12/08/2016 4:13PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 12/10 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 55 - 160 / $268.60 (-$51.40)

BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $15.80 (-$10.20)

Best Bet: STIMULUS PLAN (13th)

Spot Play: ALEXIE MATTOSIE (9th)

Race 1

(4) DRUNKEN TERROR returns to the Meadowlands at a reduced claiming level. There are no excuses for him in a spot like this one. (2) DAVID ON ICE has proven he can compete in this class. He seems to be doing well every other week and this is his ‘on’ week. (3) CC JERMEY gets a nice driver change to David Miller and faces a slightly easier bunch now. (5) MR BIG LOAD blew up in his first start for this barn. Do you believe in second chances?

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Race 2

(1) SPICEBOMB needs to time his move right but is clearly the fastest horse in the race tonight. Driver David Miller should be able to wait all day and run these down. (3) BRICKMAN raced well off the bench with Lasix added. He can certainly improve in his second start of the year. (5) HEZABLUECHIPBOY N goes from mid-level conditioned races versus older to facing NW3 foes. You have to respect him in this spot.

Race 3

(1) BIG JER comes off a throw-out race at Freehold from post eight last time. We’ve seen this guy post a big mile in the past and this looks like a prime spot against a blank field. (4) STATESMAN N came up somewhat empty after displaying early speed in his first start down from Canada. Classy veteran is better than that effort and can rebound. (2) ONE MORE MIRACLE has some dangerous early speed and should be able to use it to get into the number. (6) VICTORYDAZE WILWIN has a win here this year and seems to own enough form to menace with the right trip.

Race 4

(7) BARIMAH A raced very well in his second start off the break in action and lured Brett Miller off (2) QUALITY CLOSER, who raced well last week and won two starts back at this level. (8) CITY HALL couldn’t be any sharper. He has enough class to handle the class jump tonight. (1) KIWI IDEAL N seems like a legitimate trip player.

Race 5

(1) JJ SHARK gets a meaningful driver change to McCarthy and certainly shows the needed ability to compete on this level; price play, hopefully. (6) CITY PIE took a shot and tired in his first start for this barn. Class drop this week should help. (5) THAT’S MY OPINION raced well the last time Ginsburg was in the bike. Erratic 5-year-old is good enough to win given the right trip. (8) GAMBLER’S TALE is relatively sharp right now and should get into the exotics.

Race 6

(3) MORE DRAGON has displayed virtually no early speed and some recent breaks, so in theory the switch to the big track should be beneficial. Ron Burke trainee faces older foes but caught the cheaper of two NW11500 races tonight. (6) SCREAMIN SEAMAN A has been racing well but only has 5 wins in his last 69 starts. (2) REBEL JET ships in with decent form and good early speed.

Race 7

(4) MUSCLE DIAMOND hasn’t been seen on the track in more than a year but did qualify back with a spectacular mile in which he was wrapped up and sprinting home. Four-year-old son of Muscle Hill has loads of talent and just maybe he can fire fresh. (3) CLASSICAL ANNIE comes off a solid second versus a good foe in B Yoyo last time. (5) ROCK OF CASHEL is as consistent as they come but hasn’t been able to get over the hump in some time.

Race 8

(8) ELRAMA N put up a solid mile in his first start for new trainer Michael Russo. This guy has some back class and can tap into that tonight. (1) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE is the most likely winner on paper but would be hard to play as the favorite. (5) WHATAORSE knows his way to the winner’s circle here and ships back in with good form. (2) SPEED AGAIN has the early speed and enough form to make some noise. (4) DR C’S Z TAM couldn’t close from last a week ago. He should be closer this week and seems like a longshot player.

Race 9

(8) ALEXIE MATTOSIE paced home very willingly last Saturday on the class drop and he seems ready to pop a big mile moving down another level. (7) FOOL ME ONCE double drops in class this week and is a must use on that angle alone. (6) INSPIRATION VIEW was used hard and paid the price last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won. (3) SANTANNA STAR joins the top three as moving down the classification ladder; not impossible.

Race 10

(6) BROWN COLOR was parked the mile, got blindswitched and never found room in the stretch last week. He seems like an obvious play with John Campbell taking over the lines, but that also could mean accepting a shorter than warranted price. (1) LE GAMBE comes off a nice win at Plainridge and does show a nice winning mile on the bigger track at Hoosier Park. (3) MR BLISSFULL is in fine form for a barn that is firing on all cylinders this meet. (5) JK ONAROLL came up with a big mile last time. Was that a sign of things to come or an anomaly?

Race 11

(7) BLATANTLY BEST is clearly facing easier this week and the switch to Brett Miller shouldn’t hurt. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO raced evenly in his first start with Lasix added. He is more than capable of rolling by this group late. (1) STARLITE KID was in tough at Philly. Burke trainee has the early speed to take these far on the engine if allowed to roll. (6) ELWELL raced well in this class a week ago and merits consideration again tonight.

Race 12

(5) SER JON comes off a slew of races were his fate was decided by a bad post draw. Tonight he finally draws a favorable mid-pack post and can do some damage. (6) NICHOLAS RYAN ships down from Canada and into a new barn. He should be competitive at this level. (4) HIGH OCTANE N is capable of getting aggressive in a spot like this. (1) RELENTLESS DREAMER looks like a play underneath.

Race 13

(5) STIMULUS PLAN won two straight at the $10K claiming level and raced well while up in class last week. This is clearly his race to lose. (9) IDEAL BID has been very competitive in the claiming ranks at Plainridge and should fit nicely here. (10) BOLD AND BRAVE drops down from a $12,500 claimer but this barn is 0 for 21 at the meet; mixed feelings. (8) MAKEOUTLINKEAPANDIT qualified ok with an amateur driver in the bike. He has wins over bigger tracks each of the last two years.

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