is pretty bad. (4) PUTNAMS ATTACK comes down from Canada and couldn’t have asked for an easier spot. (2) COME ON RIDGE should be an early speed player.

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