01/12/2017 4:27PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 1/14 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($10,000 Carryover)

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 79 - 257 / $407.20 (-$106.80)

BEST BETS: 10 - 21 / $38.80 (-$3.20)


Spot Play: FLYING COWBOY (3rd)

Race 1

This is a very competitive opener where any of the octet could score given the right scenario. (7) LEGION OF BOOM comes off a very sharp score and seems to have turned the corner in recent weeks; slight edge. (5) JACKSON BRADY has a distinct advantage with no early speed to his inside and a clear shot at the top. He should be sitting no worse than second with a bit chance of scoring his second straight. (3) WHATAORSE is more of a sneaky horse that needs to get the right setup to win, but the price should be favorable.

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Race 2

(2) NEVER EVER CLEVER took on better and raced reasonably well considering it was her first start in four weeks. The class drop and favorable post should result in a picture at the end of the mile. (7) WINEMASTER HANOVER raced well last week and shouldn’t lose a step for new connections tonight. (9) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT clearly has a shot, but he is hurt by the bad draw and the early speed of #7 to his inside.

Race 3

(6) FLYING COWBOY comes off an awful line on paper and that means we’ll get a very healthy price on Saturday if I’m right. This guy had absolutely no chance in his last mile as he was backed out to last by a gapper and probably needed the mile anyway after four weeks on the bench. Gelding double-drops this week and can surprise. (1) MY SPIRIT SOARS went winless in 2016 but certainly seems to be in great spot to start out the year. I think we’ll see a solid showing. (4) THE FIRE WITHIN was scratched from a December 16 start and has wound up missing more than five weeks of action; huge question marks here. (8) HOLYWOOD SIGN A comes off a decent showing and should be a factor at some point in the mile.

Race 4

(2) BLATANTLY BEST gets some meaningful class relief and a great post to work with this week. (10) SANTANNA STAR takes the same step down the condition ladder and has the early speed to take this field gate to wire. (3) REGULUS N is another following the same class-dropper trend. He really wasn’t awful last time out despite finishing eighth and wouldn’t be a complete shock for a barn that popped with one last week. (6) STOLEN GLIMPSE raced better on the mile track while coming up short late.

Race 5

(7) J EAGLE FEATHER makes his last start before getting hammered down at the sale on Monday. He turned in a decent even mile in his first start since July and I’m expecting a more aggressive showing now to attempt to boost his sale price. (4) ROCKIN ROBERT was super last Saturday; clear threat. (8) GRAVELSINMYTRAVEL finished well with no shot when last seen on the track. He is a clear contender here. (1) SPEED AGAIN has inside speed and should make some early noise, perhaps even last the mile.

Race 6

I’m somewhat up in the air on this race as I have questions on many of the horses in the field. Ultimately I’m going to roll the dice with the speedy (9) CALVIN B and hope he shows up with a top effort. If by some chance he doesn’t offer at least 7-2, I’ll look elsewhere. (1) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE is the clear favorite on paper, but I’m concerned because he was caught from behind each of the last two weeks and that doesn’t happen when he is right. (6) STATESMAN N looks good on paper if you toss the ‘tour of the track’ mile from post nine last time. He’s in the sale Monday and should be live. (3) DURANT was spectacular last Saturday. Can he do it again?

Race 7

(1) ALEXIE MATTOSIE reunites with Brett Miller tonight and gets my narrow call in a formfull field. (4) ELRAMA N raced five times in December and never finished worse than second or lost by more than a half-length; must use. (3) THE ROCK comes off a no chance mile from post eight at Yonkers and his previous mile was solid. (8) PARNU HANOVER looked very good in victory last week but faces tougher now.

Race 8

(4) FAN OF TERROR finished willingly from the back in a higher class, but many of these also come out of that race. The bottom line is that he looks as good as any in this field and should be sharp in his last race for these connections. (6) ONTARIO SUCCESS only needs a reasonable trip to be a big factor and should have a clear run at the front early. (8) TITUS SEELSTER flashed speed but came up a bit short last time. Vinnie Ginsburg did choose this guy over my top pick. (3) DREAMLANDS ART raced well for Drew Monti last time.

Race 9

(1) CENTURY CHURCHILL jumped it off in his first attempt for this barn. I’m going to give him one more chance. (3) PICKWICK threw in a clunker out of nowhere last week; Brett Miller is back now. (2) MAAJAACKOBE is the fastest horse in the race if he shows up. At the very least his presence could help the inside horses as others might not leave the gate from the outside. (4) DASH OF DANGER has a chance to rally by them late if things go his way.

Race 10

(6) DANCINGWITHDELIGHT shipped into the Meadowlands off consecutive victories but was up the track last time. I’m tossing his most recent performance because he seems to like the front and had no chance of getting there versus a runaway on the lead winner. (1) MR BLISSFULL & (2) LE GAMBE are both sharp enough to win and well drawn to the inside.

Race 11

(3) RING WARRIOR was a very impressive winner last Saturday and should be able to handle the bump up the class ladder. (1) MAJOR BUBBLES N should push away from the cones and have every chance to win. (2) CITY PIE certainly faces a sharper group this week but has the ability to step up. (6) AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL gets an interesting barn change.

Race 12

(4) VICTORYDAZE WILWIN has displayed early speed in all of his recent starts at this level and I don’t see any impediments for him making the front tonight. (5) ONE MORE MIRACLE gets a driver change to Callahan and due to lack of other obvious contenders, he’ll almost certainly be the favorite. (2) GAIUS CRASTINUS qualified back OK; maybe. (9) RELENTLESS DREAMER can rally for a share from a tough post.

Race 13

(4) WHATAGAMBLE doesn’t have much big track experience, which is concerning, but this seems like a good spot. Mike Watson trainee picks up Corey Callahan and can step up. (5) DRUNKEN TERROR looks like the favorite by default. He’s been getting outkicked way too often lately. (8) WORKANDPLAYHARD has some early speed in a questionable field without much zip; maybe. (6) MAJO JUST DO IT reunites with Miller, who scored with him two starts back.

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