01/19/2017 4:17PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 1/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 84 - 283 / $442.40 (-$133.60)

BEST BETS: 10 - 23 / $38.80 (-$7.20)

Best Bet: CALVIN B (10th)

Spot Play: THE FIRE WITHIN (13th)

Race 1

(5) MAGIC TRICKS could have been short after missing three weeks prior to his 12/30 start and gets a pass for his fifth-place finish from post 10 last time. In a field with many options, I’ll give him one more chance at a price. (1) TO BEACH HIS OWN was a winner when last in for a $10,000 claiming tag. (2) FRATERNITY has raced well in his last two starts and should be close to the action tonight. (8) ALEX BULLVILLE raced well last time to pull off the upset and faces many of the same foes in this spot.

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Race 2

(1) WINEMASTER HANOVER has been playing the part of a hot potato as he moves from barn to barn each week. Seven-year-old comes off a nice win and should be in prime position again by showing speed from his inside post. (9) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT just missed versus the top choice last time and is stuck with an outside post once again. (2) NEVER EVER CLEVER was a bit disappointing in her last start. She can rebound in a hurry. (10) ANDY RAY drops down in his second start since September; could improve.

Race 3

It’s hard for me to get excited about any of these horses. I’ll roll the dice with (5) ANGEL CINDY, who gets a barn change as she ships in from Northfield Park. She seems to have some GO to her when she minds her manners and the switch to the big track could help. (7) MILLVILLE ROAD has put together a string of solid efforts but still sports a gloomy 2 for 31 career record. (2) THREEUPTHREEDOWN gets a key trainer change to Richard Johnson and seems likely to go to post as the favorite. That said, I’d didn’t love his qualifier and he was under a drive in victory despite the three length win margin.

Race 4

(10) MY SPIRIT SOARS has his work cut out for him from post 10 and hasn’t won a race since 2015, but this is the weakest field he has seen. He has to be a factor in this spot. (4) REGULUS N has been finishing far back week after week and now visits the basement condition. I’m not ready to give up on him yet, but will finally jump ship if he doesn’t race well Saturday. (8) THAT’S MY OPINION drops down and moves into a live barn, BUT this guy is very inconsistent and unreliable. (6) TRIGGER FINGER adds Gingras and should be considered at least underneath.

Race 5

(3) DASH OF DANGER hasn’t been the same horse in his last two starts that he was three and four starts back. In a field without a standout, I’m hoping the switch to Yannick Gingras can shake this guy up. (2) SHOREVIEW comes off a nice effort and should be forwardly placed for success. (4) PICKWICK has been third or better in three of his last four starts. (5) B FAST EDDIE has been within a few lengths of some of the others ranked a bit higher in this analysis. (9) BORN OF FIRE can’t seem to get away from post 10. If given a good trip, I do believe he can spice up the bottom exotics.

Race 6

I’m finding this race very difficult to decipher. Will Gingras be ultra aggressive with Ontario Success? Will National Seelster revert to his Meadowlands form now that he is back on the big track? Can Durant keep his form versus a more accomplished group here? Ultimately I’m going with the classy (6) HILLBILLY HANOVER to move his winning streak to three because there seems to be a fair amount of speed to set him up from second or third over; Brett Miller’s choice. (1) ONTARIO SUCCESS just missed last time and should only improve with Gingras. (7) NATIONAL SEELSTER, as I wrote above, is very capable. (4) BARIMAH A raced well with Lasix added last time and is fast enough if given the right trip. (5) DURANT can certainly keep rolling.

Race 7

(8) RED SCOOTER wasn’t going very far from the back of the pack at Dover last time but did take a picture here two-back for this $15K claiming tag. Callahan opting to #7 should guarantee we get a fair price. This is a competitive race, so demand value wherever you land. (5) DR C’S Z TAM seems to be rounding into form right now and only needs a smooth journey to menace. (4) JACKSON BRADY has the early speed to control the race and enough form to win if not hounded on the lead. (6) WHATAORSE has proven he is capable of winning for this claiming price but I would prefer him versus a softer field.

Race 8

(2) BLATANTLY BEST is moving up in class on paper but really doesn’t face a tougher group. In a field without a standout, I’d love to see Miller attempt an early brush rather than grinding it out. (7) SPICEBOMB has the ability to put in a nice mile if on his game. (6) DREAMLANDS ART has plenty of back class and did race well two starts back. (8) WAR N MUNN hasn’t been able to put it all together. I do believe he could step up, though.

Race 9

I’m going to take a shot here seeking a big price. (5) JK ALLNITELONG didn’t do anything wrong last week, his first pari-mutuel try since the end of October, finishing evenly while lacking a big kick. In a field without any razor-sharp horses, why can’t this guy improve enough to give us a run for our money at 20-1 or higher? (4) DANCINWITHDELIGHT comes off a solid effort and is obviously the one to beat as the chalk. (1) VICEROY HANOVER gets a better post to work with this week and Brett Miller in the bike. (7) SUCCESSFULLY SAID moves into a new barn.

Race 10

Despite the fact that (6) CALVIN B could be an underlay in this spot off a no-chance closing effort, I’m going to make him my top pick. If he shows up with his best game, he wins. (8) SASSY HANOVER has legitimate early speed and raced well for second while up in class last time; very dangerous. (9) JACKSRLUCKYTOO drew off to a decisive win last Saturday and may have picked up some confidence. (5) STRATOCASTER couldn’t make a dent as Durant won his second straight last time. Tonight he drops back down to the level of his last win. (2) REASONABLE FORCE adds Gingras for a high percentage barn.

Race 11

(5) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE has been racing well of late and finds a field with ample early speed to set him up. At the very least, he should have a clear path on the rim in this short field. (3) PARNU HANOVER is in career form right now and a major factor. (6) VEGAS VACATION missed all of 2014 and most of 2015 and 2016, but has finally made a string of consecutive starts and now is as good a time as any to take a shot and see what is in the tank.

Race 12

(9) GRAVELSINMYTRAVEL was nowhere near the gate last Saturday in his first start with Lasix added. Gelding drops down a notch tonight and I’m willing to give him another shot. (6) FITZ’S Z TAM also moves down the class ladder and adds Gingras. (10) REAL NICE would likely be the favorite from an inside post; chance from outside. (8) INTHEBLINKOFANEYE has a good history here and the speed to menace from the outside.

Race 13

Coming off a five week break, (1) THE FIRE WITHIN was saved and finished up with late pace last time. I think he is sitting on a big mile and the switch to Gingras can only help. (8) PRINCE PALANI is also making his second start off the bench. Veteran knows his way to the winner’s circle. (10) SIR SAM’S Z TAM concludes the ‘off the layoff’ horses in the top three. He was flat his first start back and stuck in post 8 at Yonkers last time. I expect a solid effort for a good check. (2) LUCKY MAN finished second in this class last time. (3) TINK AND TIGER drops out of claimers but gets unlucky against a decent bottom-level field.

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