11/02/2017 2:44PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 11/4 Analysis


Best Bet: KISSIN IN THE SAND (8th)

Spot Play: UVA HANOVER (12th)

Race 1 - $10,000 Guaranteed Survivor Pick 10

Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 1

(4) RICKY’S QUICKIE rallied past a bunch of horses in her first start for these connections despite an outside post over the Yonkers half-mile oval. Any small step forward would make her tough in this spot. (2) BELLE’S DELIGHT picked up some confidence at Freehold and adds Gingras now. (5) NURSE PIE Q qualified nicely as she looks to get a strong line under her belt before selling as HIP 1201 in the sale at Harrisburg.

Race 2

(5) SOUTHWIND HYDRO returns to the track where he posted a career best 1:54 2/5 win and not only tackles easier competition but should offer good value. (1) IRON DOME qualified well and blew away NW1 competition in his first appearances for new trainer Patti Harmon; very dangerous. (7) ROMANCING RACHEL is typically involved at some point in the mile and perhaps Gingras can get even more out of her.

Race 3

(6) MASTER OF THE HILL posted an even mile in the Circle City in his first start for new trainer Tony Alagna. After chasing Swan Chase, Two Am and others in Indiana, this group looks more palatable. (10) ROAD LIGHT has no problem leaving fast. Can Gingras keep her from making a mistake in the mile? (4) GLIDER MAN is another youngster that seems capable if he keeps his act together.

Race 4

(7) LYONS SNYDER moves back to the Mark Silva barn for the first time since July 30, 2016. The veteran trainer excels at reviving seemingly lost horses and getting them back on track. If he is 80% of himself, this son of Well Said will make a statement in this race. (5) ONTARIO SUCCESS has been able to make over $82K this year despite having a down campaign. Burke/Gingras charge is the one to beat if the top choice continues his downward spiral. (4) CALVIN B can play with these when feeling good, but I’ll wait for a class drop next time.

Race 5

I’m taking a stab here with (4) PIRANHA FURY since I’m really not sure what to expect from the Jimmy Takter trainees (#’s 2, 3 & 7). We’ve seen flashes of ability from this daughter of Donato Hanover as evidenced by her 26 3/5 final quarter to miss a head behind likely favorite (7) BASQUIAT on 9/15. The price will be huge and I’ll play her to win and underneath Basquiat, who will destroy this field if she brings anything close to her top performance. It is hard to say why she was so bad at Hoosier last time. Maybe sickness? (3) DAB HANOVER was racing very well in the preliminary rounds of this series in September, but has missed four weeks of action. (9) HEY BLONDIE was OK in the Breeders Crown with Lasix added. I’d like her more from an inside post.

Race 6

(1) GRAND THEFT wasn’t going anywhere while sitting nearly last in his first start for trainer Ed Hart last week. Five-year-old picks up Gingras this week, draws well and returns to the track where he set his lifetime mark of 1:52 last year. (7) RING WARRIOR has done well here in the past and the addition of Tim Tetrick should only help. (9) WEGOTTATRUCKYEA tried off the pace tactics at Pocono after a scratched-lame line and wasn’t bad. If the mix it up a bit early he could be charging hard late. (8) SIPPIN ON SUDS drops this week and does have some class.

Race 7

This appears to be a wide open race on paper. (9) SEVEN IRON has been consistent all year and I’m simply hoping Tetrick can work out a trip for him. (6) DAWSON SPRINGS raced evenly in the Breeders Crown. This break in class should perk him up. (5) TITO should be the post time favorite after his wire to wire victory at Vernon a week ago. I’m just not sure he is any better than the competition. (7) LINDY’S BIG BANG has plenty of speed off the gate and that alone makes him a usable exotics player.

Race 8

(6) KISSIN IN THE SAND was given a very patient steer by Brian Sears in her Breeders Crown elimination and that resulted in missing the final despite the fact that she finished full of pace. I don’t imagine Gingras will be making that tactical error this week. (1) REIGN ON ME was rolling along before her disastrous tenth-place finish in the Crown Final. Maybe she didn’t like the sloppy track? (2) I’M TRIGGER HAPPY has been the Kindergarten queen in this division most of the year but runs into some stiff competition now. (8) ALDINE HANOVER has enough form to compete but might be a second too slow.

Race 9

(5) CAPTAIN DEO has been slow to make the races but finished sharply from the back in his career debut. If he can build off that performance, this son of Somebeachsomewhere-Worldly Beauty has a big chance. (1) WHEELS ON FIRE, (2) IDEAL FLIP & (3) MOUNT ROYAL have been able to chase others for smaller awards in some fast miles. Can they do it and win?

Race 10

(2) I’M A BIG DEAL has kept some good company all year and won easily in his last Kindergarten attempt. I see him as good value in a race with a handful of contenders. (9) GRAND TETON lures Gingras off the top pick, but that could have been a stable loyalty thing. He went too fast on the engine in his Crown elim after missing three weeks of action; fits with these. (6) POINTS NORTH has done well in this series thus far; obvious contender. (4) ROCKAPELO was able to pop a 1:51 4/5 win on 9/15 in this series, but I think he’ll need a trip to win.

Race 11

(8) SOUL TRAIN gets class relief as he arrives for a barn that did very well here during the September meet. (1) HILL I AM is capable if he shows up, but this lightly raced former NJ Sire Stakes standout is unreliable. (5) YOOOUKILIS has picked up his game in recent weeks but I’m always worried when a horse has 125 lifetime starts and his career mark isn’t on a bigger track.

Race 12

(7) UVA HANOVER faces a mixed bag of foes, some coming off layoffs, a couple of 3-year-olds, and some up in class. This is a race he is supposed to win. (1) JIMMY WILLIAM qualified back well. One day he may live up to his potential. (5) BEE IN CHARGE has taken a bunch of time off and actually raced well in his most recent qualifier.

Race 13

(10) SO TAKE THAT raced well two starts back when Gingras was in the bike. This 8-year-old is capable of firing off the gate even from post 10, and against this dull collection, I’ll take a shot. (4) ALONEINSPADES ships in from Vernon and seems to be getting class relief, which is sad in some respects; using. (7) HONEY I’M HOME has good early speed but can’t seem to seal the deal this year in 15 starts. (8) DAVID’S DREAM has no form but has raced OK here in the past.

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